quinta-feira, 13 de agosto de 2020

Trump makes fear-based appeal to women as Biden picks Harris


“The ‘suburban housewife’ will be voting for me,” Trump said Wednesday on Twitter. “They want safety & are thrilled that I ended the long running program where low income housing would invade their neighborhood.”

 

Trump makes fear-based appeal to women as Biden picks Harris

 

With Joe Biden tapping a woman as his running make, Trump is offering a divisive message to women voters that some Republican operatives are questioning.

Trump’s bellicose overtures to women are leading even some Republicans pollsters to question his gambit.

 

By MERIDITH MCGRAW

08/12/2020 07:59 PM EDT

Updated: 08/12/2020 08:07 PM EDT

 https://www.politico.com/news/2020/08/12/trump-makes-blunt-appeal-to-women-after-biden-picks-harris-394493


President Donald Trump is dropping any effort at subtlety with an overt and concerted last-ditch effort to win back a core constituency that propelled his 2016 win: white women.

 

Faced with a rival, Joe Biden, who just tapped a Black woman to join him on the Democratic ticket, Trump is trying to stop a defection of women voters — using a flurry of tweets and 11th-hour policy initiatives designed to play to potential fears about their families and communities.

 

He has altered fair-housing regulations — telling “suburban housewives” the move will “preserve” their neighborhoods and keep out low-income housing projects. He has falsely warned that Biden wants to defund the police — insinuating unchecked crime will soon spread to the suburbs. He has insisted that schools fully reopen — hoping to win over women struggling to care for their children. And this week, a bright pink “Women for Trump” bus started a tour across the country, with planned stops in places like Florida, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

 

“The ‘suburban housewife’ will be voting for me,” Trump said Wednesday on Twitter. “They want safety & are thrilled that I ended the long running program where low income housing would invade their neighborhood.”

 

It’s an existential issue for Trump’s political future. In 2016, Trump won a critical demographic — white women without a college degree — by 27 percentage points. But as of May, Biden had closed that gap to Trump to only 6 points, according to an ABC/Washington Post survey. More broadly in 2016, Trump won suburban voters, 49 percent to 45 percent, but has since lost that edge, according to polling data.

 

Yet Trump’s bellicose overtures to women are leading even some Republicans pollsters to question his gambit, particularly his hellish predictions of rampant crime coming to the suburbs and forced low-income housing driving down suburban property values. They noted that the suburban women who abandoned Trump’s Republican Party in 2018 — many of whom had college degrees, earned higher incomes than average and had previously voted Republican — were unlikely to be won back with such racially divisive rhetoric that also trafficked in outmoded gender norms.

 

“The campaign thinks it’s fear and they think they can scare people back into the fold, but the Democratic nominee is Joe Biden and it’s not Bernie Sanders,” said Christine Matthews, a Republican pollster who has been critical of Trump. “There’s very little they can do to say now to say they managed Covid successfully and the economy is in good shape, because neither of those things are true. That leaves them with fear of Biden.”

 

Trump’s explicit appeals to suburban voters started in earnest during a late June rally in Phoenix, when he vowed “disunity and discord” would come to “every suburb” if Biden was elected. In the following weeks, Trump’s suburban overtures became more pronounced, barbed and specific.

 

A recent ad from the Trump campaign features a woman of color and real-life Trump voter sitting holding cue cards to describe Biden as “weak,” a man who “embraced the policies of the far left.”

 

On Wednesday night, Trump warned at a press briefing that the Democrats were “going to, in my opinion, destroy suburbia.”

 

“You want something where people aspire to be there,” he added.

 

It’s part of a broader Trump team push to retain women voters that previously was primarily an economic pitch — before the coronavirus pandemic, unemployment rates for women had fallen to historic lows, a majority of new jobs were going to women and there were more women than men in the workforce for only the second time in U.S. history.

 

“Whether you like his tweets or not or his tone or not his policies have been beneficial for women,” said Mercedes Schlapp, a Trump campaign senior adviser.

 

Those gains look different in a post-pandemic world, however, with unemployment soaring, businesses closing and economists predicting a long road back to pre-pandemic figures.

 

Biden also changed the dynamic on Tuesday when he picked Harris. Democrats hope Harris will help energize moderate voters and women — especially suburban women — in November. Trump demonized Harris on Wednesday as “nasty” and “angry.”

 

“She left angry, she left mad, there was nobody more insulting to Biden than she was,” Trump said of Harris’s failed presidential campaign. “She said horrible things about him.”

 

Over the past few decades, both parties have aggressively courted suburban voters. The voting bloc has an above-average education and is evenly divided politically. In the 2016 election, Trump won suburban voters by roughly 5 percentage points.

 

But in 2018, the suburbs and the female voters who live there were key to Democrats’ winning nearly 30 states and control of the House, according to USA Today.


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