quarta-feira, 7 de dezembro de 2022

London Playbook: Whack-a-mole politics — PMQs at noon — Meanwhile in DC

 


London Playbook: Whack-a-mole politics — PMQs at noon — Meanwhile in DC

BY ELENI COUREA

DECEMBER 7, 2022 8:00 AM CET

https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/london-playbook/london-playbook-whack-a-mole-politics-pmqs-at-noon-meanwhile-in-dc/

POLITICO London Playbook

By ELENI COUREA

 

SCOOP — FROM PINK TO BLUE: The Financial Times’ Whitehall Editor Seb Payne is leaving journalism to become the new director of conservative think tank Onward. After 12 years as a hack — seven of them at the FT — Payne will head up the center-right think tank, proven to be deeply influential in Rishi Sunak’s administration. Onward’s founding director Will Tanner became deputy chief of staff at No. 10 last month and at least two more people have since left to join government.

 

Moving onward: Payne, who is the author of two books on Labour’s 2019 collapse in the Red Wall and on Boris Johnson’s fall from power, told Playbook he’s been a “huge admirer of Onward.” “For the first time in some years, politics is thankfully focusing on policy and ideas and Onward is perfectly placed to inject some real pep and fresh thinking into the debate,” he said. “Its groundbreaking research on regional inequality, levelling up and the post-Brexit alignment has been a huge inspiration for my books and journalism. Onward’s values are my values and I can’t wait to take up the mantle from the outstanding work done by Will and Adam [Hawksbee, the deputy director].” He starts early in the new year.

 

Good Wednesday morning. This is Eleni Courea, writing Playbook for the rest of the week.

 

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DRIVING THE DAY

WHACK-A-MOLE POLITICS: Rishi Sunak will go head-to-head with Keir Starmer for PMQs at noon after seeing off his second fledgling Tory rebellion of the week — at the cost of another U-turn, this time on onshore wind.

 

Where we are: Sunak announced last night he would hold a consultation on dropping the ban on new onshore wind turbines — a ban which he endorsed during the leadership contest in an interview with the Telegraph. The compromise, ultimately designed to incentivize areas to approve wind farms with cheaper bills through a yet-to-be-defined system of local consent, appears to have satisfied both rebel leader Simon Clarke and his chief opponent John Hayes. Here’s the FT write-up.

 

How we got here: Playbook readers won’t be shocked to hear that Sunak’s summertime endorsement of the ban on onshore wind appears to have been a bid to sweeten Tory members up rather than based on any genuinely-held personal belief. And from what Playbook hears, voters’ views were as key to the change in policy as the threat of a Tory rebellion. A BEIS survey in March found that public support for onshore wind was 78 percent and opposition just 5 percent. A No. 10 source told Playbook: “This is a government that listens, that works with colleagues and considers policy in the round to reach pragmatic solutions.”

 

On that note: The Guardian’s Fiona Harvey and Helena Hornton report the government is also softening its stance on solar panels. At a committee hearing yesterday, Thérèse Coffey rowed back from Sunak’s tough line over the summer and Mark Spencer, the farming minister, has now told the paper he is pretty relaxed about the whole thing. 

 

As it happens… The decision on whether to approve the U.K.’s first new coal mine in a generation is expected today. Government officials were silent last night amid whispers Michael Gove was poised to green-light the new mine outside Whitehaven in Cumbria. Without wanting to seem cynical it all looks to Playbook like a case of parcelling up bad news with the good (a source tells the Times’ Steve Swinford and Oli Wright that the new mine is “quid pro quo” for relaxing restrictions on onshore wind, which Team Gove denies). The Guardian’s Jess Elgot previews the row this sets up. 

 

Taking a step back: No. 10’s strategy for dealing with the threat of major rebellions — including on tax rises in the Autumn Statement, the Online Safety Bill’s “legal but harmful” clauses and two-headed revolt over housebuilding, and onshore wind in the planning bill — has been to engage and triangulate into an acceptable middle ground. Insiders argue this yields sensible policy results while bringing the majority of the party along — but among others there are grumbles that No. 10’s approach is too cautious and meek. “They have more power than they realize,” one Tory MP told Playbook this week.

