sábado, 29 de abril de 2023

Playbook PM: Curse of Boris — Unions divide — Polling odds

 


Playbook PM: Curse of Boris — Unions divide — Polling odds

BY EMILIO CASALICCHIO

APRIL 28, 2023 6:15 PM CET

https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/london-playbook/playbook-pm-curse-of-boris-unions-divide-polling-odds/

 

London Playbook

By EMILIO CASALICCHIO

 

Good afternoon.

 

FRIDAY CHEAT SHEET

— Richard Sharp resigned as BBC chairman in a huge embarrassment for the broadcaster and former PM Boris Johnson.

 

— Health unions are split on the government’s pay offer — while chatter continues about Health Secretary Steve Barclay.

 

— The latest reports about Julian Knight underline continued questions about parliamentary HR.

 

— Sudan ceasefire extended, giving Brits more time to get out.

 

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TOP OF THE NEWSLIST

BORIS STRIKES AGAIN: The BBC is chair-less, after Richard Sharp was forced to quit the role over his relations with human landmine Boris Johnson while he was being appointed.

 

How it happened: Sharp announced his resignation just after 10 a.m. this morning, after a damning investigation found he should have declared his role helping Johnson (who recommended him for the job) secure a loan guarantee during the BBC appointment process. To embarrass the broadcaster further, he made a video statement in front of a massive BBC logo.

 

Invisible violin: The ex-investment banker and Conservative donor said his breach of the governance code for public appointments was “inadvertent and not material,” and that a breach doesn’t have to “invalidate an appointment.” However, the top bloke in the end “decided that it is right to prioritize the interests of the BBC.”

 

Gushing praise: Culture Sec Lucy Frazer thanked Sharp for being “a champion for what a strong BBC can achieve” and said his decision to step down was a “testament” to his commitment to public service.

 

True public service … Is the work Gabriel Pogrund and Harry Yorke at the Sunday Times did in fighting to bring the affair to light. The pair have been nominated for a Private Eye Paul Foot award for their efforts, alongside a number of other excellent journalists doing proper public interest work.

 

Indeed: The details of the Sharp report reveal more of what went on in secret behind the scenes, with Downing Street poking the appointment process on a number of occasions to ensure Johnson’s pick ended up with the job. Pogrund also pointed out how the involvement of Whitehall chief Simon Case in the affair was kept as quiet as possible.

 

Well, quite: Acting culture committee chair Damian Green said the “undoubted damage Mr Sharp’s failure to disclose perceived conflicts of interest has caused to trust in the BBC, the public appointments process and to Mr Sharp’s reputation could all have been avoided had he chosen to be more open with the facts when he appeared before the committee more than two years ago.”

 

And indeed: Some in government reckon Sharp was good in the role. “I don’t know anyone who’s worked with him at BBC that says he hasn’t been a good chairman,” one Whitehall official told Playbook PM. “But Boris damages everyone.”

 

So what about BoJo: Former commissioner for public appointments Peter Riddell told Radio 4’s World at One show Johnson’s involvement in the process should be examined too. He said it hadn’t been discussed enough because it was outside the remit of the independent probe.

 

No comment: ITV doorstepped Johnson (shirt gloriously untucked) outside his home this morning. He didn’t want to talk about it at all.

 

What happens next: Labour (which secured the independent investigation) is urging Rishi Sunak to depoliticize the BBC chair appointment process. Shadow Culture Secretary Lucy Powell said the Tories had been doing “everything they can to defend themselves and their mates,” adding: “Rishi Sunak should urgently establish a truly independent and robust process to replace Sharp to help restore the esteem of the BBC after his government has tarnished it so much.” The opposition has established a BBC review panel to consider its governance. Powell is on Channel 4 News tonight too.

 

But but but: Labour was blasted during the Tony Blair era for political appointments to the Beeb too. See here.The politics wheel continues to turn.

 

FWIW: Sunak refused to comment when questioned in a clip this afternoon. “There’s an appointments process that happens for those appointments,” he said. “I’m not going to prejudge that.”

