quarta-feira, 26 de outubro de 2022

London Playbook: Rishi vs. Keir — Suella of a lot of trouble — Meet the new Cabinet

 


London Playbook: Rishi vs. Keir — Suella of a lot of trouble — Meet the new Cabinet

BY ELENI COUREA

OCTOBER 26, 2022 8:07 AM

https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/london-playbook/rishi-vs-keir-suella-of-a-lot-of-trouble-meet-the-new-cabinet/

 

POLITICO London Playbook

By ELENI COUREA

 

Good Wednesday morning. This is Eleni Courea, writing Playbook for the rest of the week.

 

DRIVING THE DAY

RISHI VS. KEIR: Rishi Sunak becomes the latest No. 10 occupant to square up to Keir Starmer at Prime Minister’s Questions today after announcing a slate of largely low-risk Cabinet appointments (with one notable exception) in his unity-first reshuffle.

 

Less unity, more continuity: Lined up behind the prime minister at noon will be his, err, new-look Cabinet — which actually looks quite a lot like the last few Cabinets. Liz Truss’ two original picks for the great offices of state have stayed, as has backstop Chancellor Jeremy Hunt, while several of Boris Johnson’s ministers have been restored to their positions. Read on for Playbook’s pen portraits of the main appointees — and the row brewing over Suella Braverman’s return as home secretary.

 

But first … today’s diary: Sunak will chair the first meeting of his new Cabinet this morning before heading to parliament for PMQs. He’ll carry on with the reshuffle after that.

 

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PMQs preview: No one expects today’s Sunak vs. Starmer show-down to be a hugely exciting affair.“Short and serious,” one Labour adviser quipped, “and that’s just the principals.” Expect a lot of energetic cheering from Tory MPs in the chamber, half of whom feel they’ve got their party back and the other half reckon that at least things should calm down a bit now.

 

The mood in Westminster: Tory MPs wandering around the estate on Tuesday (and trying not to check their phones too often) expressed a mixture of relief and apprehension. “I’m not saying the next few months are going to be easy but at least I’m not constantly embarrassed anymore,” one said to Playbook. “This is the first time I’ve felt happy coming into work since the Owen Paterson scandal.”

 

Let’s rewind the clock … to the last and (Playbook thinks) only time Sunak and Starmer went head to head in the Commons, when the Labour leader responded to the then-chancellor’s March 2021 budget. Playbook spent a bit of time yesterday watching clips of that encounter (sadly it’s not riveting stuff). The Commons was nearly empty because of COVID rules. Starmer wore reading glasses. “It’s clear the chancellor is now betting on a recovery fueled by a consumer spending blitz — and in fairness, if my next-door neighbor was spending tens of thousands of pounds redecorating their flat, I’d probably do the same,” he joked. We’ve come a long way since then. (Another fun fact: sitting across from Sunak as he delivered his first budget in March 2020 was Jeremy Corbyn.)

 

Some actually useful advice: One Labour source suggests to Playbook that Starmer should make reference to this toe-curling leaked video from over the summer. In it, Sunak tells Tory members in a garden in Tunbridge Wells that he had made sure government funding going to deprived inner-city areas could be redirected to places like theirs.

 

Labouring away: The Guardian’s Jess Elgot reports that said clip will form a key part of Labour’s attacks. She has a detailed piece on how Labour is preparing for this new Sunak-shaped challenge, reporting that the party is planning highly aggressive attacks on how the “ruthless” new PM “stabbed Boris Johnson in the back when he thought he could get his job,” as well as his Partygate fine and his defeat in the leadership contest by Truss, which Labour will paint as a humiliation.

 

And some of the wackier stuff: Elgot also reports that Labour advisers think they can draw a character distinction between “weird guy” Sunak attempting to present himself as slick and Starmer as, erm, a “reliable centrist dad.” Shadow ministers can apparently be expected to allude to Sunak’s occasional struggles with contactless card payments and refer to the fact his family buys multiple kinds of bread. Might need a bit of work.

 

SUELLA OF A LOT OF TROUBLE

LEAKY SUE? Forget PMQs — the real fireworks are likely to come as a result of Suella Braverman’s return to the Home Office, widely rumored to be the outcome of a secret deal which saw her endorse him at a critical moment. By backing Sunak on Sunday afternoon, Braverman effectively ended Boris Johnson’s attempted comeback, making it clear that the Tory right weren’t going to support the former PM en masse.

