quarta-feira, 2 de setembro de 2020

California braces for record heat even as wildfire smoke keeps windows closed // Califórnia. De paraíso a inferno, por António Sérgio Rosa de Carvalho // Wildfires rage, Covid spreads: in California, life as we knew it has disappeared

 



California braces for record heat even as wildfire smoke keeps windows closed

 

High temperatures raise fire risk while poor air quality prevents residents from going outdoors amid Covid-19

 

Vivian Ho

Thu 3 Sep 2020 00.23 BSTLast modified on Thu 3 Sep 2020 00.25 BST

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/sep/02/california-heatwave-wildfire-smoke-air-quality-covid-19

 

Record-high temperatures are expected across California for the holiday weekend, increasing fire risk and exacerbating poor air quality for residents yearning to go outside because of the pandemic but forced indoors because of smoke from nearby fires.

 

As fires continue to burn throughout the state, the National Weather Service (NWS) declared excessive heat watches in the San Francisco Bay Area and Sacramento starting on Saturday and lasting until Monday. In Los Angeles, where temperatures of 100F to 115F were expected away from the beaches, dangerous heat was declared.

 

“This is an exceptionally dangerous event, especially considering the holiday weekend and the ongoing pandemic,” warned the NWS forecast office in San Diego. “This event will be hotter than the recent mid-August heat wave. Temperatures this high, and this widespread, are rarely ever seen in this area.”

 

The NWS also warned of an increased risk of power outages, as more Californians will want to use their air conditioners amid the heat – and it highlighted an increased risk of vegetation fires. “Elevated to briefly critical fire weather conditions can lead to dangerous plume-dominated fire growth,” the forecast reads.

 

This heatwave strikes as typical air-conditioned public spaces such as malls and libraries remain closed in many locations because of Covid-19. “Those without air conditioning should make preparations now to stay cool,” the NWS said.

 

For many residents in regions choked by wildfire smoke – many of whom do not have air conditioning – the small respite offered by an open window is no longer an option because of the air quality.

 

The heatwave comes on the heels of a lightning event that sparked a series of wildfires throughout the state. Since 15 August, nearly 14,000 lightning strikes have ignited 900 wildfires across California that have burned more than 1.5 million acres – 2,344 sq miles – and killed eight.

 

The excessive heat watches are expected to cool to heat warnings by Wednesday or Thursday next week.

 



OPINIÃO

Califórnia. De paraíso a inferno

 

Em plena crise corona continuamos na nossa vida quotidiana a não considerar o determinante problema do clima com a urgência que merece.

 

 António Sérgio Rosa de Carvalho

27 de Agosto de 2020, 6:06

 

https://www.publico.pt/2020/08/27/opiniao/opiniao/california-paraiso-inferno-1929394

 

Em 1970 os The Mamas & The Papas anunciavam o paraíso da Califórnia.(1) Paraíso garantido por clima ameno e referências culturais “mediterrânicas” residuais da antiga colonização espanhola, características largamente apreciadas pelas classes abastadas, estrelas de cinema e também os hippies de São Francisco.

 

 Na tarde de domingo/16 de Agosto de 2020 o famoso Vale da Morte na Califórnia registou a temperatura de 130 F, ou seja 55 graus C, talvez a mais alta temperatura jamais registada no Planeta. Ora, este local é um dos mais inóspitos do planeta, constituído por uma paisagem de ficção cientifica.

 

 Precisamente, nos filmes desastres/ficção científica a ruptura do sistema através das alterações climáticas é sempre imaginada em mega eco-cataclismos, facilmente reconhecíveis pela Humanidade. No entanto, em plena crise corona onde podemos experimentar um “cheirinho “de distopia, na qual todas as nossas assumidas seguranças desaparecem instantaneamente, continuamos na nossa vida quotidiana, apesar dos sinais progressivamente visíveis e dos avisos permanentes da classe científica, a não considerar o determinante problema do clima com a urgência que merece.

 

 Na Califórnia, o Verão, devido à conjugação de altas temperaturas, seca e tempestades tropicais transformadas em trovoadas “secas”, fontes de ignição de milhares de focos de incêndio em áreas mais e menos remotas, transformou-a num verdadeiro inferno. Portanto, aqui temos um exemplo concreto e nitidamente visível, digno de um “filme-desastre” anunciador de cataclismo/distópico/global, de que a Califórnia se está a transformar num imenso “Vale da Morte”.

