sábado, 30 de abril de 2022

China counts the cost of its zero-Covid policy



China counts the cost of its zero-Covid policy

Beijing ought to swallow its pride and approve foreign mRNA vaccines

 


THE EDITORIAL BOARDA

https://www.ft.com/content/61b49ff5-edb6-4d6d-94db-e7b65a065301

 

Dozens of cities in China are in full or partial lockdown in response to the spread of Covid-19 cases, meaning that a population roughly the size of the US has been stuck at home for several weeks, often with limited access to food and medical care.

 

Among those cities in lockdown, Shanghai has received the most attention. Deservedly so. Although the city relaxed quarantine rules somewhat this week, about 4.5mn people remain confined to their homes and roughly 7.9mn are permitted to leave their homes but must remain within their neighbourhoods.

 

Food distribution has broken down in some parts of the city, leaving some residents to go hungry as piles of rotting produce are left in the street. The anguish of many people cooped up in their apartments and getting by on scant rations has been caught in videos shared widely on social media.

 

But the crisis in Shanghai and other cities is not only humanitarian. It is most starkly an economic problem and, to an extent, a political issue too. The IMF has cut its GDP growth forecast from 4.8 per cent to 4.4 per cent for the full year — a particularly sharp contraction from the 8.1 per cent posted last year, hurting both China and the global economy.

 

The crunch looks set to be particularly pronounced in April. Ting Lu, China chief economist at Nomura, predicts that GDP growth in the second quarter of this year will slump to 1.8 per cent, down from the actual 4.8 per cent seen in the first quarter.

 

The reasons behind the slump reveal deeper faultlines. One source of weakness is the severe contraction in the country’s huge property market, which has relinquished a longstanding role as a dynamo for broader prosperity. Enough real estate to house an estimated 90mn people now stands empty.

 

Nevertheless, the biggest drag on GDP growth is political. Beijing is steadfastly sticking to its zero-Covid policy. The full and partial lockdowns in cities across the country are playing havoc with demand for housing, durable consumer items and capital goods as incomes fall and uncertainties rise. The sheer logistical challenge of getting goods from A to B is acting as a big drag.

 

As China’s population of 1.4bn people contends with their third year of Covid, many have drained their savings to a level at which they are obliged to reduce spending.

 

All of this throws an unsparing light on to Beijing’s Covid strategy. National pride has prevented China from approving foreign mRNA vaccines for use among its people, leaving them to take the less effective vaccines developed by domestic companies.

 

This has meant that despite an impressive vaccination rate (88 per cent of people have had two jabs), the elderly in particular are still thought to be at real risk from coronavirus.

 

It is true that Beijing has been urging the development of homegrown mRNA vaccines — two of which have now entered clinical trials — but China needs to act now with dispatch. It should swallow its pride and approve mass imports of foreign mRNA vaccines immediately, thus allowing it to chart a way out of its draconian zero-Covid policy and relax lockdowns that are imposing an enormous economic and psychological toll.

 

The urgency of this task cannot be underestimated. China’s zero-Covid policy had largely kept the virus’s spread in check until the highly infectious Omicron variant emerged. Beijing now has a stark choice: start a mass vaccination programme using foreign mRNA vaccines or sustain the ruinous economic and social costs of continued lockdowns.


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Frontex Involved in Illegal Pushbacks of Hundreds of Refugees

 


Classified Database

Frontex Involved in Illegal Pushbacks of Hundreds of Refugees

 

An extended investigation over the course of several months reveals how deeply the EU's border agency, Frontex, is involved in the Greek refugee pushback campaign. The illegal acts are registered and concealed in a classified database.

 


By Giorgos Christides und Steffen Lüdke

28.04.2022, 20.55 Uhr

https://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/frontex-involved-in-illegal-pushbacks-of-hundreds-of-refugees-a-9fe90845-efb1-4d91-a231-48efcafa53a0

 

Amjad Naim had almost reached Samos when the men wearing the balaclavas arrived. It was May 13, 2020, and Naim was sitting in an unstable rubber dinghy. The Palestinian had been on his way to Greece together with nearly 30 other refugees. He could already see the coast, he would later recall by telephone. In just a few meters, his journey would be complete.

 

Naim heard the noise of a helicopter overhead. Then a large boat approached. Naim remembers the Greek flag on the ship and the dinghies. He says the hooded men then attacked.

