segunda-feira, 19 de outubro de 2026

Israelis Must Choose a Secular Nation or Theocracy

 

Opinion

Guest Essay

Israelis Must Choose a Secular Nation or Theocracy

Oct. 15, 2026

Photograph of men in black hats and coats milling around.

Credit...Ilia Yefimovich/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images



By Garry Kasparov

Mr. Kasparov is the chairman of the Renew Democracy Initiative.

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/15/opinion/israel-elections-ultra-orthodox-jewish.html

 

Democracies are built on compromise. But sometimes a compromise can turn dangerous.

I see this dynamic at play in two democracies with which I closely identify: the United States and Israel. When I was a boy growing up behind the Iron Curtain, America was an icon of liberty to me. As a young Soviet with a Jewish father, I grew up to become a staunch supporter of Israel, an outpost of liberalism surrounded by illiberal, Moscow-backed Arab states.

While I rejected the anti-Americanism and anti-Zionism of the Communist regime under which I was raised, I also sought a textured understanding of the United States and Israel. I learned early on that the United States had reached a breaking point just 84 years after independence. America’s founders included men who owned slaves and men who did not. They could not both midwife the union and challenge the “peculiar institution.” This guaranteed the birth of the United States but cursed the young nation with an affliction that nearly caused a permanent rupture.

With elections just weeks away, Israelis find themselves at a similar juncture. Nearly eight decades ago, at the time of Israel’s establishment, the nation’s early leaders made a pact with the ultra-Orthodox, granting them special privileges. The pact haunted their descendants and today is sustained by a nationalist far right and an unscrupulous prime minister willing to bend the law to stay in power.

There is, of course, no moral equivalence between the Haredim, as the ultra-Orthodox are called in Israel, and slave owners. In the case of the United States, the compromise of allowing the evil of slavery was incompatible with a free society, whereas a religious lifestyle can coexist with democracy. In Israel today, however, ultra-Orthodox political power is corroding the social compact that holds the country together.

When Israeli voters head to the polls this month, one of the many choices they will face is whether the Jewish state leans in the direction of a secular Hebrew republic or a rigid rabbinical theocracy.

The ultra-Orthodox Haredim account for about 14 percent of Israel’s population. They nonetheless influence many aspects of daily life and benefit from generous public funding, exemptions from military service and disproportionate clout in the Knesset, the Parliament.

The roots of this influence can be traced back to Israel’s earliest days. In the shadow of the Holocaust, David Ben-Gurion, the Jewish state’s first prime minister, made a deal with the ultra-Orthodox. The Haredim, whose communities had been devastated in the Nazi genocide, would not have to send a group of their sons to fight in the Israel Defense Forces. Further, the state would observe certain Jewish religious laws. In exchange, the non-Zionist ultra-Orthodox would buy into his state-building project. Many Haredim did not support the establishment of a secular Jewish state. They objected to the secular nationalism of Israel’s founders and believed the Messiah should return to Earth before Jews returned en masse to Palestine.

Israelis of Ben-Gurion’s generation might not have understood the kind of foundation they were laying. They might have presumed they were simply handing out draft exemptions to a few hundred young men. Many of the American founders similarly expected slavery to peter out over time.

Instead, slavery expanded significantly after 1776, just as religious influence in Israel exploded in the decades after 1948. The draft exemption became especially infuriating to secular Israeli Jews after Oct. 7 and the war in Gaza. And that’s not the only way ultra-Orthodox influence has grown toxic.

 

Life-cycle events for all Israelis, from marriages and divorces to funerals, are tightly controlled by the ultra-Orthodox rabbinate. For same-sex and interfaith ceremonies or for Israelis whose Jewishness is simply not recognized by the rabbinate, weddings are often conducted in Europe. Israel’s temporal authorities recognize these marriages, but the fact that they must happen abroad is a severe imposition by the Jewish state’s religious leadership.

Access to many public services is restricted on Shabbat, the Jewish sabbath, even though millions of Israelis are not observant.