 

SCOOP — CRASH CRUNCH: While ministers have been busying themselves with concessions on the planning bill, a rebellion has been brewing over access to free cash in remote areas as banks and the Post Office shut their branches. An amendment to the Financial Services and Markets Bill drafted by Labour’s Siobhain McDonagh with consumer group Which? has amassed Tory backbench support ahead of a vote today. Playbook counted 21 Tory MPs on the paper after three additions late last night, with names from all wings of the party and including Priti Patel, Danny Kruger, Anne Marie Morris, David Mundell and Iain Duncan Smith.

 

Call to arms: One Tory rebel told Playbook: “HSBC have just announced they’re closing branches … Banks are taking the piss in rural areas and we have no option but to sign this and push the government to act.” Rocio Concha, the director of policy and advocacy at Which?, said the amendment aimed “to ensure those who want to use cash aren’t cut further adrift.”

 

Crunching the numbers: 21 Tories — assuming no more join, and also assuming those who signed the amendment actually back it — isn’t enough to overturn the government’s working majority of 69 but would send a clear message if it came to a vote. In a letter sent to MPs on Monday and seen by Playbook, Treasury minister Andrew Griffith effectively restated the government position on the bill, saying he recognized “the considerable interest of colleagues in the matter of free access to cash in relation to the government’s legislation” but the government believed it was a matter for the FCA and that “access to cash remains extensive in the U.K.” It suggests ministers are holding firm… at least for now.

 

MEANWHILE 4,000 MILES AWAY: Liz Truss is hobnobbing with other has-been center-right politicians at the International Democrat Union gathering in Washington D.C. (where she was snapped by one keen-eyed local). Her spokesman told Playbook she was invited to attend by IDU chairman and former Canadian prime minister Stephen Harper. 

 

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TODAY IN WESTMINSTER

WINTER OF DISCONTENT: Mark Harper is up in front of the transport committee at 9.30 a.m., as Christmas travel chaos looms with the RMT digging its heels in over planned strikes. The Times, Mail, Telegraph and Express all splash on strikes in some form after thousands of ambulance workers voted to walk out on December 21. Times Radio’s Dominic Hauschild has crunched the numbers and reckons more than a million workers across different sectors are preparing to strike this month. 

 

And speaking of discontent: Sunak is now under pressure from his MPs to grip the problem by accelerating anti-strike legislation — while senior government figures are considering how to tighten rules further, the FT reports in a big piece on the industrial action. “If the Christmas Eve strike goes ahead, we need to crack on with the anti-strike laws early in the new year,” a minister tells the paper. The FT estimates that these disputes threaten the worst disruption to the British economy since the summer of 1989. The Mail leader warns that “the government has put up embarrassingly little resistance” and that the PM “needs to be seen to be taking charge.”

 

SOMETHING ELSE TO MONE ABOUT: Tory peer Michelle Mone lobbied ministers including Matt Hancock to try and secure COVID contracts for a company that was actually a secret entity of her husband’s family office, the Guardian’s Henry Dyer and wider investigations team report in a cracking scoop. A departmental source tells the Guardian that Mone was “in a class of her own in terms of the sheer aggression of her advocacy” on behalf of the firm, LFI Diagnostics. Mone and her husband did not respond to the Guardian’s allegations. The Times has a good profile of her.

 

The saga continues: Mone said yesterday she would take a leave of absence from the Lords to try and clear her name over allegations she profited from government contracts for another company recommended by her, Medpro. She denies any role in that company or profiting from the contracts. Ministers will now have to release papers, correspondence and advice relating to Medpro after Labour’s humble address yesterday.

 

LABOUR IN BUSINESS: Multiple sources have passed Playbook the agenda for Labour’s schmoozy business day in London this Thursday — which is sponsored by HSBC and Mastercard among others. The agenda lines up top company bosses including Aviva chief exec Amanda Blanc, HSBC chief exec Ian Stuart, Microsoft UK chief exec Clare Barclay, Tesco chairman John Allan and M&S board member Justin King for introductions and speeches. They’ll get the opportunity to hobnob with Labour shadow Cabinet figures including Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves — with the party hoping it’ll be more of a success than the Tory conference business dinner.

 

NEW TOY: A deal through which the U.K. will team up with Japan and Italy to build a new stealth fighter plane capable of flying unmanned and dodging radar by 2035 is expected to be finalized by the end of the week, the Sun’s Harry Cole reports.