 

Alarm bells ringing: It’s fair to say Braverman’s reappointment has drawn the ire of people on opposite sides of the Tory Party. One Truss ally told Playbook last night that Braverman was known in government as “leaky Sue,” and said: “Suella was sacked less than a week ago for multiple breaches of the ministerial code. She intentionally leaked OBR sensitive information and then lied to the prime minister and the country about what happened. She did not, as she claims, inform officials immediately, but was caught out because she cc’d the wrong person who then informed the chief whip. She will be aggressively briefing about the new PM from day one.” Another Tory source messaged: “You can’t leak market sensitive information and be in charge of national security.”

 

On the Case: Simon Case, the cabinet secretary, is “livid” about Braverman’s speedy reinstatement after she was sacked on his advice and has made his concerns clear internally, the Times’ Matt Dathan and Steve Swinford report.

 

Not everyone agrees: A Braverman ally told Playbook that “the fact that allies of Liz Truss still want to give hostile briefings to journalists is very sad. Suella supported Liz as prime minister since she was knocked out of the race. This time she backed Rishi, and right now she’s focused on dealing with immigration, security, the small boats crisis and policing.” Meanwhile, the Telegraph leader welcomes Braverman’s chance “to prove her abilities” after she was forced to resign “over a technicality.”

 

To understand what happened … It’s worth looking back at Tim Shipman’s Sunday Times read over the weekend. An aggressive briefing and counter-briefing operation kicked off on Wednesday after it emerged Braverman had forwarded confidential papers to her private Gmail account and then onto veteran backbencher John Hayes, copying in someone she thought was Hayes’s wife — but was actually a staffer to Tory MP Andrew Percy. “She doesn’t make any decision without consulting John Hayes,” a No. 10 source told Shipman, who reports Hayes was frequently seen in the Home Office and that concerns had been raised before that Braverman might have been sharing restricted government documents with people she shouldn’t have.

 

Watch this space: Yvette Cooper, the shadow home secretary, said yesterday that “our national security and public safety are too important for this kind of chaos.” A Labour source said the party was pursuing all channels to question the appointment, given the “security lapses” which triggered her resignation a week ago. One avenue the party could try to pursue is seeking an urgent question in the Commons.

 

On the attack: Playbook’s Angela Rayner told Playbook last night: “This reshuffle looks like Rishi Sunak making good on the IOUs he doled out in exchange for support because he was too weak to face his own party. The new prime minister’s priority is party management over governing in the national interest, even if it means reappointing as home secretary a minister who just last week was forced to resign for security lapses.”

 

And finally: A Lib Dem source said: “Glad to see the Home Office now believes in the rehabilitation of offenders.”

 

 

THE RI-SHUFFLE

OR IS IT A HE-SHUFFLE? There were whispers that yesterday’s Cabinet refresh would be a pretty laddish affair, and so it was. Just seven of the ministers attending the new Cabinet are women — with three times as many men. “Looks like Rishi has a woman problem. It’s like Boris’s cabinet, without Boris,” an insider tells the Sun.

 

Something to watch: There is a question mark over how the relationship between Sunak and his chancellor will shape up. The Guardian splash notes the pair “irritated each other” during the pandemic, with Hunt arguing for big COVID interventions as health committee chairman while Sunak was making the case for reopening the economy. The FT similarly suggests that “some Tory MPs believe that Sunak will want to replace him eventually with someone who is politically closer to him.”

 

Question 1: Will the next fiscal event now take place on October 31 as planned? The Times’ Oli Wright reports Sunak is considering delaying it by a couple of days or until later next month to “get under the bonnet” of the Treasury’s plans and will meet Hunt to discuss them today. The Mail’s Jason Groves reports there were talks last night.

 

Also raising questions: Dominic Raab’s reappointment to justice secretary, with supporters of Brandon Lewis arguing he did a better job in that department. One Whitehall insider pointed out: “They solved the barristers’ strike about five minutes after he left.”

 

BEST OF LUCK TO … Gillian Keegan, who has become the fifth person to serve as U.K. education secretary in 114 days, giving recent occupants of the post the average lifespan of a housefly.

 

Good luck also to … Ex-Transport Secretary Anne Marie Trevelyan, whose political fate was left unclear last night after she was replaced in that role by Mark Harper.

 

WHAT THE PAPERS ARE SAYING: The reshuffle is widely praised in right-leaning papers, whose leader-writers appear palpably relieved to disembark the emotional rollercoaster that has been Truss’ premiership. The Sun says Sunak “kept the best performers and sacked duds for far better options” (but questions the return of Williamson and Mitchell). The Times — the only paper to back Sunak in the summer — says most of his ministers have “shown ability in office” and that his first day “conveys a sense of seriousness.” The Mail describes Sunak’s performance as “statesmanlike and eloquent” and says this is the “calm after the storm — we hope.” The Telegraph welcomes the return of Raab and Gove and re-appointments of Cleverly and Wallace but warns of “a risk that the new government will be associated with the very mistakes that led us to the present situation.”

