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EU election exit poll: Far-right Wilders makes big gains in Netherlands, but narrowly beaten

 


EU election exit poll: Far-right Wilders makes big gains in Netherlands, but narrowly beaten

 

Poll suggests Wilders’ party on track for seven seats in European Parliament, but Labor-Green alliance is set for eight.

 

JUNE 6, 2024 9:38 PM CET

BY EVA HARTOG AND KOEN VERHELST

https://www.politico.eu/article/dutch-exit-poll-labour-green-alliance-far-right-geert-wilders-european-parliament-polls-pvv/

 

UTRECHT, Netherlands — Dutch far-right leader Geert Wilders’ party appears to have made big gains in the European Parliament election but still looks set to be narrowly beaten into second place, according to an exit poll published on Thursday.

 

Wilders’ Party for Freedom (PVV) won no seats in 2019 but now looks set for seven of the 31 places allocated to the Netherlands in the 720-seat European Parliament, according to pollster Ipsos I&O.

 

That puts the PVV just behind a Labor-Green alliance, on eight seats.   

 

“We are by far the largest winner this evening,” Wilders told journalists, expressing his hope that the PVV could still come out on top once official results are announced on June 9, after all 27 member countries have cast their votes.

 

“It is a beautiful result.”

 

That same elation also predominated at an electoral event held by Wilders’ Labor-Green rivals in the city of Utrecht attended by POLITICO, where the exit poll results elicited cheers.

 

In their campaigns, both Wilders and his rivals had framed Thursday’s vote as decisive for the future of the EU, infusing urgency into a vote traditionally pooh-poohed by many Dutch citizens.

 

Although not final, the Dutch result is seen as a barometer of what might await the bloc next. The far right is expected to notch up big wins in France and Italy, and could well come second in Germany.

 

The figureheads on the left — Green member of European Parliament Bas Eickhout and national alliance leader Frans Timmermans — immediately pointed out the resonance of the exit poll to the rest of the bloc.

 

“Counting all the seats of pro-European parties, we tell the rest of Europe: It’s not a given that the radical right is going to win these elections!” Timmermans, the EU’s former climate chief, said. “Look what the Netherlands did: Do the same!” he added.

 

But despite the left’s cheers after a nerve-wracking day, the exit poll results are a confirmation of a predicted far-right surge, which could impact areas such as asylum and migration, as well as climate policy.

 

It also confirms an upward streak for Wilders, who upset the Dutch political landscape by coming first in a national election last November, and marks a stark contrast with the last European election in 2019 when his party failed to secure even a single seat.

 

According to Ipsos I&O, turnout was 47 percent, a five-percentage point increase compared to last election. Timmermans hailed that participation at the Utrecht event as the “highest turnout since the fall of the Wall.”

 

The center-right party of outgoing prime minister Mark Rutte (People’s Party for Freedom and Democracy, or VVD) is expected to win four seats, losing one.

 

Wilders’ smaller coalition allies, the right-wing populist Farmer Citizen Movement (BBB), and centrist New Social Contract (NSC), both newcomers to the European arena, also appear to have both managed to clinch seats, with two and one respectively.

 

“And of course, I’m also very happy with the good result of the other pro-European parties,” Timmermans stressed, before congratulating Wilders with his surge in seats.

 

In Brussels, the PVV faces a balancing act between its pledge to “hollow out Europe from within” and the diplomacy needed to deliver large promises outlined in a new government proposal led by Wilders.

 

That includes an opt-out on Europe’s migration rules and a softening of environmental targets.

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