segunda-feira, 25 de maio de 2026
Chega depasses PSD in latest Polls
Chega
depasses PSD in latest Polls
Yes, the
far-right Chega party has overtaken the ruling Social Democratic Party (PSD) /
Democratic Alliance (AD) coalition in multiple recent national tracking polls.
The latest
data from late May 2026 highlights a significant shift in Portugal's political
landscape, pushing the governing right-wing coalition into third place.
Latest
Poll Standings (May 2026)
According to
a highly publicized national barometer released on May 22, 2026, voting
intentions for a theoretical general election have rearranged the top three
positions:
- Partido Socialista (PS): Leading comfortably at 33.4%
- Chega: 23.5%, securing second
place
- Aliança Democrática (AD /
PSD-CDS): 23.2%,
dropping to third place
Key
Takeaways from the Shift
- Governing Fatigue: Roughly one year after the
country's snap parliamentary elections, the governing AD coalition under
Prime Minister Luís Montenegro has experienced severe drops in voter
satisfaction, losing roughly 10 points to the opposition in recent
tracking trends.
- Consolidated Opposition: Led by André Ventura, Chega has
managed to preserve a highly stable and resilient voter base. This allowed
them to eclipse the falling AD numbers to become the principal political
force on the Portuguese right.
- Socialist Resurgence: The opposition Partido Socialista
(PS) under José Luís Carneiro has bounced back significantly,
benefiting from widespread public disillusionment with current government
policies.
Portuguese Citizenship Now Takes 10 Years — What Changes in 2026 & Who’s Affected
Portuguese
Citizenship Now Takes 10 Years — What Changes in 2026 & Who’s Affected
On May 3,
2025, Portugal’s President António José Seguro signed the country’s revised
Nationality Law, doubling the residency requirement for most foreign nationals
from five years to ten. The law passed parliament on April 1 with a 152-64 vote
and now awaits formal publication in the Diário da República before taking
effect.
https://www.portugalist.com/portuguese-citizenship-10-years/
For
anyone who moved to Portugal — or was planning to — with citizenship in mind,
this is a significant change. For some people already in the process, it’s a
genuinely painful one.
What the
Law Says
The key
changes under the revised Nationality Law:
Most
non-EU nationals (Americans, Brits, Canadians, and others): residency
requirement increases from 5 years to 10 years
EU
citizens and CPLP nationals (citizens of Portuguese-speaking countries):
requirement increases to 7 years
The
residency clock starts when AIMA issues your residence permit — not when you
submit your application
A civics
knowledge test will likely be introduced as part of the naturalization process
The law
was signed with reservations. President Seguro noted that the revision of a law
of this importance “should also be based on greater consensus,” and
specifically flagged two concerns: that pending applications should not be
adversely affected by the change, and that citizenship timelines should not be
undermined by administrative delays caused by the state itself. These are
presidential statements, not binding legal provisions — but they may carry
weight if the law is challenged in court.
A
separate decree that would have allowed courts to strip naturalized citizens of
nationality upon criminal conviction remains suspended, pending a ruling from
the Constitutional Court.
Portugal
Isn’t the Only Country Doing This
Portugal
tightening its citizenship rules isn’t happening in isolation. Across Europe,
the direction of travel is consistent.
Spain
scrapped its Golden Visa program entirely. Germany abolished its three-year
fast-track naturalization route. The Netherlands has proposed extending
naturalization from five to ten years. Italy has significantly restricted
citizenship by ancestry.
Portugal’s
stated rationale is straightforward: attract people who genuinely want to live
here, rather than those treating residency as a transit route to an EU
passport.
That’s a
defensible position. And even with these changes, Portugal’s residency routes
remain more accessible than most of its neighbors.
That
said, it’s important to be realistic.
“10
Years” Is the Optimistic Version
The
headline number is 10 years. The reality, for most people, is longer —
sometimes considerably longer.
