Trump gets last chance to claw back Biden lead at
final presidential debate
Trump will be under pressure to soften his display
compared with the first debate, which was widely criticized as bullying
Ed
Pilkington in New York
@edpilkington
Thu 22 Oct
2020 09.00 BST
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/oct/22/trump-biden-final-presidential-debate
Donald
Trump has his last chance to move the dial in the fast-approaching US
presidential election on Thursday night, when he addresses a large nationwide
audience at the final televised presidential debate.
Trump will
face his Democratic rival Joe Biden at 9pm ET at Belmont University in
Nashville, Tennessee. The candidates are expected to attract viewership in the
tens of millions of Americans for their 90-minute encounter, giving the US
president one last crack at shifting a race that has had him trailing the
former vice-president for weeks.
NBC News
and its moderator Kristen Welker will be hoping for a more civilized debate
than the first, held three weeks ago, which collapsed into acrimony amid almost
constant interruptions by Trump. In an attempt to prevent a repetition, the
commission on presidential debates on Monday tweaked the format so that the
candidates’ microphones are turned off while their opponent is speaking for the
opening two minutes of each of six issue segments.
For the
remainder of each of the 15-minute segments, discussion will be open between
the two men.
Trump will
be under pressure to soften his display compared with the first debate on 29
September, which was widely censured as bullying. Polls conducted after the
debate suggested it damaged his already beleaguered standing in key
battleground states such as Florida and Pennsylvania.
But there
were few indications that Trump intends to change tack in the final hours
leading up to the Nashville debate. On Monday he denigrated Welker as a
“radical left Democrat”, while his campaign has accused the debate commission
of being biased towards Biden and objected to the six policy subjects that NBC
News has chosen.
They
include three areas on which Trump’s record is especially vulnerable – race in
America, Covid-19 and climate change – as well as national security, leadership
and America’s families. Bill Stepien, Trump’s campaign manager, protested in a
letter to the commission that this debate should have been on foreign policy,
territory on which Trump thinks he can prevail following recent breakthrough
agreements in the Middle East.
Trump has
also been mired in his by now familiar angry denunciations of figures within
his own administration and the media. Instead of making a closing argument to
the American people, he has expended valuable political capital calling Anthony
Fauci, the country’s top infectious diseases official, a “disaster” and
“idiot”, and storming out of an interview with CBS News’ 60 Minutes.
The final
debate falls at an increasingly anxious time for the Trump re-election
campaign. National polls give Biden a steady and clear advantage, such as an
8.5% lead in the Real Clear Politics tracker.
National
polls have limited value. More worrying for the Trump campaign is the fact that
Biden has almost three times as much money to spend on the closing days as
Trump, and is also showing an edge in key swing states.
An
indication of the relevant concerns of each camp can be gleaned from where the
candidates and their top surrogates will be travelling this week. Biden was
hunkered down in Nashville for debate prep, suggesting that he sees the event
as a chance for him to solidify his frontrunner status.
In support
of Biden, Barack Obama travelled to Philadelphia on Wednesday making an appeal
to African American residents to vote. Pennsylvania, which was central to
Trump’s victory in 2016, is showing Biden ahead in the polls, but not enough
for comfort.
Kamala
Harris, Biden’s running mate, was in North Carolina on Wednesday, as was Trump
himself. North Carolina, a traditional Republican stronghold, is seen as
increasingly “purple” in that its changing demographics has put it up for grabs
for either party.
Florida,
which Trump must win if he is to have a solid chance at staying in the White
House, is widely cast as too close to call.
Perhaps the
most interesting campaign move was that of Vice-President Mike Pence, who was
in Ohio. Trump took Ohio by eight percentage points over Hillary Clinton in
2016, but polls now suggest it is also too close to call.
The three
scheduled presidential debates in 2020 have shaped up to be among the most
volatile in US history. The second debate was cancelled after Trump contracted
coronavirus and refused to stage the discussion through video links, resulting
in dueling separate town hall meetings on different networks.
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