 

Naim says the men shot into the water, struck the boat with a hook and destroyed the engine, stopping the vessel. Only then, he says, did they take the refugees on board. Naim was crying, he hid his mobile phone in his underpants.

 

The next images that exist of Naim document a crime. Naim filmed for 55 seconds. The images show him and the other refugees on two inflatable life rafts being abandoned at sea by the Greek Coast Guard. The square platform they are sitting on is a wobbly rubber life raft without a motor.

 

A Greek Panther Coast Guard ship, 18 meters long, pulls the life raft toward Turkey. Another ship accompanies the boat on its mission. The video also shows water seeping into Naim’s raft.

 

Then, as can be seen in the video, the Greek Coast Guard unties the rope, leaving the refugees to their fates in the middle of the Aegean. It would be several hours before the Turkish Coast Guard rescued the frightened and thirsty refugees.

 

What Amjad Naim filmed that morning is what human rights activist call a pushback: Asylum-seekers are abandoned at sea at the European Union’s external border, outside Greek territorial waters. That way, they can’t apply for asylum in the EU. Such operations are illegal and violate international, European and Greek law. The Greek Coast Guard has been systematically carrying out these pushbacks since March 2020, with the help of the EU’s Frontex border protection agency.

 

Over the past two years, DER SPIEGEL has gathered solid evidence of these legal violations. Naim’s case shows that German Federal Police officers in the Frontex mission are also involved in the pushbacks. Frontex officials find the boats and then leave it to the Greeks to conduct the pushback.

 

The Joint Operations Reporting Application (JORA) database hosted on Frontex's servers is used to record events at the EU's external borders. The contents of the database are classified, only European border guards have access to the data. An entry also exists for the incident involving Naim.

 

"Prevention of Departure"

The entry states that a German helicopter as well as a patrol boat from the Federal Police on Frontex duty spotted the refugee boat that day in Turkish waters. The German police then reported it to the joint control center in Piraeus, and the Greeks in turn informed the Turkish Coast Guard. And that was it. Allegedly.

 

The incident is registered as "prevention of departure" in the Frontex database. The term is actually only supposed to be used when the Turkish Coast Guard stops refugee boats in Turkish waters. But that isn’t what happened. Naim had clearly been in Greek waters, and he should have been permitted to apply for asylum in that country.

 

There is no mention in the database of the arrival and attack by the Greek border guards in the immediate vicinity of Samos, the unstable life rafts or the pushback, all of which are clearly captured on video. The description of the incident is clearly false.

 

DER SPIEGEL, together with Lighthouse Reports, the Swiss media outlets SRF and Republik and the French newspaper Le Monde spent months researching Frontex’s involvement in the Greek pushbacks. Following a request under the European Freedom of Information Act, the researchers succeeded in gaining access to the internal Frontex database and matching entries with photos and videos of pushback operations. The research reveals the full extent of Frontex support for Greek pushbacks in the Aegean Sea for the first time.

 

The research shows that Frontex was involved in the illegal pushbacks of at least 957 refugees between March 2020 and September 2021. In 22 of these cases, the availability of open source intelligence like photos of the refugees in Greek life rafts, make it possible to define them as pushbacks without any doubt. The true number of pushbacks conducted with Frontex assistance is likely even higher.

 

The reporting also shows that these pushbacks are neatly recorded in the database, but always with the false, inconspicuous term "prevention of departure." In other words, the JORA database is being fudged. The database of one of Europe’s biggest agencies, originally intended to provide an accurate picture of the situation at EU borders, has instead become a tool for covering up the Greek pushbacks as well as the complicity of an EU agency.

 

Those Who Make It To Land Have To Hide

The coast of Lesbos is located only a few kilometers away from Turkey. During the wave of refugees to Europe in 2015, helpers here greeted refugees with thermal blankets. They were heartbreaking scenes. Many of the people who helped still talk about it today, and they were proud to be a part of European hospitality towards those in need. Today, when refugees come to Lesbos, they have to hide on the coast. They all know what they might face if members of the Greek Coast Guard catch them.

