Germany: SPD intends to form coalition with
Greens and liberals
Centre-left contender to replace Angela Merkel
announces plan for ‘social-ecological-liberal’ alliance
Philip
Oltermann in Berlin
@philipoltermann
Mon 27 Sep
2021 15.51 BST
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/sep/27/olaf-scholz-intends-three-way-coalition-germany
The
centre-left contender to fill Angela Merkel’s shoes has announced his intention
to forge a “social-ecological-liberal coalition” following Sunday’s knife-edge
German national vote, as momentum slips from the outgoing chancellor’s own
designated successor.
“The voters
have made themselves very clear,” Olaf Scholz of the Social Democratic party
(SPD) said at a press conference on Monday morning. He pointed out that his
centre-left party, the Greens and the pro-business Free Democratic party (FDP)
had all picked up significant numbers of new votes at the election, while the
conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU) suffered a loss in support of
almost nine percentage points.
“And that’s
why we have a visible mandate that the citizens of this country have formulated,”
said Scholz, who is vice-chancellor in the outgoing government.
The Greens
and the Free Democrats, who achieved 14.8% and 11.5% of the vote and could form
a stronger bloc than either the SPD or CDU/CSU, have agreed to hold exploratory
talks with each other before entering negotiations proper, the FDP leader,
Christian Lindner, said on Monday.
As well as
joining a power-sharing deal with the SPD, nicknamed “traffic light” after the
parties’ traditional colours, the Greens and FDP could theoretically lend their
support to a so-called “Jamaica coalition” with the CDU, led by its chancellor
candidate, Armin Laschet.
As exit
polls on Sunday projected the SPD and CDU to be tied in a dead heat, Laschet
initially sounded bullish in his determination to lead the next government,
saying “we will do everything to form a government”.
But after
the SPD’s lead increased as votes were counted and it went 1.6 percentage
points ahead of the CDU, which also recorded its lowest-ever share of the vote,
Laschet gave a more modest impression the next day, without ceding his claim
completely.
While the
result of the vote “cannot, must not and won’t satisfy the [Christian
Democratic] Union”, the CDU leader said at a press conference, it did not yield
a government mandate for either of the largest parties.
Not only
Social Democrats question Laschet’s analysis of the result. On Bild newspaper’s
own television channel, the tabloid’s commentator Paul Ronzheimer said the
Rhinelander gave the impression that “he lives in a different reality”.
Armin
Laschet at the press conference at CDU headquarters on Monday.
Armin
Laschet at the press conference at CDU headquarters on Monday. Photograph: Maja
Hitij/EPA
Several
conservative politicians who had backed the CDU candidate on election night
distanced themselves from his boosterish determination on Monday morning.
“Second
place cannot be construed to amount to a mandate to form the next government,”
tweeted Markus Söder, the Bavarian state premier whom many conservatives had
wanted to see run for the top job in Laschet’s stead. At a press conference,
the southern German leader talked of a “disappointing result” and a “defeat
that cannot be sugarcoated”.
“I think a
lot of voters were irritated by what Laschet said on Sunday,” said the
political scientist Andrea Römmele on public broadcaster ARD. “I think it’s
dawning on them that that wasn’t a particularly smart move”.
In Saxony,
where the CDU ceded several constituencies to the far-right Alternative für
Deutschland (AfD), the state premier, Michael Kretschmer, described the outcome
of the vote as an “earthquake” that did not give his party moral authority to
lead the next government.
“At this
election the CDU was not the first choice,” Kretschmer told the broadcaster
MDR. “There was a clear mood for change, against the CDU.”
The Saxon
leader blamed his party’s poor result in the south-eastern region largely on
the government handling of the Covid pandemic. Federal structures initially
allowed his state to pursue its own course with social distancing rules, for
example by ruling out closures of nurseries and primary schools. Later in the
pandemic, state authorities were overruled by Merkel’s federal government.
Scholz, the
frontrunner to eventually take over Merkel’s keys to the chancellory, said on
Sunday evening he was confident there would be a new government by Christmas.
But the
pace of coalition talks in the coming weeks will be unhurried and cautious, not
least because the last time three German parties entered talks to share power
in government, between the CDU, the Greens and the FDP in 2017, the experiment
ended in failure.
On Monday,
Scholz promised to approach talks in a very pragmatic and “unboastful’”
fashion.
Should
Scholz be able to convince the Greens and FDP to enter coalition talks with his
party first and on exclusive terms, a leisurely pace may also work in his
favour. The fragile truce that has persisted among Germany’s conservatives so
far is unlikely to survive a protracted period of watching its historical
rivals inch their way to power.
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