RUSSIA-UKRAINE
CONFLICT
Putin was playing Biden all along
The U.S. president and his aides thought they could
manage Putin. Their calculations were dead wrong.
By NAHAL
TOOSI
02/24/2022
05:00 PM EST
Updated:
02/24/2022 05:37 PM EST
https://www.politico.com/news/2022/02/24/putin-was-playing-biden-all-along-00011555
For more
than two decades, Joe Biden has disliked and distrusted Vladimir Putin, even
claiming the Russian didn’t have a soul.
And yet,
for the past year, Biden tried repeatedly to reason with the steely-eyed
strongman.
When the
two met last June in Geneva, Biden urged Putin to end his yearslong aggression
against Ukraine and stop hacking the United States, telling Putin that he was
hurting his “credibility worldwide.” In a call in December, as Putin was
assembling tens of thousands of troops along Russia’s border with Ukraine,
which he first invaded in 2014, Biden pushed him to deescalate and “return to
diplomacy.” Earlier this month, Biden warned Putin that reinvading Ukraine
“would produce widespread human suffering and diminish Russia’s standing.”
None of
these efforts mattered. In launching a massive assault on Ukraine this week,
Putin proved that he sees the world, and his interests, very differently than
Biden hoped. He also proved resistant to many traditional tools of diplomacy
and deterrence.
Biden’s
appeals to Putin’s geopolitical ego didn’t work. Neither did threats of
sanctions, words of condemnation, emotional appeals on human rights grounds,
deployments of U.S. troops to NATO countries and weapons to Ukraine, or the
relatively united front put forth by the United States and its allies. Even an
unusual tactic employed by the Biden administration — publicizing significant
amounts of intelligence about Putin’s plans — didn’t stop the dictator.
And actions
that might have — maybe — changed Putin’s calculus, such as deploying U.S.
troops to Ukraine itself, were not ones Biden would consider.
For Biden
and his team, it is a deeply frustrating moment. Their strategy toward Russia
has largely failed, despite their effort to adjust it over time to account for
Putin’s stubborn moves. The Ukraine attack and the risk of a larger war in
Europe also bodes ill for the administration’s ability to focus on other
priorities going forward, in particular the challenge of a rising China.
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