Romania
might be about to make a Trump-admiring former football hooligan its president.
This is why
Andrei
Popoviciu
The election
of George Simion would be a troubling – but understandable – repudiation of the
country’s pro-EU establishment
Thu 15 May
2025 06.00 CEST
At first
glance, Romania’s presidential race, which comes to a head in a second round of
voting this Sunday, might look like a de facto referendum on Europe. The
far-right George Simion – a former football hooligan who is banned from
entering Ukraine for what Kyiv calls “systematic anti-Ukrainian activities” –
surged to first place in the first round last week with 41% of the vote.
Trailing him is Nicușor Dan, Bucharest’s reformist mayor, with just 21%.
The race
pits Dan, a technocratic pro-European candidate, against a bombastic,
Maga-admiring nationalist who rails against “Brussels” and promises to put the
“national interest” above international obligations.
If Simion
wins, Romania risks becoming the next illiberal outpost inside the EU, joining
Hungary and Slovakia. He could use his presidential powers to stall aid to
Ukraine and undermine negotiations towards a collective climate and migration
policy, while sowing further distrust in EU institutions.
But the
truth is that “pro-Europe” and “anti-Europe” are just labels. They disguise the
fact that what Romanians are really rejecting is a domestic political class
that has wrapped itself in the EU flag while overseeing years of economic
stagnation, corruption and broken promises. After all, nearly 90% of Romanians
support EU and Nato alignment, according to a survey from this year.
Both
presidential candidates are, in their own way, anti-establishment. While Dan
built his career fighting shady real-estate barons and politicians in the
courts, Simion built his through televised outrage and fiery speeches that
spoke to people’s frustrations with political elites.
Simion is
backed by Călin Georgescu, the political maverick whose surprise win in the
first round of presidential elections in December was annulled by Romania’s
constitutional ourt, following allegations of Russian interference. Simion has
adopted a similar tone, but has stopped short of openly calling for Romania to
leave the EU or Nato. Distinguishing himself from Georgescu, he has called
Putin’s Russia a “threat” to Europe – though he has also criticised military
aid to Ukraine, echoing Donald Trump’s position on the war.
The Romanian
diaspora accounted for about 10% of the total votes in the first round. And
more than half of them backed Simion. These are Romanians who live and work in
countries such as Spain, Germany, the UK and France, directly benefiting from
the freedoms and economic stability provided by the EU. It is unlikely that
these voters were rejecting “the west” or the EU as such, but rather a domestic
political class that they blame for squandering the opportunities offered by EU
membership, and the fact that they had to leave their home country in the first
place.
Nevertheless,
the EU’s reputation is taking a battering with Simion’s ascent. This is because
his targets are successive pro-European Romanian governments, dominated by the
establishment parties, which promised prosperity but presided over the
embezzlement of infrastructure funds, failed to modernise hospitals and delayed
highway projects that Romanians had long been promised – all while EU money
poured in. Romania is currently experiencing the highest level of inflation in
the EU, combined with low wages and high taxes.
Add to that
the pandemic restrictions, widely seen as heavy-handed attempts to control
personal freedoms, and the government’s alignment with EU policy on Ukraine,
and apparent frustration at the bloc has deepened.
Elena
Calistru, a Romanian civic activist and governance expert, tells me that
Simion’s is a more sophisticated approach than Georgescu’s, who was outwardly
proposing exiting the EU and Nato.
“Simion is
seeding deep distrust in democratic institutions themselves and promoting
narratives that portray Romania as a ‘second-class country’ in Europe, treated
like a colony by the EU and potentially dragged into foreign conflicts,” she
says.
There’s a
grain of truth in his rhetoric. Romania was kept out of the Schengen area until
the beginning of this year, and Romanian migrant workers have long faced
humiliation abroad, whether as exploited construction labourers in the
Netherlands or as care workers in Italy, often working in conditions that
border on modern slavery. These frustrations have fed a broader sense of
grievance over what many see as double standards applied to newer EU member
states.
Simion’s
rise, therefore, is less about policy than about national identity. His
campaign slogan is “Respect”, something many Romanians, including the migrant
workers in the diaspora, have been craving. “The Romania you dream of, the
Romania you want to return to, we will build it together,” he said in a speech
after his first-round victory.
This
election will mark the end of an era. Romania’s transitional period from
dictatorship to democracy is over. For the first time ever, in both the
cancelled December election and now the re-run, none of the establishment
parties reached the second round of the presidential elections.
Romanians
won’t head to the polls on 18 May to decide whether they want to be in the EU,
because they overwhelmingly do. What they’re really voting on is how to
confront a broken system: through reform and international collaboration – or
isolation and nationalism.
Andrei
Popoviciu is a Romanian investigative journalist
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