terça-feira, 26 de maio de 2020

Driving blind: Cummings comes full circle / The Cummings debacle has exposed Boris Johnson's weakness and dependency



Driving blind: Cummings comes full circle

The architect of Brexit has become an unelected bureaucrat who refuses to give up control.

By OTTO ENGLISH 5/25/20, 8:06 PM CET Updated 5/25/20, 10:34 PM CET

LONDON — It was an unprecedented press conference in every way, not least because the government’s own code of conduct for special advisers states that they “must not take part in public political controversy, through any form of statement.”

But it was long ago obvious, that the ordinary rules do not apply where Dominic Cummings is concerned.

As 4 p.m. came and went, it became increasingly clear that Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s chief adviser has as much respect for time as he has for the lockdown rules.

More than 30 minutes passed before Britain’s best known SpAd — short for special adviser — deigned to gift the waiting world with an explanation of why he seems to have violated the government’s strict lockdown rules by driving more than 400 kilometers to his parents’ farm in Durham, after his wife said she felt ill with COVID-19 symptoms.

When Cummings finally did stroll out into the Downing Street rose garden in his trademark untucked shirt, it quickly became clear that the strategy — hammered out behind closed doors over the last 24 hours — was for him to appear, if not contrite then at least eminently reasonable. And if that failed, he would drone everyone into submission.

“None of our usual childcare options were available,” so the Cummings had headed north.

Over the next 20 minutes, the prime minister’s most trusted adviser  — and the man widely credited with bringing Britain Brexit — delivered a detailed justification for his movements.

In April, his wife had rung him to say she was feeling ill and he had decided that they would therefore drive to a safe space, where help would be available if needed.

Everyone else in the country might have got the message about staying at home and saving lives but uniquely: “None of our usual child care options were available,” so the Cummings had headed north.

In his version of events, Cummings was both victim and hero of the piece — a family man who had acted reasonably and who had subsequently been unfairly set upon by the press for doing the right thing.

This was an “exceptional situation” and “numerous false stories in the media” had sought to discredit him and make him look as if he had done something wrong. Cummings claimed he had a “full tank of petrol” and knew that he could safely drive to Durham and would be able to self-isolate in an empty estate cottage.

Having reached his parents’ farm, he and his wife had both displayed COVID-19 symptoms and self-isolated with their 4-year-old son. But then after a 14-day period, having recovered sufficiently, decided that it might be time to go back to work.

Cummings had suffered eyesight problems during the illness and his partner was worried so they “agreed to go for a short drive to see if I could drive safely.”

That last admission already seems likely to be a phrase that will launch a 1,000 memes.

It was during that brief car journey to Barnard Castle and during some subsequent toilet breaks and exercise that he was spotted by members of the public, who were wished a hearty “Happy Easter” by Mrs. Cummings as they stared on from a distance.

It was all very reasonable, he said, and “I don’t regret what I did.”

In ensuing question and answers with the journalists present, he doubled down. He hadn’t bothered the prime minister with the details of his journey because Johnson “had a million things on his plate” and was ill in bed.

Cummings blamed the media, the public, the wilful misinterpretation of his words — but he refused to accept that he himself had acted wrongly.

Whatever he might say, however much he might refute it — Cummings did break the rules. While millions of other Britons forewent freedom of movement, while hundreds of thousands struggled with child care and the effects of the virus, Johnson’s top adviser decided that he was above the fray.

What was on show in Cummings’ performance was the underlying superciliousness of the new elite running Britain — and most of all that of the Svengali who sits behind its throne whispering instructions.

How dare mere hacks and police constables question the judgment of the man who gave the world Brexit. It all made perfect sense to him so why couldn’t they grasp it?

Cummings has always been a whole set of paradoxes. For 20 years he carved a niche for himself in the shadows, cementing the agenda of Euroskeptic conservatism and serving the biggest elite in the land, while claiming all the while that he was some kind of anti-establishment outlier.

The growing antipathy of millions of Britons for an administration that thinks it’s “one rule for them and another for us” might yet frame the government’s future.

He isn’t. He sits at the heart of an overconfident inherently arrogant establishment that thinks it can ride this one out.

Cummings has a lot of enemies both within and without the inner corridors of power, and this performance won’t have won him many fans. Genuine contrition was thin on the ground and he seemed more preoccupied that “media reports” about him were false than anything else.

Perhaps he and Johnson have calculated it correctly. Perhaps he will weather this storm and cling on to power.

But if that happens, the damage it has wrought will linger. The growing antipathy of millions of Britons for an administration that thinks it’s “one rule for them and another for us” might yet frame the government’s future.

Whatever eventually happens, Cummings can add another paradox to his curriculum vitae.

The architect of Britain’s effort to “take back control” from the unelected and unaccountable bureaucrats is now an unelected, unaccountable bureaucrat refusing to cede control.



The Cummings debacle has exposed Boris Johnson's weakness and dependency
Polly Toynbee

The prime minister is entirely unfit for the responsibility of his office. In cleaving to his special adviser, he looks the servant not the master

Tue 26 May 2020 07.00 BSTLast modified on Tue 26 May 2020 07.41 BST

Out of the dark side emerged the power behind the throne. Can the supreme disrupter do humility? Can he grovel an apology in front of those he most despises?

