Where is France’s anti-Kremlin candidate?
None of Macron’s rivals have advocated for a tougher
approach with Putin — quite the opposite.
The four leading candidates have either openly
supported Russian President Vladimir Putin during their campaign or avoided
explicitly criticizing Russia |
BY MAÏA DE
LA BAUME
February
23, 2022 4:00 am
Emmanuel
Macron’s failed attempt to prevent an escalation of tensions in Ukraine gave
his rivals a golden opportunity to criticize the French president ahead of
April’s election — but none of them can really claim they would have done
better.
The four
leading candidates competing against Macron for the presidency have either
openly supported Russian President Vladimir Putin during their campaign or
avoided explicitly criticizing Russia.
A day after
Putin ordered his military forces into the occupied areas of Donetsk and
Luhansk, some senior politicians in France were still cautious in their
criticism of the Kremlin, despite the fact that his aggressive step could
potentially trigger the bloodiest conflict on the European continent since
World War II.
On Tuesday,
far-right leader Marine Le Pen, who has long-standing ties with the Kremlin,
called Russian troop movements in Ukraine a “really regrettable” act but said
that she “still believed in diplomacy.”
While the
far right has long cozied up to Russia, ambivalence toward Putin is
particularly striking in France’s mainstream conservative camp, with many
wavering between calls for firmness toward Russia and respect for the vision
championed by Charles de Gaulle, who withdrew his country from NATO’s military
integrated command and tried to establish France as an alternative power during
the Cold War.
Valérie
Pécresse, the presidential candidate for conservative party Les Républicains,
condemned Putin’s actions Tuesday but quickly put the blame on Macron’s
“arrogant and solitary diplomacy,” saying his recent trip to Moscow was too
little, too late.
Last month,
she pitched a “European conference on security” that would involve European
leaders and Russia, calling in an op-ed published by Le Monde on “our Russian
friends” to engage with European partners to solve the Ukraine crisis.
Failed
mediator
Putin’s
decision to intervene in Ukraine dealt a fatal blow to Macron’s diplomatic
efforts to restart dialogue with Russia, including with a high-profile visit to
Russian president.
Macron’s
failed efforts to act as Europe’s mediator and secure a de-escalation in the
crisis were also deemed opportunistic by some, as the French president is in
the coming days expected to officially announce that he will be seeking
reelection.
But while
his actions were widely criticized outside of France, it’s far from certain
that voters will punish Macron for going it alone on Russia.
The
right-leaning candidates’ ambivalent-at-best attitude toward Russia reflects
broader defiance within the country toward international partners when it comes
to defending the country’s interests.
In a study
conducted in January and published by the European Council on Foreign
Relations, a pan-European think tank, only 47 percent of French respondents
said they trust NATO to protect EU citizens’ interests in the event of a
Russian invasion of Ukraine, the lowest level among seven countries polled.
“The
complacency towards Russia transcends the French political class and it is
evident on the right,” said Tara Varma, a senior policy fellow and head of the
Paris office of the European Council on Foreign Relations. “Before, it was
restricted to the extreme right and left but now it also affects the governing
parties.”
“On the
right, there is the Gaullist nostalgia vis-à-vis Moscow,” said Pierre Sellal, a
former French ambassador to the EU. “On the left, they are inaudible on these
issues … They have speaking points that sound like doublespeak.”
The Greens’
Yannick Jadot is the presidential candidate who has adopted the toughest stance
on Russia, calling it a “dictatorship” and Putin a “bloody dictator.” Jadot is
currently polling at 5 percent.
Putin’s
defenders include Eric Zemmour, the far-right TV pundit-turned-candidate who
recently called the president “a Russian patriot” who is entitled to “defend
Russian interests.”
Far-left
leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the only left-leaning candidate currently in double
digits in POLITICO’s Poll of Polls, has called Russia “a partner.” His
pro-Russian stance is mostly imbued with hostility toward the United States.
Zemmour did
not mention Putin by name in his statement following the events in Ukraine.
Instead, he made clear that the current situation was “also” the result of
“policies led by the West and NATO,” advocated against sanctions and suggested
declaring the end of NATO’s eastern expansion in a new treaty.
“For the
extreme right and extreme left, it’s evident that they run through Putin’s
talking points,” said Nathalie Loiseau, a French MEP and Macron ally who chairs
the European Parliament’s subcommittee on security and defense. “Within Les
Républicains, there has always been a complacent trend towards Putin.”
Yet with
Russia’s military intervention in Ukraine, pro-Russia positions will become
harder to sustain for many presidential candidates.
Pécresse,
the conservative candidate, made clear last Saturday that Europe’s message to
Russia had to be “firm like steel.”
But her
tone contrasted with her earlier op-ed, in which she wrote about “eternal
Russia … that of Tolstoy and Pushkin, the country I know and I love,” and which
is “part of the European continent.”
Pécresse
has not shied away from declaring her love of Russia and its authors in other
interviews. She once said that she had learnt Russian after reading Boris
Pasternak’s “Doctor Zhivago,” and addressed the “proud Russian people” in
Russian during a recent TV appearance.
More
evidence of Les Républicains’ attitude toward Russia is the fact that François
Fillon, France’s former prime minister and a Pécresse ally, recently joined the
board of Russia’s largest petrochemical producer Sibur, which has businessman
Gennady Timchenko, a close ally of Putin, as one of its major stakeholders. In
June, Fillon joined the board of another Russian company, Zarubezhneft, which
carries out oil and gas exploration.
Fillon’s
closeness to Russian power led some government officials, including Clément
Beaune, the EU affairs minister, to ask Pécresse to “clarify her position”
regarding the former PM, who “dishonors himself by offering his services to
Russian financial interests.”
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