O FVD (Thierry Baudet) alcançou uma victória nas eleições
Provinciais na Holanda, substituindo assim como Partido Nacional Populista o PVV,
o Partido de Geert Wilders, como principal opositor das políticas de Imigração e
perfilando-se como protector dos valores nacionais. O FVD é um partido
totalmente negacionista no que respeita as Alterações Climáticas, negando toda
a evidência cientifíca e recusando todas as políticas e mudanças imperativas e
necessárias no que respeita as políticas do clima e o crescente consenso Europeu
e Internacional.
OVOODOCORVO
Forum big winner in provincial elections, set to take 12
senate seats Politics
March 21, 2019 / Martijn
Beekman via HH
With most of the
votes counted in Wednesday’s provincial elections, Thierry Baudet’s right-wing
nationalist Forum voor Democratie appears to have won most votes and will take
12 seats in the senate in May. Forum, which is pro Nexit and does not believe
in climate change, campaigned on national issues and did not draw up policies
for any of the 12 provinces it will now be represented in. ‘Arrogance and
stupidity has been punished,’ Baudet said in his victory speech. ‘We are being
ruined by the people who should be protecting us,’ he said. ‘We are being
undermined by universities and journalists, by the people who design our
buildings.’ The four coalition parties will now control 31 of the 75 seats in
the senate and will need the support of a fifth party to pass controversial
legislation. Forum, Labour and Groenlinks, which almost doubled its support,
could all fulfill that role. Big losers of the night were Geert Wilders’
anti-immigration PVV which is on target to lose four of its nine senate seats,
and the Socialists which will sink from nine to four. Turnout was up sharply on
the last provincial vote, with some 56% of people casting their vote. It was
highest (60%) in Zeeland and Utrecht. Preliminary results VVD from 13 to12
seats Forum voor Democratie from 0 to12 seats CDA from 12 to 9 seats GroenLinks
from 4 to 9 seats PvdA from 8 to 7 seats D66 from 10 to 6 seats PVV from 9 to 5
seats ChristenUnie from 3 to 4 seats SP from 9 to 4 seats Partij voor de Dieren
from 2 to 3 seats 50PLUS unchanged at 2 SGP unchanged at 2 DENK none OSF
(independent, local parties) none Check out the results in your area on the NOS
interactive map.
Read more at DutchNews.nl:
Mark Rutte to lose Senate majority after Dutch local
elections
Far-right Forum for Democracy on course to be the second
biggest party in upper house.
By ELINE
SCHAART 3/20/19, 11:23 PM CET Updated
3/20/19, 11:34 PM CET
Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte is on course to lose control
of the upper house of parliament after provincial elections on Wednesday saw
strong gains for Euroskeptics and Greens.
Far-right populist newcomer Forum for Democracy is set to
become the second biggest party in the Senate with 10 seats, with Rutte's
liberal VVD party on 12 seats, according to an exit poll published by public
broadcaster NOS. The votes are counted by hand and final results will be
published overnight.
The Greens were another big winner, according to the exit
poll (which has a margin of error of +/- 1 percent), doubling their seats from
4 to 8. Other opposition parties, including Geert Wilders' Freedom Party and
the Socialists, suffered at the polls, losing 3 and 5 seats respectively.
Rutte's coalition partners the Christian Democratic Appeal
(CDA) and centrist Democrats 66 (D66) are also set to lose seats (the CDA down
from 12 to 8, with D66 down 3 to 7).
Voters were choosing new regional parliaments, which will
determine the makeup of the new Senate. The ballots were held two days after a
Turkish-born man was arrested following a shooting in Utrecht in which three
people were killed.
Rutte’s center-right coalition — his liberal VVD, CDA, D66
and the small Christian Union — had a one-seat majority in the Senate before
Wednesday's vote, but is expected to lose 7 seats overall.
Dutch right-wing populism, dominated for a decade by Wilders
and his Freedom Party, has been transformed in the past two years by the rapid
growth of the Forum for Democracy. Its leader, 36-year-old Thierry Baudet,
shocked establishment parties this week by blaming the government's migration
policy for the Utrecht attack just hours after the shooting. All other parties
had suspended campaigning.
“This is a combination of an honor killing and a
half-terrorist motive,” Baudet told supporters at a rally, Reuters reported.