The ultra-Orthodox parties in the Knesset are so single-minded that it seems they will support anyone, no matter how clouded by accusations of misdeeds, who preserves their special privileges. This is how the Haredim have become indispensable accomplices to and supporters of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s far-right coalition.

In short: Without the ultra-Orthodox, Mr. Netanyahu would not have backing for many of his authoritarian endeavors, such as his effort to suppress judicial independence or fire the country’s independent attorney general. Without Mr. Netanyahu, the ultra-Orthodox would lose their protected status. The Haredim have few friends outside his coalition, and even among the right they are losing support. Prominent members of the prime minister’s party, like Yuli Edelstein, have left because they do not support aspects of the ultra-Orthodox monopoly. The center-right opposition is campaigning on lifting the military exemption of the Haredim once and for all.

Other democracies have found themselves afflicted by the compromises made by their early leaders. Canada’s British founders brought the Quebecois into the fold by making significant concessions on linguistic and religious freedom, only for the federal government to face recurring secession crises among independence-minded French speakers. In Bosnia, with its decentralized system of ethnic enclaves, a system created to end one war might lead to another.

When I was growing up in the Soviet Union, Communist thugs enforced atheism and suppressed Jewish culture. This is not what I want for Israel. I simply believe in equality before the law and an Israel that embodies its founders’ aspirations of being a “light unto the nations,” rather than an international pariah held back by far-right and religious special interests.

Just as Abraham Lincoln observed that the government could not persist “half slave and half free,” Israel cannot go on half theocratic and half secular. Americans resolved that contradiction over four years of brutal civil war. Israel’s election on Oct. 27 offers a bloodless way out of this morass.

 

Garry Kasparov is a former world chess champion and Russian political dissident. He is the chairman of the Renew Democracy Initiative and the publisher of The Next Move on Substack.

 

Trump Endorses Netanyahu as Best U.S. Partner in Tight Israeli Election

 


Trump Endorses Netanyahu as Best U.S. Partner in Tight Israeli Election

 

The president praised the embattled prime minister for his endurance, saying any other candidate would be the “wrong Leader.”

 

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu standing behind a lectern looking at President Trump, who is speaking from behind a second lectern. They are standing in front of Israeli and American flags.

“Bibi Netanyahu has been Strong, Brave, and Brilliant in the face of tremendous opposition,” President Trump wrote of the Israeli prime minister on Sunday.Credit...Tierney L. Cross/The New York Times

Tyler PagerAaron Boxerman

By Tyler Pager and Aaron Boxerman

Oct. 18, 2026

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/18/us/politics/trump-endorses-netanyahu-election-israel.html

 

President Trump endorsed Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel on Sunday, giving the embattled Israeli leader a boost nine days before a hard-fought parliamentary election.

In a lengthy post on Truth Social, Mr. Trump wrote a message to the “Great People of Israel” contending that anyone other than Mr. Netanyahu would be the “wrong Leader.”

“Bibi Netanyahu has been Strong, Brave, and Brilliant in the face of tremendous opposition, including that coming from even Israel, itself,” he wrote. “Despite all of that, he has endured and, in fact, he has thrived!”

Relations between Mr. Trump and Mr. Netanyahu have become increasingly tense, particularly over the nations’ joint war against Iran. But in his endorsement Mr. Trump called Mr. Netanyahu a “Partner for Peace in combatting the Islamic Republic of Iran.”

Mr. Netanyahu, Israel’s longest-serving prime minister, thanked the president for his “amazing support and work together.”

“Together, we’ll finish the job,” Mr. Netanyahu wrote on social media.

The endorsement is in keeping with Mr. Trump’s penchant for wading into foreign elections to bolster his allies, but it is a sharp break from longstanding American foreign policy norms. American presidents have generally stayed away from explicitly endorsing foreign leaders in elections.

Israelis are set to head to the polls on Oct. 27 in an election that is widely seen as a referendum on Mr. Netanyahu’s leadership. Many in Israel fault Mr. Netanyahu for failing to prevent Hamas-led attacks on Oct. 7, 2023, and steering Israel to near-unprecedented diplomatic isolation during the subsequent war in Gaza. Nonetheless, Mr. Netanyahu and his allies are neck and neck with their opponents in polling.