 

Incidentally: Labour matched the Tories for donations in the third quarter of this year, according to just-published Electoral Commission records. The Times has a write-up.

 

PESTMINSTER UPDATE: Recent stories in the Sun have renewed attention on the vexed question of how to deal with MPs who are accused of sexual misconduct. While it’s still a pretty high bar to meet, a consultation opened this week (as first revealed by my POLITICO colleague Esther Webber) on proposals to ban MPs charged with serious criminal offenses. Under the plans, a risk assessment would be carried out by a small panel of senior parliamentary officials, and any ban would need to be approved by a second panel composed of two deputy Speakers and a non-executive member of the House of Commons Commission.

 

The terms of a ban: An MP who met the criteria would be banned from the parliamentary estate but would be able to take part in any virtual proceedings, while their pass would be suspended. They would be excluded from any domestic or foreign travel funded by the Commons, including select committee travel, but would still be free to attend their constituency office and go on APPG trips.

 

Over to you: The Commission is seeking the views of MPs and staff until January 31 at this address.

 

Zooming out: Given the number of hoops that parliamentary authorities need to jump through just to place a ban on an MP who’s actually been *charged* with a sexual or violent offense, it doesn’t bode well for any potential sanctions against someone facing complaints that are serious but have not been taken to the police for whatever reason.

 

SUPPORT SERVICE: The MoJ is launching a 24/7 support line for victims of rape and sexual abuse to contact from today. It will be operated by Rape Crisis.

 

RAAB LATEST: Asked about bullying allegations against him, justice sec and deputy PM Dominic Raab told ITV’s Anushka Asthana yesterday that civil servants never raised concerns with him personally.

 

PETROL PRICES: Playbook hears that business sec Grant Shapps was passed evidence by the CMA yesterday suggesting that supermarkets were failing to pass on falling wholesale petrol prices to consumers, and has instructed the watchdog to look into it. A Whitehall source said that “Grant isn’t very ‘shappy’ with petrol retailers or energy suppliers right now. Forecourts are only too quick to hike prices when the wholesale cost goes up, but not the other way round and it’s just not on.”

 

Also on the BEIS agenda: Graham Stuart, the energy minister, will pressure energy suppliers to ensure consumers with prepaid meters get the £400 vouchers of government support they are entitled to.

 

IF EU HAVE ONE, SO CAN WE: The government has unveiled an energy security partnership with the U.S. along similar lines to the EU’s energy security taskforce with Washington. The U.K.-US “joint action group” — which Rishi Sunak and Joe Biden laid the ground for at the G20 summit in Bali — will be led by senior U.K. government and White House officials and work on promoting clean energy and efficiency plus promotion of nuclear energy, including small modular reactors.

 

WONK WATCH: Policy Exchange has a paper out today arguing that Church leaders such as Archbishop of Canterbury Justin Welby — who has secured a Lords debate on this on Friday — have intervened in the debate on Channel migrants without having thought it through properly, and have wrongly ended up embracing open borders.

 

II: And while we’re talking about energy, the Social Market Foundation is publishing a report at 9.30 a.m. which says the U.K. will run out of mechanics trained to maintain and repair electric cars by 2030.

 

III: The Institute for Government has a report out today arguing Whitehall departments need more targets and guidance on diversity, as it finds that civil servants feel they have faced barriers to progression at work because of their class, ethnicity or other factors.

 

HOUSE OF COMMONS: Sits from 11.30 a.m. with Attorney General questions — Michael Ellis at the despatch box klaxon — followed by PMQs at noon … After any UQs or statements, the main business will be the remaining stages of the Financial Services and Markets Bill.

 

COMMITTEE CORRIDOR: Education Secretary Gillian Keegan faces her first grilling from the education committee (9.30 a.m.) … As does Transport Secretary Mark Harper at the transport committee (9.30 a.m.) … Rising numbers of asylum claims from Albanian nationals will be examined at the home affairs committee, which will question Albanian Ambassador Qirjako Qirko (9.45 a.m.) … and journo at the Athletic Joey D’Urso appears at the Treasury committee’s inquiry into the crypto-asset industry (2.15 p.m.). Full list here.