The shooter's motive is still not known.
In 2017, the Forum for Democracy won just two seats in the
national parliament, but is projected to win 12 percent of the Dutch votes in
the European Parliament election in May.
Campaigning for the provincial elections was largely
overtaken by national politics, with party leaders attending debates, bringing
national and European issues to the fore. In a debate hosted by the public
broadcaster on Tuesday, the provinces were mentioned just three times,
according to NRC.
The projected turnout was 54 percent, slightly higher than
the last such vote four years ago, but lower than in general elections.
In order to achieve a working majority in the Senate,
Rutte's coalition will have to rely on the support of one or more opposition
parties. It's unlikely that Baudet's party will work with the government. The
party rejects, for example, the need for climate change policies, a major issue
for the government. Last week, Baudet suddenly wavered on his long-standing
support for the Netherlands leaving the EU.
The election results come at a time when Rutte is gaining
prominence as a voice for liberal economic policies and as EU leaders are
gearing up for debate about the bloc's future, in which the Netherlands has
been trying to fill the void that will be left by Britain's departure from the
EU.
Not an explosion, but a very loud noise: has Baudet really
changed the landscape?
Far-right nationalist Forum will be biggest in Dutch senate
with 13 seats
Politics March 21, 2019
Thierry Baudet during his victory speech. Photo: Leander
Varekamp/HH
Thierry Baudet’s
right-wing nationalist Forum voor Democratie has emerged as the big winner in
the provincial elections and will take 13 seats in the 75 seat senate in May.
The four coalition parties have lost their majority and will control 31 of the
senate seats, forcing them to turn to opposition parties for support to get
controversial legislation through. Prime minister Mark Rutte, in Brussels to discuss
Brexit, told reporters that he would work to come to a ‘sensible majority’ in
the upper house. Rutte said he would not try to come up with a pact, nor would
he rule out any party, whether more left or right-wing than the coalition. Has
Baudet really changed the political landscape? Baudet, who before the elections
said that the government would have to drop its climate plans to get his
support, told voters in a Twitter message that the party does ‘feel a
responsiblity to ensure real political change, not just in the provinces but
also in the senate’. Nevertheless, he told reporters later, ‘we want to see a
change of course from the government.’ GroenLinks, which now has nine seats in
the senate after adding five to its total, would also be in a position to
ensure a government majority, as would the Labour party which has seven.
Amsterdam, Utrecht don’t fall for Forum Meanwhile Forum campaigned in the
provinces on national issues and now faces the problem of making sure it fills
the seats it has won on the 12 provincial councils. As the biggest party in
both Zuid-Holland and Flevoland, Forum will be charged with putting together a
working coalition in the regions, and Baudet said on Thursday he has already
approached former VVD senator Hans Wiegel to work on his behalf in Rotterdam.
Big losers of the night were Geert Wilders’ anti-immigration PVV which is on
target to lose four of its nine senate seats, and the Socialists which will
sink from nine to four. Wilders, whose support has been declining for years and
has fallen 40% in the provinces, described his party’s losses as ‘limited’.
‘Six parties is not nothing,’ he said, adding that that the ‘unique PVV voice’
will continue to heard in the senate. Turnout was up sharply on the last
provincial vote, with some 56% of people casting their vote. It was highest
(60%) in Zeeland and Utrecht. Preliminary results VVD from 13 to 12 seats Forum
voor Democratie from 0 to 13 seats CDA from 12 to 9 seats GroenLinks from 4 to
9 seats PvdA from 8 to 7 seats D66 from 10 to 6 seats PVV from 9 to 5 seats
ChristenUnie from 3 to 4 seats SP from 9 to 4 seats Partij voor de Dieren from
2 to 3 seats 50PLUS unchanged at 2 SGP from 2 to 1 DENK none OSF (independent,
local parties) none Check out the results in your area on the NOS interactive
map.
