sexta-feira, 26 de junho de 2020

Masha Gessen compares Trump to Putin: 'Unrest and riots are useful for autocrats'




INTERVIEWMASHA GESSEN
Masha Gessen compares  Trump to Putin: 'Unrest and riots are useful for autocrats'

Masha Gessen has experience with two autocratic regimes, that of Vladimir Putin and that of Donald  Trump..

With his overt influence on the judiciary, Donald Trump  is showing himself to be a true autocrat, says  Masha  Gessen, author of How to Survive an Autocracy. And so there are more parallels with his great opponent Vladimir Putin.

Michael Persson25 june 2020, 16:47

Masha Gessen was one of those people who warned about what could happen four years ago, shortly after the election of Donald Trump as President of America.

And a lot has happened over the years, months, weeks and days.

Especially the last few days it went hard. It was the week Trump  fired a New York prosecutor who was investigating his friends and confidantes. It was the week that a  Trump-appointed judge, formerly of the White House, wrote that Mike Flynn, a trump confidant,  Trumpshouldwalk free, as  Trump Trump  wanted. It was the week a justice official testified to Congress that Attorney General Bill Barr exerted "great pressure" to give another of Trump'sconfidantes - Roger Stone - alighter sentence. It was the week that a Republican congressman sat on the table during that testimony to make him impossible to talk.

"There are no rules that stipulate that you can't make a fuss," said this representative, Louie Gohmert  of Texas. With which he beautifully described what is characteristic of the era-Trump: the realization that the political system of the United States is not held togetherby rules, but by standards. And standards only exist until someone does something abnormal.

"I'm not surprised that the American institutions are broken," Gessen, author of the book How to Survive an Autocracy, said in a Zoom interview on Tuesday. 'I'm surprised at the ease with which they've been broken. I thought it would take longer.'

Gessen, who was born in the Soviet Union in 1967, knows autocratic regimes up close. A Jewish great-grandfather was murdered by the Nazis. As a teenager, Gessen moved to the United States, returning to Russia as a journalist in 1991 and experiencing and describing the rise of Vladimir Putin up close. Gessen, openly gay, was beaten up in front of the Russian parliament in 2013 and always realised he was walking 'with a pink triangle'. As the threat grew that the authorities would take away the children of gay parents, Gessen took the plane to New York at the end of that year with two sons and a daughter. "There was no risk so small that it was acceptable," Gessen told Canadian radio station CBC. "We had to get out of there."

And since then, the emigrated immigrant in her new homeland has once again experienced the rise of an unusual leader. " Trump,"Gessen wrote two days after the new president's election in The New York Review of Books, "is the first candidate in time who did not want to be president, but a dictator." Then, based on her experiences in Russia, Gessen wrote a few rules that she believes should help her survive in the upcoming dictatorship.

They are still worth mentioning.

One, believe the autocrat, he means what he says. Two: Don't be seduced by weak signals of normalcy. Three, the institutions won't save you. Four: Be furious. Five: Don't compromise. Six: Remember there's a future.

Now, nearly four years later, the country is in a triple crisis, and in the book that emerged from that article, Gessen wonders whether Trump  may not have inadvertently created the perfect conditions for consolidating his power. Gessen cites philosopher Hannah  Arendt, who describes in The Origins  of Totalitarianism how instability  for autocratic regimes is always a useful tool, by shielding promises of stability. "It's not for nothing that  Trump is now insisting on law and order," Gessen said.

Do you think your warnings were justified?
'I didn't expect the quick collaboration of the Republican party. At least, I didn't think I expected that when I wrote the book. But then I was reminded that I'd already written a column at the end of 2016 in which I said that the Republican party would become a party of henchmen. Apparently, my foresight is better than my memory. But it also says something: in 2016, it obviously made perfect sense to argue how conservatives would surrender to Trump,  but then it's always very difficult to believe that emotionally.'

What explains that logical accomplice??
"The entire American political system is hung up on election cycles. Delegates must be re-elected every two years. And because Trump  has so much power over the electorate, a tweet from him is enough to destroy a politician's political career. So it was  almost impossible to imagine a Republican congressman saying, "I'm going to keep my back straight, even if I lose my seat." And that's what came out, there were only a few who kept the honor to themselves. Most of them have chosen the plush. And with that, their audience has changed. They no longer have their constituents in mind, but  TrumpTrump. Because they control their constituents."