 

 Façamos uma comparação em números do fenómeno: No mesmo período do ano passado a Califórnia registou 4,292 wildfires nos quais arderam 56.000 hectares. Este ano o número subiu para 7002 ‘wildfires’ nos quais arderam 1 milhão e 400 mil hectares com a destruição de 12.000 estruturas.(2) Ora num discurso “normal” de predicados e atractivos turísticos, é comum comparar Portugal à Califórnia. A 13 de Outubro de 2018, aqui no PÚBLICO (3) eu afirmava “que segundo as estimativas de alterações do clima, a Península Ibérica vai transformar-se num imenso deserto inabitável.”

 

 Muitos poderão considerar esta imagem alarmista, mas basta, por exemplo, consultar a “estratégia” esboçada por Costa e Silva para a Floresta Nacional, para ficarmos informados sobre o rigor, a “visão” e a efectividade da qualidade planeadora do mesmo.

 

 Num outro artigo aqui no PÚBLICO (4)  intitulado retoricamente “Coronavírus, o dia seguinte” eu, referindo-me à pausa distópica provocada pelo vírus, perguntava: “Vamos, finalmente, aprender alguma coisa, parar para reflectir, durante esta pausa a que fomos obrigados por este ‘factor externo’, microscópica mensagem emitida pelo macro organismo onde estamos inseridos?”.

 

 A resposta a esta pergunta fundamental, vamos obtê-la muito brevemente no determinante resultado das eleições americanas. Determinante para todo o mundo, quando o actual Presidente dos EUA, simplesmente, nega categoricamente que o problema do clima existe. Segundo ele trata-se de mais uma teoria da conspiração.

 

 

                      Historiador de Arquitectura

 

1 - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N-aK6JnyFmk

 

 2- https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2020/aug/24/california-fires-evacuation-orders-bay-area-wildfires-latest-news-updates

 

 3- https://www.publico.pt/2018/10/13/opiniao/opiniao/apres-nous-le-deluge-1847403

 

 4- https://www.publico.pt/2020/03/16/sociedade/opiniao/coronavirus-dia-seguinte-1908033




Wildfires rage, Covid spreads: in California, life as we knew it has disappeared

 

The devastating blazes began just as I began a two-week quarantine. We desperately need leadership

 

Dana Frank

Thu 3 Sep 2020 11.20 BSTLast modified on Thu 3 Sep 2020 11.21 BST

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/sep/03/california-wildfires-covid-19

 

At 10am on 16 August, I drove east from Santa Cruz to Oakland to my mom’s nursing home, where I was being allowed in, in full PPE, to kiss her a last goodbye. As I curved north through San Jose, I could see a billowing steel-gray fire cloud among the hills to the east. Lightning flashed past Berkeley as I pulled into the parking lot. On the way home, I took the long route across the San Mateo Bridge, then over the top of the San Francisco Peninsula and south from Half Moon Bay. Halfway down the coast I saw a helicopter dropping bright red pillows of retardant on to a fire streaming its smoke in a flat horizontal panel out to the ocean. Ten minutes later I passed white smoke pouring down another canyon on my left. Before I pulled into my driveway at the edge of Santa Cruz, I could see a fourth, giant fire spewing far to the south beyond Salinas.

 

By afternoon it was clear that the fires I’d seen were just a few of the hundreds sparked all over northern California by freak thunderstorms that weekend, in which 10,800 lightning strikes ignited 367 fires. Soon, hundreds of the small fires converged into bigger and bigger ones, so fast and so vast that Cal Fire didn’t even give names to the largest ones as it usually does, resorting to acronyms like the SCU Lightning Complex, the LNU Lightning Complex, and my own fire to the north and east of Santa Cruz, the CZU Lightning Complex.

 

Two of those fires are now the second- and third-largest in California history. By 28 August, the largest, the LNU fire north-east of the Bay Area, had burned 371,000 acres. Together, the fires have burned over a million acres. We’re in “unprecedented” mode, here, as climate change, Covid-19, and other factors converge to wreak vast destruction.

 

By Monday the 17th we knew quite how serious the fires were. The first looming threat was to the 100,000-person city of Vacaville, between the Bay Area and Sacramento, where walls of flame moved in on tract houses in residential neighborhoods. The TV showed median barriers aflame at night alongside Interstate 80, eight lanes of cars sliding past them a foot or two away.