Read more at DutchNews.nl:
Politics March 21, 2019 - By Gordon Darroch
The headlines, inevitably, were dominated by Thierry Baudet
after his remarkable success in the Dutch provincial elections on Wednesday,
writes Gordon Darroch, in an analysis of what the victory really means. Three
years after being founded, and two years after upsetting the odds by grabbing
two seats in parliament, Baudet’s Forum for Democracy (FvD) took around 14% of
the national vote. In the fragmented Dutch political landscape, the support of
one in seven electors was enough to put him on top of the pile, edging out the
Liberal party (VVD) headed by Mark Rutte. The FvD’s gains mean the party is set
to take 12 seats in the 75-member senate when the upper house is elected by
provincial deputies in May. However, expectations of a political earthquake
should be tempered for a few reasons. Firstly, despite its name, the Dutch
senate is very much the minor player in the legislative set-up. As a revising
chamber with an indirect mandate, it assesses laws mainly on technical merit
rather than political or ideological grounds. Opposition Secondly, while the
four-party coalition is set to lose its narrow majority, going from 38 senators
to 31, the consequences are not as bad as they seem. Opinion polls before the
vote suggested that Rutte’s cabinet would need to secure the support of two
opposition parties in the senate. In the event either the nine seats that will
be filled by GroenLinks – Wednesday’s other big winner – or the seven held by
the Labour party (PvdA) would be enough to get them over the line. Rutte made
overtures to the former last week when he dropped his opposition to a carbon
tax for business, a move that was enthusiastically welcomed by GroenLinks leader
Jesse Klaver, and the cabinet has softened its stance on migration, the issue
that prompted Klaver to walk out of coalition talks two years ago. Neither will
Rutte have his work cut out rekindling his relationship with Labour leader
Lodewijk Asscher, the deputy prime minister in the last cabinet, if their
convivial sparring in the pre-election TV debate on Tuesday is anything to go
by. Vote-by-vote Given these two options, the coalition is more likely to
solicit support on a vote-by-vote basis than strike a confidence and supply
deal with a single partner, a strategy that backfired on Rutte in 2012 when his
first cabinet was brought down by Geert Wilders. Finally, Baudet’s success
reflects not so much a surge of the nationalist right as a shuffling of the pack
among the populist parties. Nearly a third of his vote came from supporters of
Wilders’s PVV, which is looking increasingly like a spent force. Wilders has
been the standard bearer on the right for the past 15 years but now appears to
have been eclipsed by a younger, more sophisticated pretender. A sizeable block
also seems to have broken away from the left-wing populist Socialist Party,
which has taken a more nationalist line on Europe and immigration since
Lilianne Marijnissen replaced Emile Roemer as leader, only to find, like the
PvdA before them, that offering a Diet Coke version of the populist right only
encourages voters to seek out the real thing. Modest success Smaller numbers
have defected from the coalition parties, but Baudet has had only modest
success in attracting his real target audience – the influential and moneyed
supporters of the VVD, most of whom have, somewhat uneasily, kept faith in
Rutte. Despite fears that Tuesday’s tram shooting in Utrecht might spark a
surge in populist sentiment, it appears to have had little substantial
influence. The last Peilingwijzer opinion poll, from canvassing carried out
before the shooting, gave Baudet and Wilders a block of 18 seats, one more than
the actual outcome. As well as migration, Baudet scored in the campaign on the
issue of climate change and energy transition, but so too did Green-Left,
particularly in metropolitan areas such as Amsterdam, Utrecht and Groningen,
where it took around a quarter of the vote. GroenLinks The polarisation on the
issue reflects a gulf between voters who see tackling global warming as the
number one political priority and those who resent the high personal cost. The
cabinet will now have to revise its plans to meet the agreements in the Paris
climate accord, but Wednesday’s results will give Jesse Klaver a much bigger
say in the matter than Baudet. There is also the question of whether FvD can
build on its success. Baudet will now have to find 12 senators while learning
to handle more than 100 inexperienced deputies in the provincial assemblies of
varying calibre. His manifesto is more comprehensive than Wilders’s pot-pourri
of stock phrases, but his fondness for conspiracy theories and supremacist
rhetoric is an unfortunate weakness for a self-styled intellectual. He celebrated
his victory with a labyrinthine speech peppered with vague classical references
that, as it went on, sounded more like the product of a storytelling workshop
at a survivalist summer camp than a mature political platform. We have known
for a while that Baudet is a politician in thrall to his own rhetorical skills,
but he will need more than dog whistles to change the political mainstream.
Read more at DutchNews.nl:
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