While the tenor of the relationship between Mr. Netanyahu and Mr. Trump has varied wildly over the years, Mr. Netanyahu often highlighted his influence over the U.S. president in his pitch to voters. Ahead of a 2019 election, Mr. Netanyahu featured pictures of himself shaking hands with Mr. Trump in massive billboards across the country.

The two leaders worked closely ahead of the decision to launch a joint U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran, including a February visit by Mr. Netanyahu to the White House. During that visit, Mr. Netanyahu made a presentation to Mr. Trump and his top officials in the Situation Room, arguing that a joint U.S.-Israeli military campaign could lead to regime change in Iran.

 

Some of the president’s top advisers told Mr. Trump that Mr. Netanyahu’s analysis was preposterous, but the president still went through with the campaign.

The relationship between the two leaders soured considerably as the war with Iran stretched into a grueling slog that ensnarled the global economy. Mr. Trump appeared to have increasingly little patience for the conflict, moving to secure cease-fires with Iran and Hezbollah in Lebanon over Israeli objections. The president later admitted that he had privately called Mr. Netanyahu “crazy” over Israeli actions in Lebanon.

In his endorsement, though, Mr. Trump had only praise for the Israeli leader.

“I have watched Bibi under the most trying of times,” Mr. Trump wrote. “Normal men or women in such situations would have wilted under the pressure — But Bibi did not wilt, he actually got stronger, and maintains that same Strength today.”

Mr. Trump’s endorsement will likely carry some credence for Israelis, though perhaps not as much as it once did. Many Israelis hail Mr. Trump for securing the release of the remaining Israeli hostages in Gaza last year when his team helped broker a fragile cease-fire with Hamas. But others now view him as an unpredictable leader who dropped the ball in the middle of the war with Iran, which Israel had hoped to continue prosecuting.

The Israel-Hamas conflict has upended American politics since the Oct. 7 attacks, with a growing share of voters disapproving of the Israeli government’s management of the war. Last year, a poll from The New York Times and Siena University found slightly more voters siding with Palestinians over Israelis for the first time since The Times began asking voters about their sympathies in 1998.

Tyler Pager is a White House correspondent for The Times, covering President Trump and his administration.

Aaron Boxerman is a Times reporter covering Israel and Gaza. He is based in Jerusalem.

 

Zionism: From an idea to genocide

Israeli settlers attack Palestinians in West Bank during olive harvest | BBC News

European diplomats and American photojournalist attacked by Israeli settlers in West Bank

 

‘There’s a lot of racism, a lot of hatred’: Far right gains predicted as Israel heads to the polls

 


‘There’s a lot of racism, a lot of hatred’: Far right gains predicted as Israel heads to the polls

 

Whether or not Netanyahu can hold on to power, Israelis are expected to vote in a more rightwing Knesset

 

By Emma Graham-Harrison

Sun 18 Oct 2026 07.00 CEST

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/oct/18/theres-a-lot-of-racism-a-lot-of-hatred-far-right-gains-predicted-as-israel-heads-to-the-polls

 

Four decades ago, when the extremist rabbi Meir Kahane won a single seat in Israel’s Knesset, other legislators passed a law to prevent him running again, left the chamber when he rose to speak and worked together to block discussion of his ethnonationalist proposals.

These ranged from mass expulsions of Palestinians to apartheid provisions such as segregated beaches and the criminalisation of sex between Jews and gentiles.

This month, Kahane’s political heirs may claim more Knesset seats in national elections than the remains of the once mighty Labor party, home of Yitzhak Rabin, Shimon Peres and Golda Meir.

Rightwing leader and rabbi Meir Kahane carried by supporters through the streets of Jerusalem after he won a seat in the Israeli parliament in July 1984.View image in fullscreen

Rightwing leader and rabbi Meir Kahane carried by supporters through the streets of Jerusalem after he won a seat in the Israeli parliament in July 1984. Photograph: AP

At an election rally this week, Israel’s national security minister, Itamar Ben-Gvir, mixed calls for ethnic cleansing and jokes about starving Palestinian prisoners with a proud anecdote about his conviction in 1998 over bumper stickers that read “Rabbi Kahane was right”.