 

On May 28, 2021, a large group of nearly 50 people made it to the island. Photos show how the frightened people hid in the bushes. "We are in the forest. We need your help," they wrote to the NGO Aegean Boat Report, which often keeps in touch with asylum-seekers who dare to make the Aegean crossing. Two of them were sick, the refugees wrote. The location they shared via WhatsApp showed them as being not far from Mytilene, the island's capital. "We're afraid," they wrote. But only a few hours later, some members of the group found themselves back on the water, abandoned on one of the Greek Coast Guard’s life rafts. In the photo, several people can be clearly discerned who had demonstrably been on land before. Only 17 people made it past the Greek police into the refugee camp, where they were allowed to apply for asylum.

 

The Frontex database also whitewashes this pushback. The database entry states that Frontex had been involved in the incident, with the corresponding checkmark set. It lists 32 refugees at 1 p.m., with the Turkish coastal town of Çeşme listed as the location. Once again, it is labelled as a case of "prevention of departure." Yet no one had prevented the refugees’ departure. They had all made it to Lesbos unscathed.

 

There don’t appear to be any pushbacks in the Frontex database, refugees turn back voluntarily with their boats or are at least intercepted without the intervention of the Greek Coast Guard. It’s like peering into an alternative reality.

 

The JORA database has more than 1 million rows and 137 columns. It was set up as a record of the work performed by Frontex. Each entry shows how important the border protection force is and how well the millions in taxpayer money are invested. The entries in the database are first made by Greek officials and then checked several times. After that, they are sent to Frontex headquarters in Warsaw, where officials validate the entries. If they are wrong or inconsistent, they have to be corrected – at least in theory. In practice, however, it appears that they are simply rubber stamped. That includes two instances where it was proven that refugees had already reached Greek islands.

 

The official version given in these cases is always the same. The wording is identical: They state that refugees had been discovered either by Frontex or Greek forces. And that headquarters in Piraeus had informed the sea rescue control center in Ankara. After that, a ship from the Turkish Coast Guard came and "took over responsibility of the incident." There don’t appear to be any pushbacks in the Frontex database, refugees turn back voluntarily with their boats or are at least intercepted without the intervention of the Greek Coast Guard. It’s a glimpse into an alternative reality.

 

Officials certainly have an appropriate category available to them in the JORA database: "illegal border crossing." According to the research, however, they only use this category in the few cases where asylum-seekers are registered in a Greek refugee camp and are allowed to apply for asylum. In pushback cases, they cover up the fact that these refugees had already crossed the border, so they won’t have to explain themselves later.

 

Insufficient Oversight

Even the people who are tasked with oversight at Frontex took notice that the information in the database was at times wrong. In two incidents, the Frontex Management Board found that they had been registered in JORA as "prevention of departure" incidents, even though the refugees had already made it to Greek waters. That was "inconsistent," the Frontex management board noted at the time in its report, which DER SPIEGEL has obtained. The agency’s fundamental rights officer also called the classification "questionable." But no one was apparently interested in taking a closer look.

 

When contacted by DER SPIEGEL for comment, Frontex said it is not in a position to comment on individual cases and specific operational details for its ongoing and past operations. The agency says that it has no power to investigate actions of the national authorities, and that it is under Greek command in the Aegean Sea. The German Federal Police say they are not aware of having been involved in any incident that may have been given the false "prevention of departure" classification. Meanwhile, the Greek Coast Guard stressed that pushbacks were not part of its operational plan. It added that all complaints would be investigated by the relevant Greek authorities.

 

Behind closed doors, however, some border guards admit that the database is systematically whitewashed. Two Frontex officials and a member of the Greek Coast Guard, both of whom asked not to be named, told DER SPEIGEL that illegal pushbacks are routinely registered as "prevention of departure" incidents. "Why don’t they call it pushbacks and get it over with?" the Coast Guard member asked.

 

Pressure Mounting on Frontex Chief

The person responsible for the fact that Greek pushbacks are being covered up at Frontex is Fabrice Leggeri. The 54-year-old Frenchman has been executive director of the EU agency since 2015 and has bestowed the agency with new powers during his tenure. Its budget has grown enormously under his leadership to its current level of 758 million euros. The question is how Frontex is supposed to wield its power: Is the agency supposed to assist illegal operations at Europe's external borders – or is it supposed to investigate and prevent such crimes, as is stipulated in the EU agency’s statutes?

 

Greece is one of Leggeri’s most important partners. Almost no other region plays host to as many Frontex officers, a testament to the fact that the country is one of the important migration routes to the EU. Leggeri gets on very well with the conservative Greek government, and at conferences, he can be seen joking with Notis Mitarachi, Greece’s migration minister. Mitarachi, a hardliner, symbolizes the Greek pushback campaign like nobody else. In late January, Mitarachi gave the Frontex chief an award for his efforts. Thanks to Leggeri’s support, he said, the number of refugee arrivals in Greece is lower than it has been in years.

