'Sleeping giant' Arctic methane deposits starting to
release, scientists find
Exclusive: expedition discovers new source of
greenhouse gas off East Siberian coast has been triggered
Researchers worry that the Laptev Sea findings
may signal a new climate feedback loop has been triggered.
Jonathan
Watts Global environment editor
@jonathanwatts
Tue 27 Oct
2020 15.40 GMT
Scientists
have found evidence that frozen methane deposits in the Arctic Ocean – known as
the “sleeping giants of the carbon cycle” – have started to be released over a
large area of the continental slope off the East Siberian coast, the Guardian
can reveal.
High levels
of the potent greenhouse gas have been detected down to a depth of 350 metres
in the Laptev Sea near Russia, prompting concern among researchers that a new
climate feedback loop may have been triggered that could accelerate the pace of
global heating.
The slope
sediments in the Arctic contain a huge quantity of frozen methane and other
gases – known as hydrates. Methane has a warming effect 80 times stronger than
carbon dioxide over 20 years. The United States Geological Survey has previously
listed Arctic hydrate destabilisation as one of four most serious scenarios for
abrupt climate change.
The
international team onboard the Russian research ship R/V Akademik Keldysh said
most of the bubbles were currently dissolving in the water but methane levels
at the surface were four to eight times what would normally be expected and
this was venting into the atmosphere.
“At this
moment, there is unlikely to be any major impact on global warming, but the
point is that this process has now been triggered. This East Siberian slope
methane hydrate system has been perturbed and the process will be ongoing,”
said the Swedish scientist Örjan Gustafsson, of Stockholm University, in a
satellite call from the vessel.
The
scientists – who are part of a multi-year International Shelf Study Expedition
– stressed their findings were preliminary. The scale of methane releases will
not be confirmed until they return, analyse the data and have their studies published
in a peer-reviewed journal.
But the
discovery of potentially destabilised slope frozen methane raises concerns that
a new tipping point has been reached that could increase the speed of global
heating.
The Arctic
is considered ground zero in the debate about the vulnerability of frozen
methane deposits in the ocean.
With the
Arctic temperature now rising more than twice as fast as the global average,
the question of when – or even whether – they will be released into the
atmosphere has been a matter of considerable uncertainty in climate computer
models.
The
60-member team on the Akademik Keldysh believe they are the first to
observationally confirm the methane release is already under way across a wide
area of the slope about 600km offshore.
At six
monitoring points over a slope area 150km in length and 10km wide, they saw
clouds of bubbles released from sediment.
At one
location on the Laptev Sea slope at a depth of about 300 metres they found
methane concentrations of up to 1,600 nanomoles per litre, which is 400 times
higher than would be expected if the sea and the atmosphere were in
equilibrium.
Igor
Semiletov, of the Russian Academy of Sciences, who is the chief scientist
onboard, said the discharges were “significantly larger” than anything found
before. “The discovery of actively releasing shelf slope hydrates is very
important and unknown until now,” he said. “This is a new page. Potentially
they can have serious climate consequences, but we need more study before we
can confirm that.”
The most
likely cause of the instability is an intrusion of warm Atlantic currents into
the east Arctic. This “Atlantification” is driven by human-induced climate
disruption.
The latest
discovery potentially marks the third source of methane emissions from the
region. Semiletov, who has been studying this area for two decades, has
previously reported the gas is being released from the shelf of the Arctic –
the biggest of any sea.
For the
second year in a row, his team have found crater-like pockmarks in the
shallower parts of the Laptev Sea and East Siberian Sea that are discharging
bubble jets of methane, which is reaching the sea surface at levels tens to
hundreds of times higher than normal. This is similar to the craters and
sinkholes reported from inland Siberian tundra earlier this autumn.
Temperatures
in Siberia were 5C higher than average from January to June this year, an
anomaly that was made at least 600 times more likely by human-caused emissions
of carbon dioxide and methane. Last winter’s sea ice melted unusually early.
This winter’s freeze has yet to begin, already a later start than at any time
on record.
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