Russia’s central bank doubles interest rates
after rouble plunges
Country’s economy faces fallout from international
sanctions prompted by invasion of Ukraine
Mark Sweney
@marksweney
Mon 28 Feb
2022 09.33 GMT
Russia’s
central bank has more than doubled interest rates to 20%, and banned foreigners
from selling local securities, in a bid to protect its currency and economy in
the face of international sanctions over the invasion of Ukraine.
The rate
rise, from 9.5%, is aimed to balance the precipitous fall in value of the
rouble and surging inflation as the country braces for its financial markets to
take battering this week.
Currency
trading was due to start later on Monday morning, but other markets were
delayed from opening until at least 3pm.
The rouble
fell 30% to a record low against the dollar before the intervention, and was
down 25% after the move by the central bank.
“External
conditions for the Russian economy have drastically changed,” the central bank
said in a statement, adding that the rate hike “will ensure a rise in deposit
rates to levels needed to compensate for the increased depreciation and
inflation risk”.
The central
bank has ordered companies to sell 80% of their foreign currency revenues.
Elvira
Nabiullina, the governor of Russia’s central bank, was due to speak on Monday
afternoon detailing further measures.
The central
bank said the measures would “depend on the evaluation of risks from external
and internal factors and financial markets’ reaction to them”.
Other steps
announced over the weekend include an assurance from the central bank that it
would resume buying gold on the domestic market.
Neil
Shearing, the group chief economist at Capital Economics, said: “The central
bank of Russia has this morning raised interest rates to 20% but other measures
(eg limits on deposit withdrawals) are possible later today. All of this will
accelerate Russia’s economic downturn – a fall in GDP of 5% now looks likely.
Subsidiaries of some Russian banks overseas are likely to come under intense
pressure (and may fail), but we judge that these are probably too small to
create systemic risks.”
Over the
weekend, Vladimir Putin put his nuclear forces on high alert, while on Monday
the commander of the Ukrainian forces said Russian troops had been stopped from
taking over the capital, Kyiv.
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