And that's still emotionally hard to believe?
'You do believe that people choose the right thing, rather than opportunism.'

You wrote in 2016: don't count on the institutions – from the courts to the media. However, you are noting that they have made it even faster than you expected.
"Americans have a religious belief in their institutions. They love that whole mythology of the founding  fathers- the wise men who invented the system at the end of the eighteenth century. They think the system is so perfectly designed that it can repair itself, that it can function independently, without outside help, or adjustments to time. Magical qualities. Too good to be true. Take the  Electoral  College, which is leading to a vote from the countryside becoming more and more valuable. Americans have not properly maintained their institutions, and thus made them ineffective.'

Why did Trump, in particular, see those weaknesses?
'A system that depends on standards and customs is easier to break by people who never stick to agreements anyway.'

Since the corona crisis, and certainly since the outbreak of the riots following the death of George Floyd, Trump seems to be acting even more authoritarian. Is there a plan behind that, or is he just losing control?
'The Hungarian sociologist Bálint Magyar distinguishes three phases in the development of an autocracy. One, the autocratic pursuit. That's what we're in now. Two, the breakthrough. That would be Trump's re-election. Three: autocratic consolidation. That's trump's  Trump  post-election pick. Look, I'm not trying to say that  Trump has some kind of master plan, or that he's capable of planning at all. But he instinctively sees power as total dominance, as something that jettisons the whole system of control and balance, as something that rests heavily on the military. And he's really been ranting lately. Before Berman's resignation  Berman- the New York prosecutor -  Trump fired a sn fumble inspector general. And yes, the president has the power to do that. But we never really realized that he has the power to do that. It was unthinkable."

What about the army's deployment?
'Military display is very important to Trump.  Dominating the streets. In that, he looks a lot like Putin. Total military control, that creates power. Putin and  Trump see themselves as the centers of a clan in which they can distribute money and power. Like in the mafia. To do that, they need people who can use force. They are very afraid of protests, because they question that power and therefore threaten that power – more than the institutions do. Here in the U.S., that collision could be very big. In this country, protests are national myths. Children are taught in school about the American revolution, the women's struggle, the civil rights struggle, all democratic progress is linked to protest. So if a leader sees protest as something he has to knock down, then that's... unusual."

You avoided the word fascism for three and a half years when you wrote about Trump.  Why did you use it for the first time two weeks ago?
'I don't think it would have been incorrect if I'd used the word earlier. But the costs and benefits of the word are not in proportion. The benefits are not great, because usually the word does not add much to the conversation – because the concept is not really strictly defined. The risks are big, because then you end up in a discussion about whether Trump  is as bad as Hitler. But then, what are you going to do when he walks across that clean-swept Lafayette Square and actually performs a fascist act? I mean, that whole aesthetic, with those guys in uniform, him with that Bible... that's the time to name it. It's not like he became a fascist then, it was just his most obvious display.'

There have been signs of resistance in recent weeks. Military personnel distanced themselves from Trump's  action in Lafayette Square. Do you think the military is drawing boundaries?
"Maybe, maybe not. Those soldiers were a little late. They did indeed collaborate, and only distanced themselves when it became clear that they had done something that received a lot of criticism. Do they still do that when they don't get any more criticism? Look, I use the word autocracy to describe something that we know Trump  is after: a government in which all power comes together with the leader, with no checks  and  balances- leaning heavily on the military and the police. He has already achieved that to a certain extent. We don't know what else to do, but it will look different from the totalitarian regimes of the last century.'

Also a kind of backlash: the Supreme Court issued a ruling in which the conservative judge said that gays should not be dismissed. The government didn't expect that. What did that mean to you?
'It was a wonderful statement, of course, if you look at how many lives are affected by it. I also liked the wording. But should you be happy if the Supreme  Court puts its heels in the sand once? They should do that every day."

What does the street protest of the last few weeks mean in your eyes?
'That protest is the most hopeful I've seen in a long time. The protests themselves, the scale of it, the diversity, the duration. And the shift in public opinion, the rapid embrace of ideas that were recently totally marginal, such as limiting the police budget. These are the counterforces that we can also expect from a crisis. The big question is: will we keep that up until November?

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