A poll for the Israel Hayom newspaper, published on Friday, forecast his Jewish Strength party would win nine seats in the 27 October election. The Democrats, successor to the Labor party led by former general Yair Golan, were predicted to claim eight seats.

Ben-Gvir’s rise is one of the more extreme manifestations of a broad shift to the right among Jewish citizens of Israel. It is particularly pronounced among the young and will shape the country’s next government, regardless of who becomes prime minister after closely fought elections.

More than 500,000 Israelis have reached voting age since the last election in 2022, and three-quarters of first-time Jewish voters define themselves as right or centre-right, a recent poll for Channel 12 television found (it did not survey Palestinian citizens of Israel).

Young male supporters of Itamar Ben-Gvir waving blue flags. One young man sitting on the shoulders of anotherView image in fullscreen

Young supporters of Itamar Ben-Gvir shout slogans as he tours a market during a meet and greet in Ramla on 14 October. Photograph: Ilia Yefimovich/AFP/Getty Images

The generation voting for the first time came of age after the Oslo process collapsed, when the prospect of negotiating a political resolution to the Israel-Palestine conflict seemed to be fading.

They were teenagers during the Hamas attacks on 7 October 2023, which resulted in the deaths of about 1,200 people, the majority of them civilians. Militants took 251 living hostages and dead bodies to Gaza, leading to a two-year hostage crisis.

“There’s a lot of people, especially young people, who think that there is no solving the conflict, that we’ll always be at war. There’s a lot of racism, a lot of hatred, but most of all, there’s fear,” said Erez Uzan, vice-chair of the Young Democrats.

Bucking global trends, young Israelis are more rightwing than older generations and are likely to vote in a new Knesset with more rightwing members than the current chamber, said Dahlia Scheindlin, a political analyst and public opinion researcher.

Consistently rightwing ultra-Orthodox and nationalist religious communities make up a growing proportion of Israel’s Jewish population but still account for only around a quarter of the electorate, so demographics alone do not explain the growing age gap on political issues.

A mural titled RUN by artist Alexsandro Palombo, depicting Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu and politician Gadi Eisenkot wearing bulletproof vests and carrying batons as they chase Bart Simpson, portrayed as a young Hamas fighter, in Tel AvivView image in fullscreen

A mural titled RUN by artist Alexsandro Palombo, depicting Israel’s prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, and politician Gadi Eisenkot wearing bulletproof vests and carrying batons as they chase Bart Simpson, portrayed as a young Hamas fighter, in Tel Aviv. Photograph: Jack Guez/AFP/Getty Images

“All Israelis, and particularly younger people, have been living in a political environment where not only is the government rightwing but the general terms of debate are really populist and ultra-nationalist. That’s all they know. They’re socialised into it,” Scheindlin said.

“There’s been a real downplaying of anything to do with democracy, universal values or human rights. Those are seen as weak, if they’re discussed at all, possibly as bad as betrayal. And very few politicians talk about peace, concessions, negotiations, Palestinian self-determination, or even Palestinian wellbeing.”

A consistent majority of Israeli polls show prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s current coalition bloc with the ultra-Orthodox and the far right will fall well below the threshold of 61 seats needed to form a government.

People protest outside the Israeli high court in support of granting Arab parties the right to run in the upcoming general elections, holding signs saying ‘I will not be silent’View image in fullscreen

People protest outside the Israeli high court in support of granting Arab parties the right to run in the upcoming general elections. Photograph: Debbie Hill/UPI/Shutterstock

The opposition has a clear path to power through an alliance with parties representing Palestinian citizens of Israel, known as Arab parties inside the country. But the political shift right means most of the Jewish-led parties have ruled out such a coalition, although similar promises have been broken after past elections.

Particularly when it comes to Palestine, most offer little challenge to Netanyahu’s claim that security can only be pursued through military domination and annexation of territory from Gaza to Syria and Lebanon.