 

HOUSE OF LORDS: Sits from 3 p.m. with questions on the cost of plane travel from GB to NI, the Scottish government’s paper on the economy of an independent Scotland and on strikes over Christmas … and then the main business will see peers scrutinize the Higher Education (Freedom of Speech) Bill at report stage.

 

BEYOND THE M25

FLYNNING HERE: Stephen Flynn was crowned as the SNP’s new leader in Westminster last night … and will get straight to work with his first PMQs outing at noon today. After that he’ll get to work on picking his new front bench team. Expect a ruckus if he goes ahead with briefed plans to clear out allies of Ian Blackford and replace them with his buddies in the “Tuesday club” of beer-drinking SNP blokes. Playbook’s Andrew McDonald has a write-up here of Flynn’s eventually comfortable victory over Alison Thewliss.

 

Not joining the front bench: Marmite figure — and persistent Sturgeon critic — Joanna Cherry last night poured cold water on speculation she was in line for a return to the front bench. Cherry tweeted that she is committed to chairing the joint committee on human rights.

 

THEIR MAN IN BELFAST: Joe Biden will imminently appoint an envoy to Northern Ireland, a position that’s been left vacant since the days of Donald Trump, Bloomberg’s Alex Wickham reports. The timing is significant as London and Brussels step up talks to try and resolve the impasse over the Northern Ireland protocol in time for the anniversary of the Good Friday Agreement in Easter. A U.K. official tells Wickham the hope is that the U.S. will encourage the EU to agree to make changes to the text of the protocol (good luck with that!).

 

DREAMING BIG: This evening is the big reveal of POLITICO’s 28 power list of the top political movers and shakers in Europe. On Tuesday we revealed our nominees in the Dreamers category, with Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon at no.2.

 

Disruption ahead: Nominees in the final category of disrupters will be announced by noon today. Check here to see them when they drop. And you can also sign up at the same link to watch the live unveiling of the audience choice and POLITICO’s pick for the most powerful person in Europe.

 

**What does the future hold with the newly published European Commission’s voluntary framework for certifying carbon removals? POLITICO Live is bringing the answer to you as we are hosting a spotlight “The EU’s carbon removal gamble” today. Register now!**

 

INVESTIGATION — FRENCH PRIVACY CHAMPION TURNS: POLITICO has published an investigation by Elisa Braun with Jules Darmanin on how France’s onetime champion of digital privacy has changed his stripes and gone head-first into the shady world of cyber surveillance instead.

 

Dreams of an ethical search engine: Eric Leandri was one of France’s top digital entrepreneurs and his privacy-focused Qwant search engine, flush with investor cash and hyped up by the likes of Emmanuel Macron and Margrethe Vestager as a European competitor to Google.

 

From super to snooper: Now Qwant is struggling, having recently been bailed out by China’s tech giant Huawei. After Leandri left the company in 2020, he founded a new startup with a very different take on privacy. Altrnativ, his new firm, has won prestigious contracts in the murky underworld of cyber surveillance, and prepared commercial pitches offering cyberweapons to African countries with histories of human rights abuses. A trove of 4,000 documents seen by POLITICO shows how Leandri’s new venture has been contracted by defense companies and French big-name brands to track people down. 

 

All’s fair in love and competition? Leandri’s journey symbolizes Europe’s struggles to create technology champions that can keep up in a landscape dominated by Silicon Valley, Israel and Asia, Elisa writes. “My fight today is the same as it always was: The only way to protect [Europeans] is with tools developed by Europeans,” the entrepreneur told Elisa. “Sure, I may not be perfect son-in-law material. More like a usual suspect. But aside from that, I don’t see what we do that’s wrong other than bring sovereignty back home.”

 

And here’s the spooky part: After POLITICO contacted Leandri, someone made dozens of attempts to hack into the online accounts of a reporter working on this story.

 

UKRAINE UPDATE: Volodymyr Zelenskyy visited Ukrainian troops at the frontline in Donetsk last night, as fierce fighting continues over eastern bits of Ukraine that Russia took control of right back at the start of the war. The BBC has more here.

 

Don’t mention NATO: Western officials and politicians are refusing to touch the topic of Ukraine’s potential NATO membership, POLITICO’s Lili Bayer writes in a great piece on the West’s nerves about any further eastward expansion.

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