 

NOW READ THIS: If his top appointments are any indication, the Sunak era of government in Britain could actually be quite boring, my POLITICO colleague Emilio Casalicchio writes in his sum-up of the Cabinet appointments. Boris Johnson supporter Michael Fabricant; a Cabinet minister who didn’t back Sunak in either leadership race; and One Nation grandee Nicky Morgan all told Emilio the reshuffle looked like a bid for unity from a PM who looks serious about delivering.

 

But but but: There was some eyebrow raising not just at the ruthless sackings the reshuffle began with, but also the demotions and other decisions that looked like slaps on the wrists of non-supporters — the most notable being the failure to promote his former leadership rival Penny Mordaunt. She kept her job as leader of the House of Commons, but the move was seen in some quarters of Westminster as a snub, after her allies had briefed that she was in line for a major promotion.

 

Soft revenge: One former Cabinet minister argued the failure to promote Mordaunt looked like “an act of revenge or small-mindedness” after she refused to pull out of the leadership race until it was clear she was unable to make the ballot. Yet even some Sunak critics argued not sacking her outright was an olive branch, while one person familiar with the discussions on her appointment said she had been offered a different role but refused it. One of Mordaunt’s allies said she was pleased to keep her existing brief and believes continuity on a tight legislative program is vital.

 

THE BOTTOM LINE: In his analysis for the Times, Henry Zeffman examines the calculations behind Sunak’s decisions to keep Cleverly and Braverman in post while sacking Kit Malthouse and Simon Clarke to make space for his own allies. “He has decided that retaining so many of Johnson and Truss’s people is the most direct route to asserting his authority over a feuding party. However if he succeeds in taking control, he may want to carry out a more radical reshuffle before long,” he concludes.

 

CABINET PEN PORTRAITS

JEREMY HUNT: Stays put as chancellor. Veteran Cabinet minister of the David Cameron and Theresa May years. Lost his chance to be prime minister in the 2019 race against Boris Johnson. Ran again this summer and got just 19 backers. Now forever indebted to Liz Truss for resurrecting his political career. Got mixed up once while in China and said his Chinese wife was Japanese. Star of a popular meme.

 

DOMINIC RAAB: Restored to his exact old job of deputy prime minister and justice secretary. Brexiteer and late-term Johnson loyalist who “couldn’t have been more helpful” to the Sunak campaign, according to a gushing aide who spoke to the Times. Famous for his idiosyncratic Pret sandwich choices. Black belt in karate. Fluent in Portuguese.

 

SUELLA BRAVERMAN: Actually named Sue-Ellen, after the character in Dallas. Brought back as home secretary days after breaking the ministerial code. Reportedly made this her condition for endorsing Sunak. Daughter of immigrants from Kenya and Mauritius. Darling of the European Research Group and Tory right. General troublemaker. One to watch.

 

JAMES CLEVERLY: Backed Liz Truss then Johnson. Gets to stay foreign secretary anyway. Owes something to Penny Mordaunt for that (more below). Brexiteer and former British Army lieutenant. Likes playing fantasy wargames and painting Warhammer figurines in his spare time. South London native.

 

BEN WALLACE: Stays put as defense secretary to continue steering the U.K.’s response to the invasion of Ukraine and growing Russian aggression. Survivor of every Cabinet reshuffle since Boris Johnson first became prime minister. Former British Army captain who served in Germany, Cyprus, Belize and Northern Ireland. Briefly worked as ski instructor. Middle name is Lobban.

 

GRANT SHAPPS: Moved to business secretary. Fan of pivot tables and architect of Westminster’s most-written-about spreadsheet. Also good at aliases. First declared his intention to be a Tory Cabinet minister aged 13. Now deployed as a safe pair of hands by Tory governments facing difficult broadcast rounds. Small plane owner. Cousin of Clash lead guitarist Mick Jones.

 

PENNY MORDAUNT: Socially liberal Brexiteer and good communicator. Often compared to Boris Johnson as a result. Everyone thought she’d be PM for a few heady days in the summer. Had to abandon her second leadership bid on Monday after failing to hit 100 backers. Wanted to be foreign secretary but paid a price for refusing to pull out and back Sunak. Claims she has the resting face of “a bulldog chewing a wasp,” which may well get another outing on the front bench today.

 

KEMI BADENOCH: Stays at international trade and picks up the equalities brief. Daughter of Nigerian immigrants. Captured the hearts of Tory members in the summer with her insurgent leadership campaign. Unapologetically outspoken. Put in shifts at McDonald’s as a student in south London. Later worked on digital projects for the Spectator. Had to apologize in 2018 after confessing she once hacked Harriet Harman’s website.