 

Also FWIW: Politics pundit Gary Lineker also reckons the Beeb chair shouldn’t be appointed by the government of the day.

 

BROKEN BRITAIN LATEST

STRIKERS SPLIT: The GMB union voted to accept the pay offer for NHS staff, while Unite rejected it — a split the government will have no problem with. There’s still a protest march planned in Westminster over the weekend and a nursing strike on Monday. The FT’s John Burn-Murdoch has a vital thread on the crisis in NHS staffing. Other than the GMB result, not much of it is good news for Health Secretary Steve Barclay, who was already having a tough week

 

More Steve: Playbook PM has been hearing more about Barclay not bullying civil servants but leaving them narked after venting complaints. He is said to have seemed rankled by his relative lack of power while covering the Brexit negotiations at DExEU and running the Cabinet Office — both of which involved Downing Street or others in the political game clipping his wings. Allies of Barclay rejected suggestions Playbook hears that he tends to respond to situations he finds difficult with frustration, throwing blame at those around him.

 

The sad truth: It’s a state of affairs, which isn’t unusual. “There are some absolutely charming, wonderful, self-aware ministers who take responsibility for themselves, but most are a bit insecure,” one former permanent secretary told Playbook PM. “And insecurity tends to come out in ways which are difficult for senior civil servants and the department as a whole.”

 

One-sided relationship: The same person noted that maintaining the relationship between a minister and a perm sec is more often than not the sole responsibility of the latter, since the culture breeds ministers who feel entitled to make zero effort. Therefore, civil servants can never be too direct when challenging ministers, and will couch their points in a filtered politeness — feeding the entitlement and therefore prompting ever worse behavior. “In the past, the thing that held the system together was the fundamental element of respect in the system itself,” the person said. “And the Boris Johnson administration kind of broke that.”

 

The feeling in Whitehall is: While we have a regime that promotes ministers based on political patronage and looking good in the press, rather than on competence and good managerial skills, not much is going to change. Former DIT boss John Alty said as much when he tweeted that “good ministers” from across the political divide can work well with Whitehall in an atmosphere of trust.

 

Getting on with the job: A spokesman for Barclay said: “The health secretary is focused on resolving the industrial disputes in the NHS and on delivering on the prime minister’s promise to cut waiting lists so people get the care they need more quickly.”

 

In more broken Britain news … the general secretaries of all four education unions announced a plan to co-ordinate on strikes moving forward … while the PCS union said members working for the Care Quality Commission will strike for two days next week.

 

**A message from Google: Whether it’s headlines from Westminster or Warrington, Google connects millions of people to publishers of all sizes. Our commitment to a sustainable news industry spans more than two decades, and our products make it easier for people to access reliable news from UK publishers, big and small. Learn more about how Google supports news here.**

 

DRIVETIME DEBRIEF

A KNIGHT’S TALE: Parliamentary staff are fuming over the BBC’s revelation that Julian Knight is facing fresh complaints about his conduct, my colleague Esther Webber hears. They highlight comments from the Prospect trade union that the Conservatives’ refusal to hand back the whip “suggests they have serious concerns,” demanding explanations as to why he was allowed to return as a committee chair and even chair an evidence session after the Easter recess. Knight strongly denies wrongdoing and told the Beeb: “I have not been made aware of any details of allegations supposedly made subsequently against me.”

 

We don’t like to go on about it … but: Proposals to exclude MPs accused of serious offenses from the parliamentary estate would not have any bearing in a case like this, since they only envisage a mandatory ban for an MP who has been charged with a crime. Some campaigners would like to see it apply from arrest, but aren’t holding their breath. Esther hears a “risk assessment” was carried out in relation to Knight and support offered to committee staff. But how this is all done remains a mystery.

 

Oh, Lordy: Incidentally, the House of Lords is coming forward with its own plan for banning dodgy peers — but it would only apply to members charged with crimes carrying a prison sentence of two years or more, which wouldn’t cover some sexual offenses such as flashing. As one parliamentary official puts it: “How can we continue to rely on gentlemen’s agreements when dealing with allegations of deeply ungentlemanly behavior?”

