terça-feira, 13 de outubro de 2015

Marine Le Pen targets Muslim voters / The National Front party is looking for support in the Paris banlieues.


Marine Le Pen targets Muslim voters

The National Front party is looking for support in the Paris banlieues.

By NICHOLAS VINOCUR 10/12/15

PARIS — Marine Le Pen’s National Front party wants to conquer a new and unlikely voting bloc: Muslims, whose praying in streets she once compared to the occupation of France by Nazis during World War II.

Next month the anti-immigration FN party will appeal for the first time to French Muslims in the greater Paris region with a direct mailing campaign that aims to drum up support ahead of regional elections in December, officials said.

That’s a strategic shift, if not a total about-face, for a party whose representatives frequently talk about Islam as a threat to France’s Christian identity. Le Pen herself is due to face trial this month on hate speech charges for the Nazi-Muslim comparison she made on TV in 2010, and many French Muslims still see the party as fundamentally anti-Islam.

Yet the Front is betting it can gloss over the apparent contradiction by professing to embrace moderate Muslims and condemn fundamentalists.

‘No contradiction’

The prize, it seems, is too rich to ignore: significant numbers of Muslim voters who massively backed President François Hollande in the run-up to the 2012 elections, but have been disappointed by his legalization of gay marriage and other socially liberal policies, with many losing interest in politics.

Given France’s ban on ethnic statistics, polling does not cover Muslims specifically. So the Front bases its diagnosis on claims by Muslim politicians such as Socialist senator Bariza Khiari, who warned that her party last year that it was losing support in her community. She pointed to worrying electoral trends, noting the Socialists’ loss of several immigrant-heavy towns near Paris during municipal elections last year.

“I see no contradiction in our approach,” said Wallerand de Saint Just, who is running for a council seat in the greater Paris region and heading up the Front’s banlieue appeal in areas including the Seine-Saint-Denis district. “We are appealing to French citizens of Muslim faith, not the fundamentalists, and we’re telling them that we see them first and foremost as French citizens.”

Saint Just, who is also the Front’s treasurer, declined to show POLITICO the leaflets, which will be mailed out to inhabitants of the 157 so-called “Sensitive Urban Zones,” or ZUS in the French acronym, in the greater Paris region. The ZUS designation, which was officially phased out in January, refers to areas that suffer from high unemployment and poor housing. It often overlaps with areas that have high immigrant and Muslim populations.

He said they would contain a message explicitly addressed to “French citizens of Muslim faith,” as well as campaign proposals on security, urban planning and improved access to public services.

It’s a costly initiative that will be paid for by Saint Just’s €1 million campaign budget (he said he borrowed the money from Jean-Marie Le Pen’s Cotelec finance firm), underscoring how much the Front is staking on the banlieues as opposed to the wealthy center of Paris.

Socialist soft spot

In 2015 local elections, the National Front won a third of votes in the canton of Tremblay-en-France, losing to a left-wing coalition by 32.6 percent to 67.4 percent of votes in the second part of a two-round election. It gathered nearly 20 percent of votes in several other nearby towns of the Seine-Saint-Denis department, which has the highest proportion of foreign-born residents of any area in France.

This time it vows to do even better.

“Wherever people are suffering, that’s where we go, and people are suffering in the banlieues, not in the 9th arrondissement of Paris,” Saint Just said, referring to a trendy Right Bank neighborhood. “The Socialist party and [Nicolas Sarkozy’s] Les Républicains are largely responsible for having sabotaged life in these neighborhoods and people there don’t want to see them in power anymore.”

One of the places where the FN aims to gain ground is in Clichy-sous-Bois, a notorious banlieue town east of Paris known as the starting point for urban riots that erupted in 2005.

The town’s Socialist mayor, Olivier Klein, said Muslims in the city suffered from being associated with Muslim extremists, especially after the Charlie Hebdo terror attacks that killed 17 people earlier this year. He dismissed the National Front as a potential political force in his town, where a majority of the inhabitants are of immigrant origin and abstention rates are exceptionally high.

“I understand what they are up to — trying to capture the vote” of people who don’t usually vote, he said. “But I don’t think they’ll find much traction. People here know that [National Front politicians] spend most of their time stigmatizing immigrants, saying they are responsible for crime.”

It’s going to be a boomerang effect. The Muslims who voted for Hollande are going turn against him massively.”

Some specialists disagree, arguing that the Socialist party has done too little to cultivate its Muslim backers. The only question is whether those left out will continue to abstain, or rally to a competing force like the National Front.

“For Muslims, the disappointment with the Socialist party is huge,” said Marwan Muhammad, an author, Islam specialist and former head of an Islamophobia hotline. “The party has not only failed to help Muslims improve their situation socially, it has used them as a disposable electorate, only worth paying attention to before a big vote.”

Marine’s banlieue troops

Despite having grown up in a suburb, albeit a wealthy one, Marine Le Pen herself is unlikely to go glad-handing in a town like Clichy-sous-Bois.

When she was running for president in 2012, Le Pen boasted on TV that unlike her rivals, she never went to the banlieues because the country’s real problems were concentrated elsewhere, notably in rural areas neglected by other candidates.

A brush with actual inhabitants of the banlieues last year might have reinforced her instinct to stay away. Her car was pelted with stones by three youths in track suits who had recognized her while she was shopping at a pharmacy south of Paris.

That’s why the National Front is leaving the at times tricky business of canvassing in the banlieues areas to locals like Jordan Bardella, a 20-year-old National Front official who grew up in the town of Drancy.

Bardella, whose mother voted for Marine Le Pen in 2012, said he and a team of canvassers covered at least one banlieue town per weekend and, aside from the odd insult, rarely ran into any trouble with locals. However, they tended to stick to busy marketplaces and steer clear of housing projects, where he said access was controlled strictly by drug-traffickers’ lookouts.

“It’s not that we are staying away from the projects; it’s that they are effectively closed off to anyone from the outside whether it’s police, firemen, journalists or political canvassers,” he said. “Nobody is going in there, and that’s exactly the problem we’re denouncing with the locals.”

‘Multiethnic, unicultural’

The leaflets and canvassing drive are part of an overarching strategy, developed by National Front Vice President Florian Philippot, to widen the party’s appeal and attract new voters in the run-up to presidential elections in 2017.

In order to fuel the initiative, the party has launched a number of “collectives,” or internal think tanks focused on coming up with campaign proposals. One of them, focused on the banlieues, draws upon the work of historians, sociologists and geographers to craft its message.

FN officials said two intellectuals were particularly influential: Gilles Kepel, a political scientist and Islam specialist who argues that the inhabitants of the banlieues are turning away from mainstream French life and finding refuge in Islam; and Christophe Guilluy, a geographer whose book “La France péripherique” (“The Peripheral France”) describes a country split between globalized, ultra-connected urban centers and a hinterland of towns and villages growing ever more isolated and resentful of cosmopolitan values.

“For us the intellectual debate has been over for a while: France is a multiethnic, unicultural country,” said Sébastien Chenu, an aide to Le Pen.

Chenu said the party already had a strong base of support among some immigrant populations, notably the Portuguese. But Muslims, 86 percent of whom voted for Hollande in 2012, according to an IFOP study, were next.

“It’s going to be a boomerang effect,” he said. “The Muslims who voted for Hollande are going turn against him massively.”

Authors:


Nicholas Vinocur  

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