After Geert Wilders gives up, what’s next for the
Netherlands?
Ruling with a far-right party is no longer taboo as
Dutch politicians agree an outline deal.
MARCH 14,
2024 8:08 PM CET
BY ELINE
SCHAART
https://www.politico.eu/article/with-geert-wilders-give-up-what-is-next-netherlands/
Despite his
dramatic win in the 2023 elections, Dutch far-right leader Geert Wilders has
abandoned his bid to become prime minister.
His gamble
is that by giving up personal ambition, he will help ensure his hardline
right-wing political vision becomes a reality. That prospect came a step closer
with a cross-party deal unveiled on Thursday.
Wilders’
populist Party for Freedom (PVV), which campaigned against migration and Islam,
won a shock 37 seats at the November election — far more than forecast but well
short of a majority in the 150-seat Dutch parliament.
Since then,
he has been holding exploratory coalition talks with the conservative People’s
Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD), which is the party of outgoing Prime
Minister Mark Rutte, as well as the centrist NSC party and the populist
agrarian Farmer Citizen Movement (BBB).
It became
clear, however, that the biggest obstacle to a coalition deal was the prospect
of Wilders himself becoming Dutch prime minister.
Kim
Putters, the intermediary who has been facilitating coalition negotiations,
presented his final report on Thursday, suggesting an extra-parliamentary
cabinet in which experts and figures from outside parliament and even beyond
politics would be chosen to run the country.
Wilders
said on Thursday that it was “unfair” and “constitutionally incorrect” that he
will not become prime minister. Speaking to journalists, he said that as the
leader of the largest parties he had told the leaders of the other parties that
“it should be me.” He added, however, that he did not get enough support from
parties during the coalition talks to be able to lead his country.
Instead,
Wilders will go back to his familiar place in the Dutch parliament, where he
started his political career in 1998, a record that makes him the
longest-serving lawmaker in the Netherlands.
As part of
the deal unveiled by Putters, the other three party leaders – Dilan Yeşilgöz of
the VVD, Pieter Omtzigt of NSC and Caroline van der Plas of the BBB – have also
agreed to keep their seats in parliament rather than take ministerial posts.
New prime minister
Putters
said that the best way forward is a “program cabinet” — a self-coined term that
is akin to an extra-parliamentary cabinet. Under the plan, the parties will
decide between them who to nominate for prime minister, the Netherlands’ first
new premier since Rutte took office in 2010. They will also fill the other
cabinet positions with either people from their own ranks, other parties or
even non-politicians who are experts in the field.
The
coalition agreement outlining policy is also likely to be broader and with less
detail, giving ministers more leeway and the parliament more power.
“The
Netherlands is known for having the most extensive coalition agreements in
Western Europe,” Rick van Well, a PhD candidate at the Institute of Political
Science at Leiden University, said. “So, a short coalition agreement would be a
break from the increasingly lengthy document.”
Despite the
outline of a deal, the saga of forming a government is not yet over. Experts
still expect months of talks on a coalition agreement ahead, with a number of
issues that need to be resolved.
“It’s to be
seen if such a document will be truly short,” Van Well said.
The in-tray
for an incoming administration will include agreeing on a budget, foreign
spending and climate policy, key issues that currently divide the four parties.
With his
final report, Putters has also marked an important moment in Dutch history:
ruling with Wilders’ party is no longer taboo. In recent years, the Party for
Freedom was never in the picture as a governing party despite winning at least
10 percent of the vote since 2010.
“Wilders
was still seen as a pariah in 2010 when the PVV was only allowed to participate
in Rutte’s first cabinet in a confidence construction to make a right-wing
majority possible — but that is no longer the case,” said Van Well.
Wilders has
entered the mainstream.
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