 

MORE BAD VIBES LATEST: Two more MPs are facing Commons standards investigations: Conservatives David Mundell and Roger Gale. Details here.

 

WHAT THE LIB DEMS (DON’T) WANT TO TALK ABOUT: MP Layla Moran got a telling off for urging voters to back the Greens at the locals in one area in a bid to oust the Tories, Christian Calgie reports for the Express.

 

Speaking of the locals: Playbook PM offered a bit of color from the Labour campaign last night, and can report that the Conservative drive is (of course) running hot too. The campaign is split between the CCHQ office in London and its sister base in Leeds, with chair Greg Hands eager to get staff out on the doorsteps and not just holed up at their desks. The mood is said to be good in the offices, despite expectations of losses in the polls, with lots of mental preparation going on for a tough night. Hands is on the road for much of the time, with Duran Duran and other New Romantics-orbit tunes blasting on the stereo.

 

Line on Boris: In an interview with the Telegraph’s Chris Hope for his own afternoon newsletter (even though other afternoon newsletters don’t exist) Hands said Boris Johnson “is still an asset” for the Conservatives and could help campaign in the locals further afield than his own Uxbridge seat.

 

WHAT THE GOVERNMENT WANTS TO TALK ABOUT: PM Rishi Sunak announced a deal between U.K. firm MBDA and the Polish government for missile exports worth £1.9 billion … The MoJ announced that all prion officers will wear body cameras … Ministers awarded £250,000 in government funding to protect records of the experiences of British nuclear test veterans.

 

SOCIAL AFFAIRS

LADS IN TOWN: Foreign Secretary James Cleverly shared a snap of his meeting with Florida governor (and presidential hopeful) Ron DeSantis. Nothing from Business and Trade Sec Kemi Badenoch so far.

 

MEANWHILE, UP IN SCOTLAND: Rishi Sunak got into a massive row with the Scottish press, which played out in a number of dramatic tweets. Here’s an example.

 

THOSE OPEN TABS YOU STILL NEED TO READ

WHAT ARE THE CHANCES: On the Political Inquiry Substack, Tom Egerton sets out the chances of various election result scenarios based on the current political picture and general fundamentals of the Conservatives having been in power for so long, and such like. He reckons there’s a 70 percent chance of a Labour majority, a 28 percent chance of some form of hung parliament and a 2 percent chance of a Conservative majority.

 

Factors of N: He sets out the arguments around current polls, a leftward economic shift, and risks for Labour such as its inefficient vote that tends to lead to huge support in its safer areas, which would be better spread out around the country.

 

But but but: His most prescient point is about the assumptions made in SW1, about “how narratives can create a blinding form of groupthink on the Westminster bubble — leading to an ignorance of the ‘lesser’ likelihoods of events. Westminster’s deficiency in understanding what probability means … is arguably why their predictions and narratives become stagnant or incorrect.”

 

ICYMI: Of course, those who haven’t read the extracts of the new Anthony Seldon and Raymond Newell book about the chaos of Boris Johnson in Downing Street must. From his overall lack of governance to his non-existent compunction, his love-hate relationship with Donald Trump and his bungling of the pandemic.

 

PROBLEMS AT HOME: In the Guardian, Kieran Yates channeled Britain’s broken housing policies through her experience of living in 25 homes in three decades. “By the time I became a renter myself, in my 20s, I was feeling the impact of the changes in the housing landscape first-hand: negligent social housing policy, unregulated private landlords and developers, and severe undersupply of housing stock,” she wrote.

 

Grim state of affairs: “In 2010, I huffed mould in a poky room in New Cross, south London, and joined the three percent of households in England who have damp in at least one room. I became obsessed with the creeping black patch rising up the wall. When I rolled over at night, my arm would brush against the cold, wet mould and I’d flinch.”

