5
Things About China’s Currency Devaluation
China on Tuesday
devalued its currency in a way that left it 1.9% weaker versus the
U.S. dollar. The move will likely have a ripple effect through
financial markets as well as in politics, as China is the world’s
largest trader and the yuan is increasingly used overseas. Here are
five things you need to know about Beijing’s latest move.
10 AUG 2015
11:57PMBY CARLOS TEJADA /
http://blogs.wsj.com/briefly/2015/08/10/5-things-about-chinas-currency-devaluation/?mod=e2fb
1 What did China do?
China tightly
controls the value of its currency by setting a daily rate for the
yuan versus the dollar. In China’s domestic market, traders are
allowed to push the yuan 2% stronger or weaker for the day. But the
People’s Bank of China often ignores those market signals when it
sets the next day’s rate, sometimes setting the yuan stronger
versus the dollar when the market is signaling it sees the yuan as
weaker. The central bank said it will now take the previous day’s
trading into account – and it attributes that move to Tuesday’s
sharp drop.
ZUMA PRESS
2 Why did China do
it?
In its statement,
the PBOC said it wants to bring the yuan more in line with the
market. But the move also comes as China’s important export sector
has weakened – and overall economic growth looks sluggish. Over the
weekend, Chinese customs officials said July exports fell 8.3%
compared with a year ago. A weaker currency helps China’s exporters
sell their goods abroad.
3 What does this
mean for the rest of the world?
The most immediate
effect is that it signals to the world that Beijing thinks the
Chinese economy is sputtering. The move suggests China is looking for
ways to get it going again. But it also has major implications for
the U.S. and other countries that trade with China because it puts
their companies at a disadvantage. In the U.S., it will likely
reignite criticism that Beijing keeps the currency artificially low
to help its own manufacturers – a charge that could get added
impetus during the presidential election campaign.
4 What does this
mean for markets?
The move puts
pressure on other central banks around the world to push down their
own currencies to help their own exporters and to prevent
destabilizing capital flows. The move could hurt commodities markets
because it signals potential weak demand from China. It could also
accelerate capital outflows out of China, especially if investors
expect further devaluations.
5 What’s next?
The move could add
to tensions ahead of Chinese President Xi Jinping’s visit to the
U.S. and his meetings with President Barack Obama, which is set for
late September. It could also complicate China’s efforts to get the
yuan added to a basket of currencies tracked by the International
Monetary Fund – efforts aimed at giving the yuan greater acceptance
abroad. Longer-term, the move raises questions about Beijing’s
pledge to liberalize its economy. On one hand, making the yuan more
market-driven is a step in that direction. But the move also appears
to be designed to help exporters, at a time when China has been
looking for other, more dependable sources of growth.
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