It Is No Longer Possible to Escape What We Have
Done to Ourselves
Aug. 23,
2023
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/23/opinion/canada-wildfires-climate-change.html
By Serge
Schmemann
Mr.
Schmemann, a member of the editorial board, reported from Lac Labelle, Quebec,
where he has a cottage.
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On the
drive to our cottage here in June, my wife and I collided with the dense wall
of Canadian wildfire smoke. The clear spring air began turning a sickly orange
in the Adirondack Mountains, the sun was reduced to a red spot, and by the time
we reached Montreal the skyline was barely visible from across the St. Lawrence
River. On that day, June 25, Montreal had the worst air quality in the world.
Up at our
lake, we soon learned to track the sheets of smoke online as they swept across
Canada, down into the United States and even across the Atlantic Ocean. Some
days we stayed indoors; like many others, we bought an air purifier.
We were not
alone, of course. Millions have suffered this summer from scratchy throats,
teary eyes and worse, and thousands have been forced to evacuate homes in
endangered areas, especially in the Western provinces, where huge fires are
still wreaking havoc. Only last week, wildfires approaching West Kelowna, a
city in British Columbia, and Yellowknife, the capital of the Northwest
Territories, forced evacuation of homes in both cities, and British Columbia
declared a state of emergency.
On Lac
Labelle, we were never in direct danger, but the acrid smoke and the unfamiliar
drumbeat of crisis from the vast Canadian wilderness hit home. After decades of
being told that we humans were knowingly, fundamentally and radically altering
the climate of our planet, the eerie orange haze had invaded the zone in which
my family had always thought we could take refuge.
This was
not another report of melting icecaps, rising oceans, blistering heat or
unusual tornadoes somewhere far away; this was a horizon-to-horizon pall over
us, rising from infernos across the great Canadian north that had been ignited
by record temperatures, record drought and ceaseless lightning storms. Nothing
like it had ever happened before — these wildfires began far earlier and spread
far faster than usual, and they have burned far more boreal forest than any
fire in Canada’s modern history.
Climate
change around the world: In “Postcards From a World on Fire,” 193 stories from
individual countries show how climate change is reshaping reality everywhere,
from dying coral reefs in Fiji to disappearing oases in Morocco and far, far
beyond.
The role of
our leaders: Writing at the end of 2020, Al Gore, the 45th vice president of
the United States, found reasons for optimism in the Biden presidency, a
feeling perhaps borne out by the passing of major climate legislation. That
doesn’t mean there haven’t been criticisms. For example, Charles Harvey and
Kurt House argue that subsidies for climate capture technology will ultimately
be a waste.
The worst
climate risks, mapped: In this feature, select a country, and we'll break down
the climate hazards it faces. In the case of America, our maps, developed with
experts, show where extreme heat is causing the most deaths.
What people
can do: Justin Gillis and Hal Harvey describe the types of local activism that
might be needed, while Saul Griffith points to how Australia shows the way on
rooftop solar. Meanwhile, small changes at the office might be one good way to
cut significant emissions, writes Carlos Gamarra.
As of this
writing, 5,881 wildfires have consumed 15.3 million hectares, about 59,000
square miles, dwarfing the 10-year average of 2.6 million hectares per summer.
That’s like all New York State incinerated, and the fires are burning still.
One environmentalist told me that “unprecedented” has been used so often that
it has lost any meaning against the uniqueness and horror of what is happening.
With the
melting Arctic to their north and the immensity of their northern wilderness,
Canadians are not strangers to climate anxiety. But as The Globe and Mail
reported, “Canada’s summer of fire and smoke” has still come as a profound
shock to the nation, “materially and psychologically, as people across the
country report a sense of dread about the disaster unfolding just out of sight,
and what it portends for the future.”
And as the
summer unfolded, it became evident that it’s not just smoke, and not just
Canada. This has been the summer from climate hell all across Earth, when it
ceased being possible to escape or deny what we have done to our planet and
ourselves. “Even I am surprised by this year,” said Michael Flannigan, a
professor at Thompson Rivers University in Kamloops, British Columbia, who has
been studying the interaction of fire and climate for over 35 years.
“Temperatures are rising at the rate we thought they would, but the effects are
more severe, more frequent, more critical. It’s crazy and getting crazier.”
The planet
had its hottest week ever in July and, is entering “uncharted territory,” the
World Meteorological Organization declared. Maui, the loveliest of Hawaii
islands, was savaged by a wildfire that killed more than 100 people and
destroyed the picturesque town of Lahaina. Floods battered New England; a
reading of 101.1 degrees F. (the ideal temperature for a hot tub) was recorded
in the waters of Manatee Bay in South Florida. China had its heaviest rains in
140 years; record wildfires devastated Greek islands, and the list goes on.
None of it is normal.
The extreme
weather conditions around the world are interconnected and insidiously
self-accelerating, Professor Flannigan explained. The Arctic is warming four
times faster than the rest of the world, altering the fast-flowing air currents
high above the planet known as jet streams, which then cause wild fluctuations
of temperature and precipitation.
In northern
Canada, the ensuing drought and heat primed the fuel and sent more hot air into
the upper atmosphere to generate ever more lightning storms, which ignited the
dry forest and the peat beneath it to release more carbon and more smoke to
further intensify climate change around the world. And it’s going to get much
worse, Professor Flannigan said, especially with the onset of El Niño, the
periodic rise in the temperatures of the eastern and central Pacific Ocean.
“There will be more droughts, more floods, more extreme weather, more records
broken.”
And there
will be consequences that we cannot yet imagine: If a forest burns too often,
for example, trees cease being able to propagate and eventually give way to
grasses, which could lead to a fundamental change of the Canadian north and its
wildlife. In its latest report, the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change found that fire-inducing temperatures in southern Europe will
increase by 14 percent if the planet heats by 2.5 degrees Celsius, toward which
the Earth is headed.
One
problem, suggested Nikita Lopoukhine, a neighbor on the lake, lifelong
environmentalist and former director of Canada’s national parks, is that most
people just don’t know what to do. People have always built their lives, homes
and settlements on the presumption that the climate will forever remain largely
stable. For decades they’ve been told this is no longer so, but even if they
believed it, they found it hard to adapt their ways.
“Those of
us who do the science have been shouting ‘1.5 or die’ for years, trying to warn
people,” he said, referring to an increase in global temperature of 1.5 degrees
Celsius that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change established several
years ago as the limit the world should strive for. That target no longer seems
possible, “but for most people it was always something that wasn’t happening to
me, that they couldn’t do anything about.”
Might this
cataclysmic summer be the turning point?
Here on the
lake, things have quieted down, and the air is mostly clear. It’s still
beautiful; the temperatures are mild; and the above-average rainfalls have
painted the hills a deep green. Deer are growing fat on plentiful apples;
chokecherries and mountain ash berries are plump and dark red; the chanterelles
and saffron milk-cap mushroom are abundant.
In the
news, other tensions and anxieties are again taking precedence over climate
change — the war in Ukraine, indictments of a former president, tensions with
China, a new Covid variant.
But it’s
hard, very hard, to look out on the familiar lake and forests the way we used
to, before the sun was reduced to a murky red dot in an orange sky and an
orange pall descended on the children playing on the beach.
Serge
Schmemann joined The Times in 1980 and worked as the bureau chief in Moscow,
Bonn and Jerusalem and at the United Nations. He was editorial page editor of
The International Herald Tribune in Paris from 2003 to 2013.
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