 

GILLIAN KEEGAN: Promoted to education secretary. First holder of the role to leave school at 16 since Alan Johnson. Former shop-floor apprentice who went to a comprehensive. Used to travel to Tokyo to negotiate contracts for Natwest. Then became fluent in Spanish while working for Mastercard in Madrid. Grew up in Labour-voting Merseyside.

 

GAVIN WILLIAMSON: Becomes a minister without a portfolio in the Cabinet Office. Machiavellian former chief whip who kept a pet tarantula named Cronus on his desk. Former fireplace salesman. Definitely wasn’t Sunak’s campaign whip. Sacked as education secretary by Johnson after presiding over two years of school and exam chaos during the pandemic. Sacked as defense secretary by May for allegedly leaking state secrets, which he denies.

 

NADHIM ZAHAWI: Moved to Tory chairman. Son of Iraqi Kurdish immigrants. Propelled up the career ladder after overseeing the coronavirus vaccine rollout. Backed Johnson’s leadership bid on Sunday in an article that went up minutes before the former PM withdrew from the race. Quickly reverse-ferreted to support Sunak. Keen horse rider who owns stables in Tysoe.

 

MICHELLE DONELAN: Stays culture secretary. Decided to go into Conservative politics aged 6 and addressed the party’s conference in Blackpool aged 15. Once crowned a Wiltshire farm chili-eating champion. Used to work in marketing for World Wrestling Entertainment.

 

MEL STRIDE: Appointed work and pensions secretary. Might have been chancellor had the disintegration of the Truss mini-budget not forced her to appoint Hunt 10 days ago. Former Treasury committee chairman. Father of three. Key Sunak ally who hosted curry nights for fellow anti-Truss plotters. Founded a multi-million pound business aged 24 after cold-calling the chairman of Shell.

 

JOHN GLEN: The new chief secretary to the Treasury. Another staunch Sunak ally. Longstanding economic secretary to the Treasury (until he quit to help force Johnson out in July) finally rewarded with a Cabinet job. Growing up his family ran a horticultural business in Wiltshire. Spent eight months working for William Hague and helped him with PMQs prep. Used to be stationed in Paris with the Foreign Office.

 

MARK HARPER: Appointed transport secretary. One of the “gang of five” ex-chief whips who backed Sunak’s leadership bid — all of whom have now been rewarded with Cabinet jobs. Former chartered accountant. Raised in a working class family in Swindon. Briefly ran for Tory leader (along with everyone else) in 2019.

 

THÉRÈSE COFFEY: Moved to environment secretary, where she previously served as minister for more than three years. Said yesterday she was happy to be going home. Key Truss ally — with the pair referred to as “Liz and Tiz” — and central cog in her short-lived government. Praised across the party for her stewardship of DWP during the pandemic. Big karaoke fan.

 

SIMON HART: Former Welsh secretary now turned into Sunak’s chief parliamentary enforcer. Ran the Countryside Alliance for seven years before becoming MP. Delivered the fateful broadcast round the morning after Chris Pincher’s resignation from Johnson’s government. Resigned days later.

 

STEVE BARCLAY: Appointed health secretary, a job he held in Johnson’s interim Cabinet. Came to prominence when he was plucked out of nowhere to be appointed Brexit secretary in the May years. Former lawyer and British Army lieutenant. Also worked for a bit at Barclay’s (no relation). Rugby fan.

 

OLIVER DOWDEN: Former Conservative Party chairman and close Sunak-ally now tasked with cross-Whitehall coordination. Colleagues call him Olive. Resigned from Johnson’s Cabinet before it was cool. Did stints in CCHQ and prepared successive Tory prime ministers for PMQs before becoming an MP. Beat little-known businessman Rishi Sunak in the selection to become Tory candidate for Hertsmere in 2015. Once taught English in Japan for a bit.

 

MICHAEL GOVE: Reappointed to lead the department of leveling up. Reforming minister. Adopted son of an Aberdeen fisherman. Sacked by Johnson in July in an act of revenge for derailing his leadership campaign six years prior. Unfailingly polite. Separated last year from Daily Mail columnist Sarah Vine. Has since embarked on a European clubbing tour from Scotland to Ibiza.

 

ANDREW MITCHELL: Appointed minister for development, and will attend Cabinet. Strong believer in the commitment to spend 0.7 percent of GDP on aid, which gives us an indication where Sunak might land on that question. Briefly Cameron’s chief whip. Forced to resign after sensational claims he had called policemen outside Downing Street “plebs.” Earned the nickname “Thrasher” at his school thanks to being “a stern disciplinarian.”

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