Varoufakis’s
plan B … B for barmy
At a push, one might
say the government in Athens was duty-bound to work on a plan B in
case bailout talks collapsed, liquidity from the European Central
Bank was cut off, and Greek banks remained shut. But former finance
minister Yanis Varoufakis’s idea to set up a parallel payment
system suffered from two obvious flaws.
First, it required a
crack team to hack into the public revenue office’s software to
copy individuals’ tax codes. Varoufakis’s explanation is that the
plan had to be kept quiet in case the dreaded troika of lenders got
wind of it. OK, but the idea that a few individuals could design a
robust new payments system from scratch, and in secret, is simply not
credible. Payments technology and smartphone apps are not cheap or
easy to develop – just ask any UK bank.
The second problem
is even more fundamental. If the payments system had been launched,
the creditors might have declared that Grexit had already happened on
the ground. That would not have helped a Greek government still
hoping for a deal.
Regard the tale,
then, as a strange subplot to the Greek crisis, of which the oddest
part is Varoufakis’s apparent belief that his secret plan could
remain secret even after he had related it on a conference call to a
bunch of hedge fund managers earlier this month.
Nils Pratley
Monday 27 July 2015
20.02 BST /
http://www.theguardian.com/world/nils-pratley-on-finance/2015/jul/27/stock-market-china-analysis-nils-pratley
|
Greece
crisis: Yanis Varoufakis admits 'contingency plan' for euro exit
Politicians
react angrily to ‘dark narrative’ of former finance minister’s
plans for parallel currency
Helena Smith in
Athens
Monday 27 July 2015
19.34 BST /
http://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/jul/27/greece-crisis-yanis-varoufakis-admits-contingency-plan-for-euro-exit
Greece’s former
finance minister, Yanis Varoufakis, has been thrust back in the
spotlight as he vigorously defended plans to launch a parallel
payment system in the event of the country being ejected from the
euro.
Saying it would have
been “remiss” of him not to have a “plan B” if negotiations
with the country’s creditors had collapsed, the outspoken
politician admitted that a small team under his control had devised a
parallel payment system. The secret scheme would have eased the way
to the return of the nation’s former currency, the drachma.
“Greece’s
ministry of finance would have been remiss had it made no attempt to
draw up contingency plans,” he said in a statement.
But Varoufakis, who
resigned earlier this month to facilitate talks between Athens’
left-led government and its creditors, denied that the group had
worked as a rogue element outside government policy or beyond the
confines of the law.
“The ministry of
finance’s working group worked exclusively within the framework of
government policy and its recommendations were always aimed at
serving the public interest, at respecting the laws of the land, and
at keeping the country in the Eurozone,” the statement said.
Earlier on Monday
the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum, which had
organized a conference call between Varoufakis and investors,
released a recording of the conversation held between the former
minister and financial professionals on 16 July . Varoufakis is heard
saying that he ordered the ministry’s own software programme to be
hacked so that online tax codes could be copied to “work out” how
the payment system could be designed.
“We were planning
to create, surrepticiously, reserve accounts attached to every tax
file number, without telling anyone, just to have this system in a
function under wraps,” he says, adding that he had appointed a
childhood friend to help him carry out the plan. “We were ready to
get the green light from the PM when the banks closed.”
The plan was
denounced by Greek opposition parties, which in recent weeks have
called for Varoufakis to be put on trial for treason. The
academic-turned-politician has been blamed heavily for the handling
of negotiations with Greece’s creditors – the European Central
Bank, European commission and Internatonal Monetary Fund – which
saw Greece come close to leaving the eurozone.
The small
centre-left Potami party said the scheme was “reminiscent of a bad
thriller.” The main opposition New Democracy party demanded that
the government “come up with convincing answers for the Greek
people … so that light can be shed on this dark narrative.”
Slovakia’s finance minister Petar Kazimar went further, savaging
Varoufakis’ “two faced games.” In a series of tweets he wrote:
“Unveiled plans by #Greece ex-FinMin Varoufakis to return to
drachma during ongoing talks with us show how unpredictable he was as
a partner”. “We need to make sure such two-faced ‘games’ will
be avoided when debating&drafting the third bailout package for
#Greece#ECB#Eurozone”.
Varoufakis, who once
proposed wiring up tourists in a bid to clamp down on tax evasion,
denounced media accounts of skullduggery as far-fetched.
In a tweet
responding to a report revealing the plan in Sunday’s conservative
newspaper, Kathimerini, he tweeted: “So, I was going to ‘hijack’
Greek citizens’ tax numbers? Impressed by my defamers’
imagination.”
In the statement on
Monday the politician insisted that under his stewardship the Greek
finance ministry had not only served the public’s interest “against
many odds” but managed to change economic debate “throughout the
continent.”
Since the Greek
prime minister, Alexis Tsipras, caved into creditor demands at an EU
summit on 12 July, more than a quarter of the 149 MPs in Tsipras’s
Syriza party have refused to endorse the sweeping austerity measures
demanded by Greece’s creditors in exchange for up to €86bn
(£61bn) in fresh bailout loans.
Forced to push the
policies through parliament with the help of the “pro-European”
opposition, Tsipras’s leftwing Syriza party is not only divided but
bears little resemblance to the one he was catapulted into office
with in January.
Addressing Syriza’s
governing parliamentary secretariat late on Monday, the leader threw
down the gauntlet challenging dissidents to come up with a better
plan than the one he had been forced to accept to keep Greece in the
euro. Rebels have refused to resign arguing they represent the true
spirit of a party elevated into power to eradicate austerity.
Insiders said
Tsipras hoped to close negotiations with auditors – who formally
launch an inspection tour of Greek finances on Tuesday – on a €12bn
package of spending cuts and tax hikes Athens has agreed to enforce
by 18 August, two days before a crucial ECB debt repayment.
Once the bailout
programme is sealed, he will tackle party infighting with an
emergency conference that will attempt to purge Syriza of those who
disagree with the policies before holding fresh elections in early
November. Though increasingly at odds with his own MPs – starting
with Varoufakis – Tsipras remains popular among Greeks who admire
what is perceived as his robust defense of their rights. A second
election victory in a year would give Tsipras the mandate to
implement the controversial reforms he had once so stringently
opposed.
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