 

Leggeri has been under pressure for months as a result of the reporting conducted by DER SPIEGEL and its partners. To this day, Leggeri has not acknowledged that pushbacks are taking place in the Aegean Sea. In response, the European Parliament set up a permanent review committee and froze 12 percent of Frontex’s budget. For the first time, a pushback victim has now moved forward to sue the agency. And on May 15, Swiss citizens will even vote in a referendum on whether they want to continue contributing to the agency’s increased budget. The pushbacks have become a major topic of discussion in that campaign. The agency’s reputation has taken a significant hit.

 

But Leggeri’s biggest problem is OLAF, the EU’s anti-fraud agency. Investigators with that agency intervene whenever EU rules have been broken by officials, and they began looking into Frontex following the revelations published by DER SPIEGEL. In a recent investigative report, they lodged serious allegations against three leading Frontex officials, likely including Leggeri. According to the report, the officials covered up pushbacks and violated EU regulations. The more than 200-page report is still classified, with only the agency’s management board and those accused of misdeeds allowed to see it. The investigative report apparently has made Frontex so uncomfortable that the agency has forbidden OLAF investigators from handing it over to the European Parliament.

 

Leggeri’s concerns are understandable. OLAF searched his office as well as that of his closest confidant, Thibauld de la Haye Jousselin. And the anti-fraud investigators continue to investigate. They have already announced two further reports. Even if Leggeri were to manage to remain in office for the time being, his days as the agency’s head are likely numbered.

 

The latest revelations could further exacerbate Leggeri’s already delicate situation. Some 222 of the entries in the JORA database up to September of last year are listed as "prevention of departure" incidents. Many of them are likely pushbacks.

 

Leggeri himself could easily have noticed that his own database was being fudged. In several pushback cases in which Leggeri had to testify in the European Parliament or in front of the Frontex Management Board, the description provided in the JORA database obviously had nothing to do with reality. But it appears that he wasn't bothered.

 

With additional reporting by Htet Aung, Bashar Deeb, Emmanuel Freudenthal, Gabriele Gatti and Francesca Pierigh

EU border chief offers to resign over pushback claims | DW News

Russia faces threat of sanctions on nuclear power industry as Germany backs uranium ban

 


Russia faces threat of sanctions on nuclear power industry as Germany backs uranium ban

 

Move would hit the supply of uranium to the EU’s Russian-built reactors, as well as new nuclear projects.

 


BY BARBARA MOENS, ZIA WEISE, AMERICA HERNANDEZ AND LEONIE KIJEWSKI

April 29, 2022 7:45 pm

https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-nuclear-power-uranium-plants-europe-imports-germany-sanctions-ukraine-war/

 

Germany has thrown its weight behind demands to sanction uranium imports from Russia and other parts of Vladimir Putin's civil nuclear industry in retaliation for his invasion of Ukraine, five EU diplomats told POLITICO.

 

Such a move could hit the supply of uranium that fuels the bloc’s Russian-built power reactors, as well as new nuclear projects managed by Russia's Rosatom Western Europe subsidiary, based in Paris.

 

Four of the diplomats said sanctioning Russia's nuclear industry was discussed in a meeting with EU ambassadors and the Commission earlier this week, with Poland and the Baltic countries leading the calls to act.

 

"Germany’s ambassador on Wednesday announced Berlin’s new position, saying they are not only OK with oil sanctions, but they actively support an oil phaseout, rather than just a price cap, and a ban on Russian uranium," one EU diplomat said.

 

The fact that Germany, the EU's economic powerhouse, is now on board makes the move significantly more likely. A wide range of MEPs have also asked for nuclear to be included in EU sanctions.

 

“It is important for the Germans, Austrians and others that the EU reduces its energy dependency on Russia across the board. This includes banning imports of Russian nuclear fuels as well. For them it is a bit of a no-brainer,” an EU diplomat said.

 

The European Commission is working on proposals for a sixth package of sanctions against Russia, including potentially measures targeting oil. Details are expected to be discussed with EU countries in the coming days as European governments seek to intensify pressure on Putin by cutting off the revenues from energy exports that finance his invasion of Ukraine.

