FOURTH
ESTATE
Opinion | On the Stupidity of Lindsey Graham’s
Putin Death Sentence
Assassinating the Russian leader could backfire
horrendously.
Opinion by
JACK SHAFER
03/04/2022
03:18 PM EST
Jack Shafer
is Politico’s senior media writer.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2022/03/04/lindsey-graham-assassination-putin-dumb-00014309
Sen.
Lindsey Graham’s call for a Russian citizen to perform a hit job on Vladimir
Putin is such a self-evidently terrible idea that even Ted Cruz, himself a
bottomless lode of 24-carat wretched thinking, dunked on its stupidity.
Graham
proposed Putin’s assassination on both a Thursday broadcast of “Hannity” and on
his Twitter feed. “Is there a Brutus in Russia?” Graham asked on Twitter. “The
only way this ends is for somebody in Russia to take this guy out. You would be
doing your country — and the world — a great service.”
As if
addressing a five-year-old, Cruz used his brief tweet to explain to his fellow
Republican senator that the assassination of a foreign head of state was not something
that belonged in the American playbook. Sanction Russia, Cruz argued, provide
military aid to the Ukrainians, boycott Russian gas and oil, but don’t
encourage someone to whack him.
The pitch
to terminate Putin, Julius Caesar-style, may sound appealing. Who among us has
never wished a maximally violent end on an evil dictator who is committing
monstrous acts? But that’s not the way our government works anymore. Assigning
Putin’s death might be plausible if we were already at war with Russia, but
we’re not — yet! And the unintended consequences of murdering Putin need our
consideration before we think of locking and loading.
Since
President Gerald R. Ford prohibited the assassination of foreign leaders with
an executive order in 1976, political assassination has been off the United
States’ books (at least formally). But it wasn’t always that way. In the early
1960s, the U.S. government formulated several attempts and plans to kill Cuban
leader Fidel Castro using exploding cigars, a pair of murderous mobsters, a
femme fatale, an exploding seashell and a poison pen. One reason the U.S.
backed away from assassinations was the loss of its own chief executive, John
F. Kennedy, to a sniper’s rifle. As long as the U.S. maintained anything like
an assassination bureau, it tacitly endorsed the legality of foreign nations
setting up their own killing squads to take out our president. Graham may think
he insulated President Joe Biden from Russian retaliation by assigning the
death of Putin to a Russian, but think how well that argument would hold up if
Putin ordered today that some American play Brutus in the coming days by
ridding the world of Biden.
Granted,
killing Putin would eliminate the architect of the criminal invasion of
Ukraine. But we have no assurance that his replacement would reverse his
military actions. We don’t even have a sound idea of who stands to inherit
control of Russia or even an inkling of whether or not Putin’s absolute power
would be handed down to just one new strongman. It’s conceivable that a Putin
assassination would initiate a deadly, chaotic power struggle among top Kremlin
and military leaders, whose outcome cannot be accurately predicted. For
instance, who wants to see three or four Russian factions, each with nuclear
capability, battling one another? Will one of them be authorized to make peace
with the West or will we end up with several new nuclear adversaries instead of
one? Never forget what followed the hanging of Saddam Hussein and the murder of
Muammar Gaddafi. The death of a strongman almost never serves the remedy we
seek.
It might be
a different matter had Graham called for the assassination of Putin after the
United States declared war on Russia. In times of absolute war, heads of state
are legitimate targets. But no such state of war currently exists between our
two countries. Did anybody in the U.S. Senate recommend the assassination of
Nikita Khrushchev when he invaded Hungary or place an order for Leonid
Brezhnev’s hide after he sent tanks into Czechoslovakia?
U.S.
sponsorship of Putin’s assassination also could easily backfire if Russians
interpreted his killing as an act of American escalation that would unite them
in favor of new acts of counter-escalation. Russian citizens who share little
affinity with Putin or his war today could become patriotic Putinites overnight.
As horrible
as the Ukraine war is, there are still ways for it to end far better or far
worse. Today, only one person in Russia appears to have the power to end the
invasion, and that’s the man who started it. In the short term, Putin should be
viewed — perversely — as a potential asset of peace. The quick end to this war
requires the West to build more exit ramps for him than can be found on the
Santa Monica Freeway. Marking Putin for death would provide a prompt exit for
the Russian leader but not the exit ramp we need.
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