 

I sat in the backyard in the middle of that day amid 10ft-high sunflowers bathed in eerie diffuse golden light, waiting for the phone call that my mother had died. Two hours later after the call arrived, the nursing home texted that 20 residents and staffers had just tested positive for Covid-19; four had been hospitalized. I began the process of contacting relatives, banks, and the lawyer, and of counting the 14 days until I could de-quarantine myself and come remotely near any of my loved ones – although never less than 6ft, and always outside, as for the last five months.

 

By Tuesday it was clear that Santa Cruz and broad swaths of the greater San Francisco Bay Area were in big trouble, and the fires were spreading uncontrolled throughout the local mountains and up the coast. Ash floating down innocently, coating our cars. We began to obsessively watch Cal Fire’s press conferences on our computers three times a day, in our own local version of the New York governor Andrew Cuomo’s Covid briefings on C-Span. We even had our own new rock star, a handsome man named Michael with long black wavy hair and hip suits, a sign-language interpreter.

 

Local evacuations began. They started high up in the mountains, in the towns of Boulder Creek and Bonny Doon, and the small coastal towns northward – Davenport, Pescadero, La Honda. Every day new towns were cleared out in succession down the San Lorenzo Valley, through close-knit communities of ageing hippies, working-class rural people, and Silicon Valley commuters. By 25 August, 78,000 people had been evacuated from Santa Cruz county alone.

 

 Would the fires drive all the way to the sea, destroying our entire city, like the Paradise fire two years ago?

My best friends Gerri and Steve evacuated from Ben Lomond on Wednesday. Steve, a botanist, moved two carfuls of his 50-year-old succulent collection down to a friend’s house in Santa Cruz, and then, when the evacuation zone threatened southward, moved them farther around the Monterey Bay to a friend’s in Watsonville. He left behind the rest of his plants, unwatered in 90F heat, and he and Gerri took refuge in their daughter’s tiny apartment in Santa Cruz. Soon the evacuation line marched down all the way down to lap at the city limits, six blocks or so away from them. Would the fires drive all the way to the sea, destroying our entire city, like the Paradise fire two years ago?

 

The next day I packed up my own things into piles by the front door, making agonizing, sudden choices about what to leave behind. Unlike residents of rural California, who live with evacuation threats every summer and fall, I’d never thought it through before.

 

That night we all felt a body blow: the headquarters buildings at our beloved Big Basin Redwoods state park, the first state park in California, built by the civilian conservation corps in the 1930s, burned to the ground. I was conceived in that park; I’ve researched and written about its history. Suddenly it was just another disaster story in the New York Times. With their bark of asbestos, the 1,500-year-old trees will survive. But it was rough to see photos of lurid flames glowing within their trunks.

 

During those first several days, Cal Fire never quite provided exact maps of the fire’s edges, as it has in past fires. Eventually the spokesperson admitted that they didn’t actually know where the fires began and ended. They were massively understaffed. “Typically, in an area of that size, would have probably 10-20 times the resources to put out that fire. We simply don’t have it,” admitted Mark Brunton, an operations chief for Cal Fire, referring to the fire in the Bonny Doon area, north of Santa Cruz. “In my 34 years of doing this, I’ve never been this early in the seasons with this many catastrophic fires.”

 

Because of the Covid-19 risk, the firefighters have had to practice social distancing; they can’t just hop into trucks together or get close on the lines. In past years, a solid chunk of California firefighters have been prisoners working under widely denounced conditions. But 8,000 prisoners have been released because of Covid, sharply limiting that pool.

 

Most powerfully, the sheer scale of fires has overwhelmed the system. In the face of such unprecedented demand, there weren’t enough helicopters or planes to survey the extent of the fires or drop fire retardants – and most days the smoke was so bad they couldn’t fly anyway. Daniel Swain, a climate researcher at UCLA, tweeted that on Friday: “This is probably the most widespread and violent summer thunderstorm event in memory for Bay Area & also one of the hottest nights of the year.” Brunton, the Cal Fire chief, described burning conditions that were “unprecedented and unseen by veteran firefighters”.

 

This is what climate change looks like.

 

By Saturday, the University of California, Santa Cruz, where I taught for 30 years, had been evacuated, and the line was eight blocks away from my house along the coast. The air quality became deeply threatening. I sealed up all the doors and windows with packing tape; used a chamber system of sealed rooms to exit or enter the house (and didn’t leave); and had to repress my panic at the new, higher level of isolation. We couldn’t even visit in backyards any more – if we were privileged to have one. I started tracking statistics and curves by the hour: the percentage of fire contained, the number of people evacuated, the air quality index (43, great, run outside!; 78, rut-roh; 189, nooo … !)