 

AROUND THE WORLD

SUDAN LATEST: Labour has called for all British residents to be allowed evacuation from Sudan — following BBC reports that NHS workers living in Britain have been denied places on planes because they aren’t U.K. passport holders.

 

Numbers incoming: Expect another update to the evacuation numbers this evening. The Foreign Office is confident its messages about reaching the airstrip outside Khartoum are getting through to most if not all the people who need to see them. The continued ceasefire prolongs the vital escape window, meaning all the Brits in Sudan should be more certain of an opportunity to get out. The estimated 4,000 Brits in Sudan figure is anyway an outside government estimate of the absolute maximum thought to be in the country, which even if correct will have been ticking down as evacuations happen and people flee via other means. It also includes those who do not wish to leave for various reasons.

 

IN KYIV: Russia launched 23 missiles at Ukraine’s sleeping cities and towns in the early hours of Friday, killing multiple civilians, including a toddler. It was the first massive Russian barrage in weeks. More from POLITICO here.

 

But but but: Ukraine is ready to launch a counter-offensive to recover parts of its territory invaded by Russia following months of planning, Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksii Reznikov said in the wake of the attack. AFP news snapped it.

 

IN HOLLAND: A Dutch judge has ordered a “mass sperm donor” who’s already fathered at least 550 children to stop donating. The man donated sperm in the Netherlands and abroad, including to Danish sperm bank Cryos, and also offered his sperm up via online platforms. POLITICO has a writeup.

 

TONIGHT’S MEDIA ROUND

LEADING THE NEWS BULLETINS: Channel 5 News (5 p.m.) is leading on the police failings in the wake of the Stephen Port case … BBC News at Six … Channel 4 News (7 p.m.) is also leading on the Sharp resignation.

 

Tom Swarbrick at Drive (LBC, until 6 p.m.): Former Brexit Secretary David Davis (5.35 p.m.).

 

BBC PM (Radio 4, 5 p.m.): Damian Green … Simon Kidwell, president-elect of the NAHT

 

Drive with Cathy Newman (Times Radio, until 7 p.m.): Acting culture select committee chair Damian Green (5.05 p.m.) … Conservative peer William Hague (5.35 p.m.) … Labour peer Diane Hayter (5.35 p.m.) … former BBC deputy director Mark Damzer (6.05 p.m.).

 

Laurence Fox (GB News, 7 p.m.): Former Ukip MEP Suzanne Evans … Ex-Labour adviser Scarlett MccGwire … IEA comms officer Reem Ibrahim.

 

Friday Night with Nadine (TalkTV, 8 p.m.): Environment Minister Zac Goldsmith … Conservative blogger Tim Montgomerie … the Mirror’s Kevin Maguire.

 

REVIEWING THE PAPERS TONIGHT: Times Radio (10.30 p.m.): Former BBC Diplomatic Correspondent Owen Bennett Jones and broadcaster Emma Woolf … Sky News (10.30 p.m. and 11.30 p.m.): Mirror columnist Susie Boniface and The Mail on Sunday’s Claire Ellicott.

 

YOUR WEEKEND IN POLITICS

ALWAYS CONFERENCE SOMEWHERE: The Scottish Conservatives conference continues, with Scotland Sec Alistair Jack speaking at 10.10 a.m. tomorrow and Communities Sec Michael Gove at 11.40 a.m. Conservatives Chair Greg Hands is meanwhile addressing the Welsh conference tomorrow.

 

More conference: Labour education spokeswoman Bridget Phillipson addresses the NAHT conference at 10.50 a.m. tomorrow.

 

Broken Britain: Nurses strike from 8 p.m. on Sunday night, but will be back to work at the end of Monday after the High Court ruled the union has no mandate for strikes past May 1.

 

**A message from Google: Whether it’s headlines from Westminster or Warrington, Google connects millions of people to publishers of all sizes. Our commitment to a sustainable news industry spans more than two decades, and our products make it easier for people to access reliable news from UK publishers, big and small. Learn more about how Google supports news here.**

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