The Guardian view on the Conservative conference:
an exercise in diverting blame for failure
Editorial
Without a candid audit of what has gone wrong, Rishi
Sunak will struggle to develop a meaningful programme for the future
Sun 1 Oct
2023 18.30 BST
The
Conservative party that gathers in Manchester for its annual conference this
week is exhausted, divided and intellectually bankrupt. The constitutional
basis on which Rishi Sunak governs is solid, but his electoral mandate is the
flimsiest of any prime minister in modern times. The parliamentary majority
that keeps Mr Sunak in Downing Street was won by Boris Johnson nearly four
years ago on a platform that has subsequently fallen apart. Mr Johnson’s
mendacious character rendered his promises worthless. His successor, Liz Truss,
was chosen by a ballot of Tory members representing a tiny fraction of the
electorate. She then imposed policies derived more from her own ideological
fantasies than any published manifesto.
That
operation had to be swiftly reversed by the current prime minister, who was
elected by no one. He was installed by his parliamentary colleagues to restore
financial stability and professional credibility to a country that looked
absurd. That duty has been discharged, leaving Mr Sunak without a more coherent
governing purpose. Opinion polls indicate a substantial appetite for regime
change. A shift in that position is technically possible before an election
next year, but few Tories believe it is likely. Some don’t even think it is
desirable. After 13 years in power, the party needs to admit its failures and
resolve profound questions about its identity.
All parties
contain factions and competing currents, but 21st-century Conservatism is
unusually conflicted, styling itself as both the reactionary bulwark of
traditional culture and a radical insurrection. It is sometimes liberal and
sometimes nationalist; obsessed with global status but resentful of
international obligations; rhetorically committed to public services and
environmental protection but ideologically allergic to the kinds of state
intervention that would honour those commitments.
Brexit is
the paradigmatic expression of those contradictions and an impediment to their
resolution. Since 2016, the Tories have become increasingly radicalised in a
doctrine that promised a kind of heroic national renewal that was unavailable
by means of separation from the EU. That basic error is too monumental for most
Tories to admit. Like all utopian revolutionaries and political fraudsters
throughout history, Brexit ultras switched seamlessly from making unrealistic
promises to hunting scapegoats. They went from denying that their plans had a
downside to diverting blame for their failure.
This
explains the relentlessly aggressive rhetoric directed by Suella Braverman, the
home secretary, towards refugees. The same displacement activity foments
culture wars on other matters that are, at most, peripheral to the needs of a
country mired in economic stagnation. Mr Sunak might eke some electoral
advantage out of the attempt to oppose speed limits and anti-pollution measures
as a crusade for motorists’ liberty, but such fixations suggest the prime
minister lacks bigger ideas.
Conservatism
is looking like a spent force in government. Austerity hollowed out public
services without delivering economic growth. Brexit sabotaged the economy with
no practical gain in sovereignty. Mr Sunak was installed by Conservative MPs as
a leader of last resort to project managerial competence and to defer civil war
in his party. That is the limit of what he can achieve in Manchester this week.
He has a constitutional right to govern, but he should not mistake that for a
licence to indulge his party’s predilection for radical experiments.
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