Mark Reckless’s defection to Ukip is a sign of Tory
decline
Fanaticism
and hatred has turned a once ruthlessly successful Conservative party into a
fractious rabble
Geoffrey Wheatcroft
The
Guardian, Sunday 28 September 2014 / http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/sep/28/mark-reckless-ukip-tory-decline-conservative-party?CMP=fb_gu
David Cameron has said that the circumstances
in which the Conservative conference was opening were “not ideal”. Fans of the
late – but immortal – Peter Cook may remember his incarnation as Sir Arthur
Streeb-Greebling, the great British eccentric, who told an interviewer about
his lifelong endeavour to teach ravens to fly under water. Asked if this task
was not somewhat difficult, Streeb-Greebling hummed and hawed before replying,
“I think ‘difficult’ is an awfully good word you’ve got there.”
I think “not ideal” are awfully good words to
describe the prime minister’s predicament. In many ways things were looking
rather good for him. Unemployment is falling; growth is happening; in polls the
Tories rate far ahead of Labour for economic competence, as Cameron is ahead of
Ed Miliband in person; the Labour conference was embarrassing.
The Tories should have begun their own last
conference before the election on a high note. Instead of which the headlines
are dominated by a defection and a resignation, and Cameron faces a party that
he knows has never liked him, but which now looks like a fractious rabble.
Has it really come to this? Has what was the
most successful political party in modern European history succumbed to some
strange death wish, determined to tear itself to pieces and snatch defeat from
the jaws of victory?
Forty years ago the Tories were the European
party (and Labour the insular Europhobes). But a perfervid obsession with the
European Union, which is – in any objective view – almost the least of our many
problems, has infected the Tories, and corroded any spirit of loyalty. MP Mark
Reckless was the second of two defectors to Ukip, timing his departure in a way
that ordinary Tories would once have considered despicably treacherous. But he
may be not be the last, from a party that now seems to have adopted the
Leninist notion of revolutionary defeatism.
Several times over its history the Tory party
has succumbed to bouts of internecine squabbling – over the Corn Laws, over
“tariff reform”, over appeasement. But there was always a default mechanism, a
ruthless will to win, which made it so astoundingly successful. Of the 111
years from 1886 to 1997, the Conservatives were in office – alone or in
coalition – for 79. That was not how it was meant to be in the age of mass
democracy, the advent of universal suffrage, “the century of the common man”,
but so it proved.
And it was not just their electoral success.
To a degree now quite forgotten, British Conservatism was a genuine mass
movement. At the 1950 election, the Labour government retained power but lost
many of the seats won in the landslide five years earlier. One of them was
Barnet, north London, which Reginald Maudling took for the Tories.
Two details now seem barely credible. In
Barnet that year, turnout was 87%. And in a constituency with an electorate of
just over 70,000, the local Conservative Association had 12,000 members. At the
time, the national Conservative and Unionist party had 2.7 million members,
even if it was as much a social as a political organisation.
By the 2005 election membership had collapsed,
to 253,000. And if rumours are true – and the party is reticent on the subject
– it may now be below 100,000. Membership of all parties has plummeted since
the mid-century heyday, but whereas the Tories then had more than twice as many
members as Labour, it is possibly now the other way round.
Although we have not seen “the end of
history”, we’ve witnessed the decline of traditional ideological politics,
which ought to have helped rather than hindered the Tories. Instead, they have
mysteriously assumed the doctrinaire fanaticism and internal hatreds that used
to be the prerogative of the left.
Cameron may not be the most charismatic or
sincere leader the Tories have ever had. But could anyone have done better with
this lot?
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