Here’s
why. The new law resets the residency clock to the date AIMA issues your
residence permit, reversing a 2024 amendment that had moved the start date to
when applicants submitted their application. That earlier change was introduced
specifically because AIMA — Portugal’s immigration agency — had developed
significant backlogs, and it was unfair to penalize applicants for delays
outside their control.
The new
law undoes that protection.
Let’s say
you’re applying for the D7 or D8 visa. If you submit your application today,
you might be able to move to Portugal within around 6 months
(optimistically-speaking) but it might take another 6 months before you have
your residency card in hand. That means the clock starts ticking from that
point.
The
Golden Visa typically takes a little longer — around 18 months.
Then
there’s the delays in the citizenship process. Right now, it takes around 2-4
years for a citizenship application to process.
All of
these processes may improve. However, even if they do, 11 years from the point
of application submission is probably the most optimistic timeline. 12-15 is
more realistic.
The
Grandfathering Problem
This is
the part of the law that is hardest to defend.
If you
submitted a citizenship application before the law takes effect, you should be
processed under the rules that existed when you applied. That much is clear.
But if
you moved to Portugal three years ago — or two years ago, or four — having
planned your life around a five-year citizenship timeline, you are not
protected. You will need to complete ten years from your permit issuance date.
Your existing time does not count toward the new requirement.
This
affects a wide range of people. D7 and D8 visa holders who did everything right
and are now partway through a process that has changed without warning. And,
particularly, Golden Visa investors who committed €500,000 or more specifically
because Portuguese citizenship was part of the value proposition. These people
made major financial decisions in good faith, based on rules that existed at
the time.
There is
currently no clarity on whether any transitional provisions will be introduced.
It’s likely there will be lawsuits. Let’s see what happens.
What This
Means for You
If you’ve
already submitted a citizenship application: You should be processed under the
old rules. Keep records of everything.
If you’re
one to four years into your residency: This is the hardest position to be in.
There’s no grandfathering protection as the law stands, and no clarity yet on
whether any will be introduced. Document everything, take legal advice, and
watch this space.
If you’re
a Golden Visa investor mid-process: Get specific legal advice. A challenge to
the law filed by Golden Visa investors at the Constitutional Court in December
2025 is still unresolved. There may be legal avenues worth exploring.
If you
haven’t moved yet: Portugal is still one of the most accessible routes into
Europe for people without European ancestry or exceptional wealth. The D7
remains one of the most attainable visas for those with stable passive or
remote income. Go in with realistic expectations — plan around thirteen to
fifteen years to citizenship — and the fundamentals are still strong.
Is
Portugal Still Worth It?
If you
moved to Portugal, or are thinking about moving, because you genuinely want to
live here, the quality of daily life hasn’t changed. Safety, climate,
healthcare, cost of living, community — none of that was affected by what was
signed on May 3rd.
During
the First 5 Years: Temporary Residency
For the
first five years, you’re on temporary residency. The name sounds precarious —
it isn’t, for most people.
Temporary
residency is renewable, and in practice, renewal is a formality for the
overwhelming majority of residents who are living here legally and not doing
anything to jeopardize their status. “Temporary” describes the card, not your
life in Portugal.
During
this period you have access to the public healthcare system, Portuguese
educational institutions, and the same day-to-day legal protections as a
permanent resident or citizen. You can work, run a business, open bank
accounts, sign leases, and build a normal life. The main thing you don’t have
is voting rights in national elections — but in terms of how daily life
actually feels, temporary residency is closer to full membership than most
people expect before they get here.
So while
the citizenship timeline has lengthened considerably, the clock doesn’t start
at zero in terms of quality of life. You’re not waiting ten-plus years to start
living properly in Portugal. You’re doing that from day one.
Years
5-10: Permanent Residency
After
five years of legal residence, you can apply for permanent residency.
And
here’s the part that surprises most people: you’re allowed to spend up to 30
non-consecutive months outside Portugal in any three-year period without losing
your permanent residency status.
