101°F in the Ocean Off Florida: Was It a World
Record?
Measuring and comparing sea surface temperatures is
complex, but scientists agree on one thing: A high reading this week is bad
news for wildlife.
Hiroko
Tabuchi
By Hiroko
Tabuchi
July 26,
2023
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/26/climate/florida-100-degree-water.html
The reading
from a buoy off Florida this week was stunning: 101.1 degrees Fahrenheit, or
just over 38 Celsius, a possible world record for sea surface temperatures and
a stark indication of the brutal marine heat wave that’s threatening the
region’s sea life.
But
determining whether that reading was in fact a world record is complicated.
First
things first: The buoy’s reading is so off-the-charts, could it have been
malfunctioning?
Allyson
Gantt of the National Park Service, which monitors and maintains the buoy, said
there was no reason to doubt the measurement. The data was consistent with high
water temperatures seen in the area, Florida Bay, between the southern end of
the Florida mainland and the Florida Keys, in recent weeks, she said.
Then,
there’s the fact that there is no official keeper of ocean temperature records.
The World Meteorological Organization tracks land surface temperature records,
but not ones set at sea.
Experts
have pointed to a reading of 99.7 degrees Fahrenheit, recorded in the middle of
Kuwait Bay in 2020 and reported in a 2020 research paper, as the world record
to date.
An ocean’s
“tipping point.” Currents in the Atlantic Ocean that regulate the climate for a
swath of the planet could slow sharply by century’s end, according to a new
analysis. The study adds to a growing body of scientific work that describes
how humankind’s continued emissions of heat-trapping gases could set off rapid
and hard-to-reverse changes in the environment.
Heat waves.
Some of the extreme temperatures recorded in the Southwestern United States,
southern Europe and northern Mexico at the beginning of July would have been
“virtually impossible” without the influence of human-caused climate change,
according to new research from the World Weather Attribution.
Vegan diet.
Researchers from the University of Oxford found that people who follow a
plant-based diet account for substantially fewer greenhouse gas emissions than
those who eat meat. The research stands out from previous studies on the link
between animal agriculture and environmental harm because it drew from people’s
actual diets and data from farms instead of scientific modeling.
Worms in
the Arctic. As human-caused climate change raises temperatures and thaws the
permafrost, worms are taking over territory in the Far North that’s been
wormless since the last ice age. Scientists say the expansion will inevitably
change northern ecosystems, with implications for the whole planet, in ways we
don’t fully understand and probably can’t undo.
Natural gas
leaks. Natural gas, long seen as a cleaner alternative to coal and an important
tool in the fight to slow global warming, can be just as harmful to the
climate, a new study has concluded, unless companies can all but eliminate the
leaks that plague its use.
Still,
comparing the Kuwait reading, taken in the open sea, to a reading in shallow
waters off the coast of Florida could be tricky.
Just like
it’s easier to heat up a shallow bath than a deep one, the depth of the water
is going to affect temperatures, said Jeff Masters, a former hurricane
scientist with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and a
co-founder of Weather Underground, a Web-based weather service.
“And maybe
your buoy is near a river and there is a discharge from the river,” he said.
“Or, in the case of the Everglades, there’s a lot of seaweed in the water.”
Organic matter like seaweed means more dark surfaces, which are going to absorb
more heat. “So a lot of complications when you’re talking near the shore,” Dr.
Masters said.
Out in the
open ocean, it’s rare for surface temperatures to rise above roughly 90 degrees
Fahrenheit, beyond which the water usually evaporates, said Frank Edgar
Muller-Karger, a professor at the College of Marine Science at the University
of South Florida.
Whether or
not temperatures off Florida broke a world record, 100 degrees is an alarming
reading for seawater. Many parts of the country have broken or tied temperature
records this month, and a warm front that’s making its way across the country
is expected bring more dangerously hot weather in coming days.
Scientists
said on Tuesday that extreme temperatures recorded this month in the
Southwestern United States, as well as southern Europe and northern Mexico,
would have been “virtually impossible” without the influence of human-caused
climate change.
Oceans have
absorbed about 90 percent of the additional heat caused by humans as the world
burns fossil fuels and destroy forests. When sea temperatures rise too high, it
causes corals to expel the algae they need for sustenance, a process known as
bleaching.
Corals
typically experience the most heat stress in August and September. But the
recent heat means they’re now becoming stressed much earlier in the year. If
waters don’t cool quickly enough, or if bleaching events happen in rapid
succession, the corals can die. By some estimates, the world has already lost
half of its coral reefs since 1950.
Globally,
44 percent of the world’s oceans are experiencing a marine heat wave, according
to NOAA, including areas off the East Coast of Canada and in the Mediterranean.
And in Florida, as Dr. Masters put it: “If you took a dip in Manatee Bay, it
would feel like a hot tub.”
Ms. Gantt
of the National Park Service pointed to some good news: Sea temperatures are
still decreasing by as much as 10 degrees at night, and salinity levels are
lower at this time of year than they have been in many previous years. Both
help to relieve some of the stress on local marine life.
That was a
reminder of the important role the Everglades played in sending clean, fresh
water into Florida Bay, she said.
Catrin
Einhorn contributed reporting.
Hiroko
Tabuchi is an investigative reporter on the Climate desk, reporting widely on
money, influence and misinformation in climate policy. More about Hiroko
Tabuchi
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