 

Students and researchers at UC Santa Cruz sit in front of a sign thanking first responders, on 24 August.

 

The EPA said we should choose a “clean room” big enough for the whole family, keep it sealed off, and use a wet cloth to constantly wipe its surfaces clean.

 

Now add Covid-19 to all that, and track the daily Covid numbers for Santa Cruz, still alarmingly high. Where do 74,000 northern California evacuees and their pets and livestock go, if everyone’s households are sealed off for virus protection? Which relatives or friends let whom in? Government refuges opened immediately in the high schools, the civic auditorium, and other venues; but, full of people inside in close quarters, shared bathrooms, they’re ripe for mass contagion. The mask advice is now reversed: cloth masks don’t work for smoke, you need an N-95 mask; and you’re wearing it to protect yourself, not others.

 

On Sunday the National Weather Service announced a dangerous red flag warning for the next 48 hours, on high alert for high winds and new lightning that could spark new fires throughout the state, which would stretch the meagre resources still further. The Los Angeles Times reported that if the firefighters couldn’t hold the line at Boulder Creek, at the top of the San Lorenzo Valley, they would let the flames sweep down all the way through the towns below, to the bulldozed line at Santa Cruz. I’d just been reading Willa Cather’s 1918 novel My Ántonia, with its haunting story of Pavel and Peter, the Russians driving a sled in the cold moonlight who watched as a wolf pack picked off the dozen sleds behind them one by one, and finally threw the bride out of their own sled to lighten the load. Would Gerri and Steve’s house, two-thirds of the way up the valley, be tossed to the wolves? On Monday, the new storms didn’t materialize and the weather service lifted the Red Flag early. I wept for the first time.

 

 We need government, and government not in service to institutionalized racism and elite greed

I am vastly privileged in facing this. As the air thickens and poisons, the region’s farmworkers are trying to survive an ever more deadly environment. Many of them are Mixtec indigenous people from Oaxaca, Mexico, who go to work every day without Covid protection, trying to keep from starving and hoping to send money to those without food at home. California farmworkers live in substandard housing with little ability to social distance at work or at home, and, like other Black and brown peoples of this country, they are dying in droves. Two maps of California now overlap: one from the EPA, with red zones showing the state’s worst air quality often accumulating in the Central Valley near Fresno, and a second one from the state’s health department showing rising Covid cases in the same zone.

 

As I write, it is now day 13 into the fires and of my post-nursing-home personal Covid quarantine. The briefings tell us optimistically of 26% containment, of “repopulation” zones. They are alternately cheering and careful, as they warn of new dangers: burned bridges, falling trees, thick layers of organic matter called “duff” burning on the forest floor that moves in clandestine ways to undermine roads and cross under hard-fought fire lines.

 

We aren’t venturing out far – the air quality is still too terrible much of the time, and the roads closed. I’m not exactly unpacking, just warily plucking daily shirts and socks out of the suitcase. We know that many of the historic ranch buildings on the north coast are gone, and their owners’ livelihoods. More than 700 houses have burned down. In response, beautiful networks of mutual aid are proliferating on social media to provide shelter, take in livestock, and drop off meals, in all the moving ways people take care of strangers in these situations.

 

But it’s not enough. We need government, and government not in service to institutionalized racism and elite greed. How do we channel those mutual aid networks, and the vast need for a government that serves all the people, into a better future?

 

My mom is gone, and so is life as we knew it once again. We awake to yet another new reality, another reconstruction of our daily lives. We begin, now, to imagine doing simple tasks – going to the post office, say – but then remember, wait, the world out there is still all changed; it’s still dangerous to come in and out its door as maskless strangers veer toward us.

 

In answer to our pleas, the cavalry from Idaho, Canada, Australia did arrive. But soon they’ll move on, leaving us to make it through the worst of the fire season still ahead in September and October. We are waiting patiently for the rains to come in late October, far away. We are waiting for 3 November. We are waiting for the vaccine.

 

We look to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and the Green New Deal star in the sky. But visibility is often 25ft, so we hunker down and share our extra cellphone chargers, our N-95 masks with broken elastic, our detective novels, and our love, and open the doors of our hearts.

 

Dana Frank is a research professor of history and professor emerita at the University of California, Santa Cruz, and the author, most recently, of The Long Honduran Night: Resistance, Terror, and the United States in the Aftermath of the Coup


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