Dutch EU vote exit poll puts pro-Europe parties
on top
June 7,
2024
https://www.dutchnews.nl/2024/06/dutch-eu-vote-exit-poll-puts-pro-europe-parties-on-top/
The
GroenLinks-PvdA alliance is set to be the biggest Dutch group in the new-look
European parliament with the far-right PVV polling in second place, according
to the NOS exit poll. Turnout in the closely-watched vote, was almost 47% and
the highest in 35 years.
The actual
Dutch results will be published on Sunday evening, but the exit poll suggests
the left-wing alliance will take eight of the 31 Dutch parliamentary seats,
while the PVV will win seven. Geert Wilders’ party won no seats in 2019,
although the Eurosceptic Forum voor Democratie (FVD), now about to be wiped
out, took four.
According
to research by Ipsos I&O for broadcaster NOS, a large proportion of people
who voted for one of the four parties set to form a right-wing government in
the Netherlands stayed home. As many as 59% of people who backed Pieter
Omtzigt’s NSC in November stayed away, as did 56% of those who voted for the
PVV.
Compared
with the 2023 general election results, support for the right-wing coalition
parties has fallen from 56.3% to 38.5%, while backing for the left-wing
alliance is up from almost 16% to almost 22%.
“If you
look at how we have done, how the CDA has done, the D66 gain, the Volt win, you
see that the parties that are for Europe, that choose for a stronger Europe,
have done well in this election,” GreenLeft-Labour alliance leader Frans
Timmermans told Nieuwsuur. “And that is also a clear signal from the Dutch
people also to the rest of Europe: you can count on us if we need to solve
things in Europe together.”
Wilders,
who dropped his campaign for a Nexit in order to form a government, said he
hoped that Sunday’s results would put the PVV in first place. ‘The turnout is
higher than we hoped but it’s never as high as a parliamentary election.
Left-wing party voters are often more disciplined about voting,” he said.
The NRC
says in its analysis that Wilders’ gains show the Netherlands is “moving
towards the Eurosceptic right” even if his performance is not as strong as in
the November general election.
Although
Wilders described the results as the party’s greatest victory (they won five
seats in 2011) he was unable to hide his disappointment at not being the
biggest party, given his campaign had largely consisted of warning about the
risk of GroenLinks-PvdA and Frans Timmermans winning, the paper said.
Comparisons
with the 2019 results are difficult because the Dutch delegation to the EU
parliament has expanded from 26 to 31 since then.
The exit
poll
GroenLinks-PvdA
8 (3+6)
PVV 7 ( 0 + 1 following Brexit)
VVD 4 (4
+ 1 following Brexit)
CDA 3 (4)
D66 3 (2)
BBB 2 (0)
Volt 1 (0)
NSC 1 (0)
SGP 1 (1)
PvdD 1 (1)
The
far-right, pro-Putin Forum voor Democratie is set to be wiped out. The
ChristenUnie and 50Plus are also unlikely to return to Europe.
Turnout in
the Dutch elections for the European parliament was almost 47%, five percentage
points up on 2019 and the highest figure since 1989.
Employers
organisations VNO-NCW and MKB-Nederland said in a reaction to the exit poll
that the pro-EU majority is positive, as is the increase in the number of
people voting.
It is also
in the interests of the Netherlands to continue to be a constructive partner
and to contribute to cooperation within the EU, given the current geo-political
situation, the organisations said.
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