Europe could allow a united Ireland
to join EU after Brexit
Leaders expected to discuss statement
at weekend summit that if the island reunifies, the north will automatically
regain EU membership
Jennifer Rankin in Brussels
Thursday 27 April 2017 23.46 BST Last modified on Friday 28
April 2017 01.07 BST
European leaders may be preparing to recognise a united
Ireland, in a declaration that would pave the way for the north to swiftly
rejoin the European Union. At their first Brexit summit on Saturday, the EU’s
27 leaders are expected to discuss a text stating that if Ireland unified, the north
would automatically become part of the EU.
The inclusion of the text is a victory for the Irish
government, which had pressed for the inclusion of a “GDR clause”, a reference
to the integration of the former east German state into the European Community
after the fall of the Berlin wall. The declaration is bound to raise fears that
Brexit could trigger the unravelling of the UK, although there is no majority
in northern Ireland for unification.
EU diplomats are braced for a fierce reaction from the UK,
given the angry tabloid headlines that followed speculation about the status of
Gibraltar. After lobbying from Madrid, the EU agreed that the Spanish
government would be able to exclude the Rock from any EU-UK trade agreement if
it was not satisfied with the status of the territory.
The Irish clause is informed by the Good Friday peace
agreement, which states that north and south of Ireland have a right to unify
if a majority agree north of the border. Enda Kenny, the taoiseach, has argued
that it is important for the north of Ireland to have “ease of access” to
rejoin the EU if reunification were to occur.
Brexit has put the issue of a united Ireland back into the
spotlight, but public support remains cool. In Northern Ireland, a recent poll
found that a clear majority of 62% would vote for the territory to remain in
the UK, while only 22% backed a united Ireland. Voters in the republic are also
sceptical, especially if reunification comes with a price tag.
Enda Kenny has argued that it is important for Northern
Ireland to have ‘ease of access’ to rejoin the EU in the event of
reunification. Photograph: Michael Kooren/Reuters
Asked how they would vote in a referendum if the cost of a
united Ireland was €9bn a year, only a third of Irish respondents said they
would vote yes, while a third would vote against and the rest were undecided.
The GDR clause is contained in a text separate from the EU’s
official negotiating guidelines, because it is seen as a reflection of the Good
Friday agreement, rather than an issue to be negotiated with the UK.
Brussels insiders are expecting a short summit on Saturday
where EU leaders swiftly put their seal to the Brexit negotiating guidelines, a
document outlining the EU’s red lines, which have already been agreed at a
technical level.
As the clock ticks down to the launch of formal negotiations
after the 8 June election, there are signs that the EU is becoming increasingly
exasperated with the UK. On Thursday, Angela Merkel said British politicians
were living under the illusion that the UK would retain most of its EU privileges
once it leaves the bloc.
Shortly before giving this speech to the Bundestag, the
German chancellor spoke to the European commission president, Jean-Claude
Juncker. He reported on a dinner the previous night at No 10 Downing Street,
where he and the EU’s chief Brexit negotiator met Theresa May and her top
officials.
One EU diplomat said: “I am deeply pessimistic that there
will be a positive outcome from this negotiation,” putting the chances of the
UK crashing out of the EU without a deal as higher than 50%.
The EU is frustrated that May’s team has not, as they see
it, “engaged with reality” on David Cameron’s promises to pay into the EU
budget until 2020 – a promise Brussels insists the British must stick to. “They
[the British] are not just on a different planet, they are in a different
galaxy,” said the source.
Sem comentários:
Enviar um comentário