You can
be absent for up to 24 consecutive months
Or up to
30 months total within any 3-year period
That’s a
lot of flexibility. For people who split their time between Portugal and
another country, or who travel extensively, permanent residency is genuinely
workable in a way that temporary residency isn’t.
It’s not
citizenship. A passport is more secure — harder to lose, and it doesn’t depend
on a government that has now demonstrated it’s willing to change the rules. But
permanent residency covers most of what matters in daily life, and for many
people it’s enough.
Years
10+: Waiting for Citizenship
As with
the previous period, you have permanent residency. In practical terms, your
life in Portugal doesn’t look very different from a citizen’s. You’re not in
limbo — you’re settled, you have your rights, you have your stability.
You’re
just waiting for the paperwork to catch up.
As things
stand, citizenship applications are taking around two to three years to
process. That could improve by the time most people reading this reach that
stage — there’s no particular reason to assume it won’t. But it’s worth knowing
that applying at the ten-year mark doesn’t mean receiving citizenship at the
ten-year mark. Factor in another two to three years on top.
It’s a
frustrating final stretch, mostly because there’s nothing to do but wait. But
it’s also the least disruptive part of the process. Your life is already here.
The passport, when it comes, is confirmation of something that’s already true.
Final
Thoughts
This is
an unfortunate development — there’s no way to dress it up otherwise. For
people already here, already planning, already invested, the rug has been
pulled. That deserves to be said clearly.
At the
same time, Portugal isn’t an outlier. This is the direction most EU countries
are heading, and the underlying reasoning — that citizenship should mean
something, that residency shouldn’t simply be a transit lounge for a passport —
is one we can respect, even if we disagree with how this particular law was
implemented. What we can’t condone is the absence of any grandfathering
protection for people who were already in the process. That’s not a policy
position — it’s a basic matter of good faith toward people who trusted the
system. We’ll be watching what happens in the courts closely.
Portugal
will remain one of the most popular destinations in Europe for people looking
to relocate. The D7, the Golden Visa, the D2, the D8 — taken together,
Portugal’s visa options are still stronger than almost anywhere else in the EU.
That hasn’t changed.
But it’s
no longer the no-brainer it was a few years ago. There was a time when Portugal
was the obvious answer for almost anyone asking “where should I move in
Europe?” Now, people will weigh it more carefully — against Spain, Greece,
Malta, Albania, and others. The calculation is more complicated than it used to
be.
That
said, we expect most people who do the research will still end up here. Spain
doesn’t recognize dual citizenship. Albania is not in the EU yet. Malta is more
isolated than Portugal. Other countries, like Ireland or Germany, don’t offer
the same attainable visas that Portugal does.
Portugal
still offers a fantastic deal for those wishing to move to Portugal — it just
won’t be quite as straightforward a decision as it once was.
Portugal's revised Nationality Law (Lei Orgânica n.º 1/2026) officially took effect on May 19, 2026. The new legislation significantly alters naturalization timelines and eligibility rules.
Portugal's
revised Nationality Law (Lei Orgânica n.º 1/2026) officially took effect
on May 19, 2026. The new legislation significantly alters naturalization
timelines and eligibility rules.
Key features
of the updated legislation include:
- Extended Naturalization
Timelines: For
most foreign nationals, the minimum period of legal residence required to
apply for citizenship has increased from 5 to 10 years.
- Special 7-Year Routes: Citizens of European Union (EU)
member states and Portuguese-speaking countries (CPLP, which includes
Brazil, Angola, and Cape Verde) now have a reduced but still increased
requirement of 7 years.
- The Residency Clock Start Date: The residency clock officially
begins on the date a residence permit is issued by the Agency for
Integration, Migration and Asylum (AIMA), rather than from the date an
application was submitted.
- Elimination of Sephardic Jewish
Route: The
regime that granted nationality to descendants of Portuguese Sephardic
Jews has been completely eliminated.
