Um ponto de mudança na Síria?
Editorial/PúblicoA proposta russa poderá ser decisiva, mas convém lembrar que Moscovo protegeu sempre a Síria
Na véspera da "ofensiva mediática" do Presidente
norte-americano para sensibilizar congressistas e eleitores quanto à necessidade
de um ataque à Síria, pode ter surgido uma via alternativa ao envolvimento
militar dos EUA e do Ocidente. Depois de John Kerry, secretário de Estado
norte-americano, ter dito que o ataque seria desnecessário caso os sírios
entregassem as suas armas químicas, Moscovo pediu a Damasco que o fizesse e
Damasco considerou positivo o pedido de Moscovo. Gerou-se em poucas horas um
consenso internacional favorável a essa proposta. O que está em jogo é, à
primeira vista simples. Se a Síria ceder, será possível sancionar o uso de armas
químicas sem recurso a uma acção militar e será possível, finalmente, ter
Moscovo a pressionar a Síria nas Nações Unidas. Mas, até agora, os russos
protegeram sempre o regime sírio e são por isso responsáveis por não ter havido
até agora uma acção internacional, diplomática ou militar, que tivesse prevenido
a degradação da situação no terreno. Ninguém quer realmente atacar a Síria (a
começar por Obama) mas enganam-se os que acreditam que a acção de Bashar
al-Assad pode ficar sem resposta: a Síria não é um novo Iraque.
Se a iniciativa russa tiver êxito, o mundo poderá ficar satisfeito, mas não deverá esquecer que a cedência foi o resultado de uma pressão muito directa e muito concreta. Se russos e sírios estiverem apenas interessados em ganhar tempo e em perturbar o momentum da iniciativa de Obama, então teremos o pior de dois mundos. O crime não será punido, os sírios e os seus aliados iranianos sentir-se-ão mais à-vontade para agir à margem da lei e Israel sentir-se-á desprotegido. A guerra civil na Síria, é preciso não o esquecermos, não se limita às armas químicas. E tanto podemos estar mais perto de uma solução como de uma eternização do conflito.
Barack Obama has described the Russian proposal for the
Syrian regime to hand over its chemical weapons as a 'possible breakthrough'.
Photograph: Pablo Martinez Monsivais/AP
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Obama welcomes Russian proposal for Syria to hand over
chemical weapons
Russia's suggestion for Syria to place weapons under
international control made after apparent stumble by John Kerry
Dan Roberts in Washington and Julian Borger in London
The Guardian, Tuesday 10 September 2013 / http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/sep/09/us-russian-proposal-syria-chemical-weapons
Barack Obama welcomed a Russian proposal on Monday for Syria
to place its chemical weapons under international control, opening up the first
real chance of a political settlement to the crisis since hundreds of civilians
died in an attack on a Damascus suburb last month.
In a series of primetime television interviews, Obama
described Russia's offer as a "possible breakthrough" and a
"potentially positive development" in the standoff with the regime of
Bashar al-Assad. With the prospect of a deal with the Syrians in the offing,
the Senate majority leader Harry Reid postponed a crucial vote to authorise
military action. Obama conceded in an NBC interview on Monday night that he
might lose his campaign in Congress for authorisation. "I wouldn't say I'm
confident" of the outcome, he said, adding that he had not decided what to
do if it voted against him.
Russia's proposal came after an apparent stumble by the US
secretary of state, John Kerry, which set off a diplomatic scramble in
Washington as administration officials sought to assess whether it offered a
way out for Obama from what has become an increasingly intractable problem.
Speaking in London, Kerry suggested that the only way for
Syria to avoid the threat of a US attack would be for it to hand over all its
chemical weapons within a week. The remarks were characterised as a blunder by
some Washington commentators, and the Department of State at first attempted to
play down their significance, saying Kerry had been speaking
"rhetorically" about a situation that was unlikely to materialise.