 

It is not yet clear how soon sanctions on nuclear imports to the EU could be imposed.

 

But any move against Russia's nuclear industry would not be pain free for Europeans. The EU imports almost all of its uranium from outside the bloc. About 20 percent comes from Russia, making it the second-biggest supplier to the EU after Niger. 

 

Sanctioning Rosatom’s Paris-based subsidiary is expected to be an especially sensitive question for newly re-elected French President Emmanuel Macron. France has a large nuclear power sector and collaborates closely with Rosatom on several projects via the partially-state-owned EDF.

 

“Some countries ...  have worries over nuclear safety,” said one senior EU diplomat. “You would need certain safeguards. But there are certainly things that you can sanction that are not directly linked to nuclear cooperation.”

 

German-Franco splits

The discussion lays bare a political fault line between the governments in Berlin and Paris, the two big players within the bloc. Germany is a fierce opponent of nuclear energy, and is aiming to shut down its remaining nuclear power plants by the end of this year.

 

Berlin isn’t content with switching off its own reactors but has sought to dissuade other European countries from investing in nuclear. Most recently, Germany criticized Belgium’s decision to delay its phaseout plans by a decade.

 

France, on the other hand, gets more than 70 percent of its electricity from nuclear power plants and is planning to build even more reactors. Macron has said nuclear will play a key role in reducing the country’s emissions, as it’s a low-carbon source of power, and in reinforcing the EU's energy independence. He wants to build 14 new reactors by 2050, while continuing to develop renewables. The country is also the only EU member to maintain a nuclear weapons program.

 

Yet, France doesn’t rely on Russia for its uranium imports, as it mainly gets its fuel from Kazakhstan and Niger.

 

French energy giant EDF, which operates the country’s nuclear power plants, said it “is closely monitoring the situation in Ukraine and its consequences on the energy markets.” It added that “to ensure continuity and security of supply” the company has long-term contracts “that are diversified in terms of origins and suppliers.”

 

French nuclear fuel supplier Orano said that it “has suspended all new shipments of nuclear materials to and from Russia” since the end of February, and pointed out that it has “very limited activities” in Russia, which represents less than 0.1 percent of its orders.

 

While Germany has warned a gas embargo would mean economic ruin, France has shown itself open to sanctioning Russian fossil fuels. 

 

Running empty

However, the strongest resistance might not come from France, but from Eastern Europe.

 

For Russian-made nuclear reactors in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Finland, Bulgaria, Romania and Slovakia, there is no authorized nuclear fuel alternative to Russian supply. While Slovakia, for example, has said it has enough nuclear fuel to last through the end of 2023, a ban on Russian imports could be a problem down the road.

 

“This is very concerning as we are 100 percent dependent on Russian nuclear fuel deliveries from the company TVEL,” said Karol Galek, Slovakia’s state secretary for energy in the Ministry of Finance.

 

There have been talks between those five EU countries and American supplier Westinghouse about manufacturing a replacement fuel for those Russian reactors, Galek added. “It seems that it could work, should work — but in two years, because there is no immediate option. So this is the problem," he said.

 

Short-term alternatives would come with a high price attached, said Mark Hibbs, a Germany-based senior fellow at Carnegie’s nuclear policy program. Rumors of nuclear sanctions — the U.S., for example, has also been mulling measures against Rosatom — have already driven up uranium prices.

 

"We've been seeing spot uranium selling at nearly $60 per pound, so if Europeans want to replace the 20 percent of their Russian supply with others — Kazakhstan, Canada, Australia, for example — they can do it, but it would cost them a premium," Hibbs said. "Spot uranium they bought for future nuclear fuel back in 2017 would have cost about $20 per pound and in 2020 it would have cost about $30 per pound."

 

Moscow doesn’t make much money from exporting nuclear fuel. But targeting the larger infrastructure business which includes building reactors in the EU would deliver a major financial hit to the Kremlin war machine.

 

“We hope that Rosatom will be under sanctions and we hope that Rosatom business here in Europe should be stopped with sanctions, because they have more than 25 different projects in Europe," said Ukraine’s Deputy Energy Minister Yaroslav Demchenkov.

 

France could be "more active" on this agenda, Demchenkov added. "It’s a huge amount of money.”

 

Jacopo Barigazzi, Jakob Hanke Vela and Louise Guillot contributed reporting.