- Loss of Nationality Provision: Judges can now apply the loss
of nationality as an accessory penalty for anyone convicted of serious
crimes resulting in a prison sentence of 5 or more years.
- Transitional Rule: Citizenship applications filed
on or before May 18, 2026, will be governed by the previous laws; however,
pending files started after the new law took effect are subject to the new
timelines.
For more
details on the exact statutes or to evaluate how the new law affects your
personal timeline, refer to the published Lei Orgânica n.º 1/2026 in Portugal's official gazette
Confusion and Worry After Abrupt Change to Green Card Process
Confusion
and Worry After Abrupt Change to Green Card Process
Immigrants
and their advocates and lawyers are trying to interpret a new Trump
administration rule that requires people to be in their native country to apply
for a green card.
Christina
Morales
By
Christina Morales
May 24,
2026
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/24/us/green-card-application-changes-trump.html
A new
federal policy that could require thousands of immigrants to return to their
home countries before petitioning for green cards has applicants and
immigration lawyers scrambling to to understand how the change will affect the
path to permanent residence.
On
Friday, U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, the agency that oversees the
green card system, said that only in “extraordinary circumstances” would people
already in the United States be granted permanent residence. Otherwise, anyone
seeking permanent U.S. residence would need to apply at an American consulate
in their home country.
Immigration
lawyers and advocacy organizations said over the weekend that the change would
reduce green card applications. In 2024, 1.4 million green cards were issued,
and more than 800,000 of the recipients were already in the United States and
had their immigration status modified as part of the process.
The
change announced on Friday will be of particular concern to those who are
married to U.S. citizens and seeking permanent residence, said Charles Kuck, an
immigration lawyer and the former president of the American Immigration Lawyers
Association. Such immigrants typically need to resolve their own immigration
status before seeking a green card and they have generally been able sort out
those issues while remaining in the United States.
“This is
simply an attempt to slow immigration,” Mr. Kuck said, “and make immigration so
unpleasant that you go home.”
Zach
Kahler, a spokesman for the agency, said on Friday that the policy would remove
a loophole where immigrants “slip into the shadows and remain in the U.S.
illegally after being denied residency.”
The memo
notes that allowing immigrants to remain in the country while their green card
applications are processed, “is a matter of discretion and administrative
grace.”
Efrén
Olivares, the vice president of litigation and legal strategy at the National
Immigration Law Center, said the new policy is about disrupting the green card
process.
“It’s going
to upend people’s lives in every sense of the word,” he said.
Most
applicants have been allowed to remain in the United States with their
families, which can include spouses and children who are U.S. citizens, while
the green card process plays out. But now remaining in the country, may be the
exception. In the past, Mr. Olivares said, someone may have been asked to apply
from their home country in extraordinary circumstances, like if they had been
deported several times or if they had a serious criminal history.
Approval
for permanent residency through a U.S. citizen relative can vary depending on
the relationship, Mr. Olivares said. For a spouse, the waiting period could be
about a year; for siblings it can take upward of five years; and for parents,
it could take as long as a decade.
Several
immigrants, who spoke on the condition of anonymity for fear of retaliation,
said on Saturday that they were confused and worried about what this change
could mean for their own applications or those of their partners.
After the
announcement, an Albanian woman with a green card said she called her fiancé,
who lives in Italy, trying to figure out what the change meant for them. The
woman received a green card in 2022 through the lottery system, but her fiancé
is expected to come to the United States this year on a work visa. She said
they are now hiring an immigration lawyer to help figure out how to proceed.
The
impact of this change may not be immediately visible, but will be strongly
felt, said Karla Ostolaza, the managing director of the immigration practice at
the Bronx Defenders, a public defense nonprofit.
“They will
stay in the shadows, remain without status and vulnerable to exploitation, and
fence off any better opportunities to obtain status, even if they’re completely
eligible,” she said.
Maia
Coleman and Oishika Neogi contributed reporting.
Christina
Morales is a national reporter for The Times.
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