But the comments were immediately seized on by the Russian
foreign minister Sergey Lavrov, who raised the prospect of international
observers supervising such a handover. "If the establishment of
international control over chemical weapons in that country would allow
avoiding strikes, we will immediately start working with Damascus," Lavrov
said.
"We are calling on the Syrian leadership to not only
agree on placing chemical weapons storage sites under international control,
but also on its subsequent destruction and fully joining the treaty on
prohibition of chemical weapons," Lavrov said after a meeting with his
Syrian counterpart, Walid al-Moallem.
Intentional or not, Kerry's comments opened up a chance to
defuse the crisis at a moment when Obama was already struggling to persuade
Congress of the need for US intervention. In his NBC interview, the president
said: "You have to take this with a grain of salt initially, but between
the statements that we saw from the Russians, the statement today from the
Syrians, this represents a potentially positive development."
Obama said that the administration would work to assess the
seriousness of the proposals. "We are going to run this to ground. John
Kerry will be talking to his Russian counterpart. We're going to make sure that
we see how serious these proposals are," Obama said.
But US officials nevertheless expressed scepticism over
whether Syria would follow through. "Unfortunately, the track record to
date does not inspire a lot of confidence," said US deputy national
security adviser Tony Blinken.
Obama also claimed that he had first discussed the idea at
the G20 summit as his administration scrambled to claim credit for the Russian
deal and insisted Syria was responding to US pressure. "It is unlikely
that we would have arrived at that point without a credible military
threat," Obama told CNN.
The president will address the American people in a direct
televised broadcast on Tuesday evening. By that time, the White House will have
had the opportunity to assess the viability of the Russian proposal. But
already on Monday night there was a clear sense of relief on Capitol Hill,
where support for military action had been patchy.
A key legislative ally of Obama, Senator Dianne Feinstein of
California, the chairwoman of the Senate intelligence committee, said she would
welcome a move by Syria to put chemical weapons beyond use. "I believe
that Russia can be most effective in encouraging the Syrian president to stop
any use of chemical weapons and place all his chemical munitions, as well as
storage facilities, under United Nations control until they can be
destroyed," Feinstein said.
The former US secretary of state, Hillary Clinton, speaking
after a hastily arranged meeting with Obama at the White House, where she was
due to speak at an event about illegal wildlife trafficking, said the move
could represent an "important step". In her first comments about the
Syria crisis, Clinton warned that it could not make "another excuse for
delay or obstruction".
Kerry later spoke to Lavrov by phone and Washington
scrambled to place its own spin on the unexpected developments. Jay Carney, the
White House spokesman, insisted that the offer by Russia and Syria had only
come about because of "sustained pressure" from the US.
"It is our position, and has been for some time, that
the Syrian regime should not use and also not possess stockpiles of chemical
weapons, and we would welcome any proposals that would result in the
international control and destruction of that chemical weapon stockpile,"
he said at a White House briefing.
"There is no question that we have seen some
indications of an acceptance of this proposal [from the Syrians], but this is a
very early stage and we approach this with scepticism," he added.
The proposal was welcomed by the UN and a number of European
governments. UN secretary general Ban Ki-moon said he would propose the security
council unite and vote on an immediate chemical weapons transfer, placing
weapons and chemical precursors in a safe place within Syria for international
destruction.
Earlier, Ban said that he hoped that a forthcoming report by
UN inspectors on the 21 August attack on a rebel-held areas east of Damascus,
which the US says killed more than 1,400 people, would spur the international
community into action.
Russia suggests Syrian
chemical weapons be held under international control - video
The Russian foreign minister says Moscow will push Syria to
place its chemical weapons under international control. Sergey Lavrov said on
Monday that if such a move would help avert a possible US strike on Syria,
Russia would start work 'immediately' to persuade Syria to relinquish control
over its chemical arsenal
Source: ReutersLength: 26 sectheguardian.com Monday 9
September 2013
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