Analysis
The UFC
match plot: how a far-right group tried to assassinate Trump at his own event
J Oliver
Conroy
Court
files show how men connected through TikTok and encrypted apps planned attack
on White House UFC fight
Sat 27
Jun 2026 13.00 BST
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jun/27/trump-assassination-plot-ufc-fight-tycen-proper
When
Tycen Proper, 19, finished high school, his family gave him at least $3,000 of
“graduation money”, according to court documents. Despite the generosity, he
seemed content to just live at his parents’ home, in a tiny Ohio town near
Amish country, and spend more and more time on the internet.
But
Proper did have ambition of a kind, an affidavit says. He quit his job to focus
on a special project that he was planning with friends from the internet. His
mother saw him studying maps of Washington DC. He also put his graduation money
into investments that made his father uneasy: a rifle, a shotgun, body armor,
ammunition.
His
parents eventually told police that they were scared of what their son was
hatching. They were right to be.
Almost
two weeks ago, the US Department of Justice announced that it had foiled a plot
by Proper and a number of co-conspirators to assassinate Donald Trump and other
elected officials at the Ultimate Fighting Championship event recently held at
the White House. As of Friday, eight people from around the country are in
custody. All appear to be men in their 20s or early 30s.
Yet at
least 19 people were involved with the plot, investigators have said. Many in
the group met through TikTok. After verifying each other’s identities and
ideological commitment, they migrated to closed groups on the encrypted
messaging apps Signal and SimpleX, where they sorted themselves into “tiers” of
risk tolerance. Some met in person for tactical training.
The
plotters planned to stage a demonstration near the White House to distract law
enforcement. As Trump and other officials cheered on the UFC’s gladiators of
mixed martial arts, the plotters would bomb the event with drone-borne
explosives, causing a panicked evacuation toward an area where waiting marksmen
would pick off “high-value targets”. A “second wave” of attackers, according to
court documents, would storm the White House.
It was to
be, one of the alleged conspirators told others, “a fucking bloodbath”.
After the
story broke, it was partly eclipsed by breaking news about the Iran war and the
excitement of the World Cup. Yet the facts are shocking, and perhaps confusing:
the plotters had far-right views, but hoped to kill Republican officials. They
chose their targets with the help of a leftwing website that tracks politicians
who receive donations from the American Israel Public Affairs Committee
(Aipac), the pro-Israel lobby group. And one of the plot’s alleged ringleaders,
Abraham Alvarez, 31, is reportedly an undocumented immigrant from Mexico.
The Trump
administration has contributed to the confusion, simultaneously praising the
FBI’s heroism in stopping the plot and downplaying the severity of the threat.
“[T]he plot was, like, not that advanced,” JD Vance said last week. “They had
not really done that much planning.” He added: “I get why people are so
fascinated by it … But thank God we have good law enforcement.”
Similarly,
some conservative media outlets have seized on aspects of the story to imply
that the plotters were actually bad seeds of the far left. One of the alleged
plotters, an article in the Federalist argued, “parroted Democrat conspiracy
theories about President Trump protecting child predators connected to sex
offender Jeffrey Epstein”.
That
framing is disingenuous – Trump, as much as anyone, mainstreamed conspiracy
theories about Epstein – but it does point to the fact that the plot, viewed
from the outside, might seem ideologically incoherent. Yet it is coherent, said
Michael Edison Hayden, a journalist and analyst who studies extremism.
Far-right
communities online are often as hostile to Trump and the Maga movement as they
are to Democrats, he said. People like the alleged UFC plotters are
“anti-government, and the government happens to be run by Republicans”, he
said. He suspects that the plotters have fairly standard anti-elite views with
antisemitic and accelerationist characteristics.
According
to investigators, the conspirators were enraged by the Trump administration’s
continued alliance with Israel. Proper praised Adolf Hitler in posts on social
media. Another alleged plotter, Michael Alan Thomas, 32, “indicated that he
believes that the U.S. government is run by an elite group of individuals who
sacrifice and consume infants who also were deeply involved with [Jeffrey]
Epstein and are now protected by President Donald Trump,” an affidavit said,
adding that Thomas also “places some of the responsibility of this corruption
of government [on] Jewish people and blames them and Israel for the current war
with Iran”.
He and
his co-conspirators allegedly thought that their attack would bring about (or
“accelerate”) a second American Revolution.
While the
US Department of Justice has acknowledged the plotters’ anger at what they
called an “Epstein class”, the government’s account has nonetheless downplayed
a critical element, Jonathan Larsen, a journalist, recently argued: Christian
extremism.
Proper’s
mother, according to court documents, said that her son had recently become
more religious. She feared that his friends were manipulating his newfound
Christian zeal. He had fallen in with a “group online [of] individuals who
represented themselves as ex-military and that may share some Christian-based
ideology”, an affidavit said. The group “expressed ultra-religious and
anti-government sentiments”.
The
plotters bandied biblically-tinged language about “shepherds” and “lions’
dens”, and believed that demons (or at least demon-worshipers) were preying on
children, itself a QAnon- and Epstein-era update of a centuries-old Christian
antisemitic trope. According to court documents, investigators found a diary in
which Proper “wrote that the government sought to control people and to
sacrifice children and others to a demonic figure”.
“We’re
seeing a very aggressive ideological civil war going on in the far right,”
Matthew D Taylor, a scholar of contemporary Christian nationalism, said.
Although
both factions employ Christian rhetoric, people on one side are closely aligned
with the Trump administration and are often Christian Zionists who support the
state of Israel. The other side are anti-interventionist Christian nationalists
who feel disappointed and betrayed by the Maga movement. They prefer to
describe themselves as “America First”, he said, and are tapping a religious
antisemitism “that has been part of the far right for a very long time”.
The US’s
alliance with Israel became a hot-button issue on the right because of the Gaza
war, he noted. The assassination of Charlie Kirk accelerated tensions because
Kirk had straddled the Israel line and both sides wished to claim his legacy.
But all of that pales against the Iran war – the “straw that broke the camel’s
back”, he said, for people on the far right suspicious of Israel’s influence on
Trump.
Trump
used to be able to hold the factions together, Taylor said, but these tensions
– plus Trump’s flip-flopping about the Epstein files – have collapsed the
coalition.
Even
evangelical Christians, once a bedrock of Christian Zionism, are slipping in
their support for Israel. Younger evangelicals do not share their parents’
philosemitism. “Going into Iran, I think Trump very much misread the
landscape,” Taylor said, “and thought, ‘Oh, the evangelicals are all Christian
Zionists; they’ll love me for doing this.’”
Vance may
have been right in describing the plot as amateurish. The plotters were stopped
before even reaching Washington, and one was apparently frustrated by car
trouble. It is also unclear to what extent all of the people aware of the plot
actively supported it. Because of the prevalence of bragging, fantasy and
irony-layered humor in far-right spaces, some may not have thought the plot was
real.
Yet
terror plots often start in a weird limbo between fantasy and violent reality,
and the possibilities are grim. The alleged conspirators had thousands of
rounds of ammunition, law enforcement have said.
“I would
not think that this group of young men is particularly unique,” Taylor said.
“If anything, there are a lot – maybe thousands – of young men around the
country who are being drawn into similar communities, similar arguments,
similar ideas.”
Taylor
noted that would-be domestic terror attacks are often only stopped because
worried family members tip off police. “That’s what you would hope that family
members would do,” he said. “But it’s a pretty thin branch to be relying on.”
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