No regrets, not sorry, but he tried a kind of plea for pity. The Cummings family plainly had a bad time, but his words may fall on stony hearts among other families who had also the virus, but obeyed the stay-at-home order without travelling 260 miles. The vast majority didn’t seek out loopholes, but kept the “stay at home” rule in word and spirit. Did the Cummings have no friend in London? Who would take a 30-mile drive to a beauty spot, risking wife and child, as an eye test?

Everyone wants to interpret the orders their own way but, as someone who sits on the science advisory group (Sage) and as No 10 director of strategy, he makes the rules. Never were these so crystal clear as when lockdown slammed the shutters.

Behind front doors people suffered in solitary confinement. The single mother with the disabled child, the cancer patient barred from their children, aged grandparents in care homes who never saw families again. Most heartrending was the 13-year-old boy dying all alone because his parents obeyed the rules to stay away.

Everywhere lonely deaths and lonely funerals are seared deep in everyone’s thoughts, alongside tales of heroic health and care staff sacrificing their lives, and local groups helping others. Everyone is touched by this national calamity, which will yet leave more pain in its economic wake with so many jobless, with careers blighted, hopes dashed.

Just as well this Thursday will be last the clap-for-carers as the public mood risks turning angry: clap the heroes but beat your saucepans at scoundrels who tell us to do what they say, not what they do. The prime minister’s defence of Dominic Cummings’ rule-flouting is no Westminster bubble brouhaha, but it drives right to the heart of voters’ lived experience. Typhoid Dom and Mary escaped London at peak infection, within talking distance of parents while others pined for family.

By clinging on, both Cummings and his leader expose an alienation from public sentiment, after nine weary weeks of isolation with so much grief and ruin. But they have opted to take on a flock of bishops, police, medics, scientists and a flotilla of Tory MPs whose inboxes overflow with public indignation. Any minister would have been rapidly expelled. This is no mere storm in a Westminster bubble: illegally shutting down parliament and lying to the Queen did Boris Johnson no harm in the election because few voters felt personally prorogued. But this is personal.

For as long as Cummings stays, Johnson is damaged, burning through political credit when he has very little to spare, sliding in polls that show 52% of voters calling for Cummings to go, only 28% to stay. We know Johnson to be a man without loyalty – not to friend, lover or family, faithful only to himself. So why is Cummings indispensable?

This exposes the weakness and dependency of a prime minister who is only an empty frontman, entirely unfit and unwilling to shoulder the job’s heavy lifting, relying dangerously on a svengali who has persuaded him of his genius. But as long as Johnson cleaves to him, he looks the servant not the master.

Look what else looms as a flurry of devastating analyses of Johnson’s mishandling of the epidemic emerges, even from his Tory press. As infections doubled every three days there were “38 days when Britain sleepwalked into disaster”, the Sunday Times found, excoriating a lockdown delay that “cost thousands of lives”. Blithely Johnson ordered “business a usual”, boasting in true Trumpian style on 2 March that Britain was “very, very well prepared”, with “fantastic testing systems” and “amazing surveillance of the spread of the disease”. Radio 4’s More or Less has just demolished the daily lies on testing. It has never been anywhere near 100,000 people a day – in fact, barely half that, once duplicate tests and non-tests are deducted.

Cummings doesn’t matter. What really matters is the damage done to trust in future official coronavirus messages. This week Johnson will relax the rules further, partly bowing to pressure from the impatient right wing of his party. Persuading people to stick to more complicated rules will be hard while gradually easing out of lockdown.

I talked to an experienced contact tracer, now working on the Covid-19 track-and-trace scheme: she describes the chaos of its overcentralised non-functioning computerised system which will certainly not be up and running by next Monday, let alone fulfil Johnson’s fatuous promise of a “world-beating” system.

But here’s what worries her most. She will be cold-calling people with no symptoms to order them to strictly home-isolate for 14 days, just as everyone else is easing up. If Cummings couldn’t obey this, even with florid infection in his family, how much harder will it be to convince others not infected?

“We know there are mountain ranges of surges ahead of us each time there’s an easing of rules. We expect rises at the end of June, and the end of July, and just hope there’s no second wave in the autumn or winter,” she says. Freedom from lockdown means chasing down every new Covid-19 case, commanding rigid obedience from all they’ve contacted, even those who can barely remember meeting the infected person. By defending Cummings, Johnson has demolished a sense of moral obligation, undermining the public spirit that says “I will if you will”. He has allowed us all to follow our “instinct”, not the contact tracers’ instructions.

In a cry of despair, Prof Stephen Reicher, of the Sage behavioural insights subcommittee, says: “Boris Johnson has trashed all the advice we have given on how to build trust and secure adherence to the measures necessary to control Covid-19.”

A government with a majority of 80 is rock solid. But a Tory prime minister is never safe. Leaders in this ruthless party last only so long as they remain winners. After the outrage over her poll tax, even Margaret Thatcher fell under their undying lust for power. It’s an impulse that keeps Conservatives in office most of the time – and one which Labour often lacks.

The tens of thousands of lives needlessly lost during Johnson’s cavalier handling of the epidemic will weigh heavily on his premiership from now on. Indulging one of his own to disobey rules that everyone else followed may linger long in public memories too. They will hope this blows away, but I suspect it will leave behind political scars – yet another signal that we are never “all in this together”.

• Polly Toynbee is a Guardian columnist

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