The peace deals that secured Israel’s borders with Jordan and Egypt, once seen as no less an existential threat than Iran is today, do not feature in political debate as an alternative path.

Their campaigns focus on other issues, from promises to tackle corruption and bring accountability for the 7 October attacks to improving schools and stopping ultra-Orthodox draft dodging.

An older man stands by a blue podium on a big field with three Israeli flags behind himView image in fullscreen

Gadi Eisenkot, former Israeli army chief of staff and head of the Yashar party, delivers a statement during a press conference at the Black Arrow memorial site near the Mefalsim kibbutz, adjacent to the Gaza Strip, on 15 October. Photograph: Ilia Yefimovich/AFP/Getty Images

People cross a bridge beneath an election campaign billboard featuring Gadi Eisenkot.

 

The man leading the field to replace Netanyahu, Gadi Eisenkot, is a former head of the Israeli military who formulated the notorious Dahiya doctrine of using “disproportionate force” to cause damage and destruction.

Naftali Bennett is a former prime minister and former chair of the settler council, who supports annexing much of the West Bank. Avigdor Lieberman wants to dismantle the Palestinian Authority and replace it with an Israeli-Jordanian confederation (though apparently he did not consult the Jordanians about this plan).

A bald man in a black T-shirt sits by a table with a vase with white flowers holding a microphone and his right hand raised in the airView image in fullscreen

Former Israeli prime minister Naftali Bennett, leader of the Together (Beyachad) alliance, attends a ‘Democratic festival’ event in Ramat Hasharon on 13 October. Photograph: Amir Cohen/Reuters

No Jewish-led party backed a future Palestinian state and only the Democrats opposed settlement expansion, the Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper reported, after seeking all parties’ positions on the future of the occupied West Bank.

Eisenkot’s Yashar party pledged to strengthen and expand settlements, which are legal under Israeli law. All settlements are illegal under international law.

The Democrats, the only remaining political home for Israel’s Zionist left, are led by Golan, a former general and deputy head of Israel’s military who personally rushed to border communities under the Hamas attack on the morning of 7 October to rescue civilians.

Young Israelis sitting on grass at night with an Israeli flag waving above themView image in fullscreen

Young Israelis gather to listen to the Democrats party leader and former Knesset member, Yair Golan, at a campaign event in Tel Aviv. Photograph: Ilia Yefimovich/AFP/Getty Images

Although Golan supports a negotiated end to the conflict, he has avoided referencing a two-state solution in this campaign. He has put together a policy platform that would be solidly centrist in much of Europe. Yet even so, Israel’s political shift to the right is so pronounced that the party’s campaigners have been repeatedly attacked – physically and verbally – as a radical fringe.

Last week, rightwing thugs assaulted Democrats volunteers manning a stand at Jerusalem’s historic Mahane Yehuda market, kicking, hitting and spitting at the group and stealing a phone while police stood by and watched.

A group of young people wearing light blue T-shirts holding a sign with Hebrew writing on it, with one young woman waving her arm and yelling on a bustling streetView image in fullscreen

Democrats protest against a visit by the Israeli finance minister and leader of the Religious Zionist party Bezalel Smotrich to the Mahane Yehuda market on 9 October. Photograph: Abir Sultan/EPA

The scale of abuse prompted the party to train campaigners in non-violent direct action, “so they know how to handle themselves in a situation where they can keep safe and de-escalate,” said Uzan of the Young Democrats.

The far right is on the rise globally, but Israeli politics that “revolve round constant conflict” heighten the appeal of ethnonationalist messages, Uzan said.

“We grow up in fear, seeing war all around us – and that leads to a certain perspective. In the last 20 years, our leadership in the centre-left camp has avoided talking about security issues,” Uzan said, adding they had ceded that ground to the right.

Now he and fellow campaigners are trying to tackle that failure at a grassroots level, including speaking to young people about the peace agreements with Egypt and Jordan that were unpopular when signed but have brought lasting stability.

The process is slow but effective, he says, pointing to an active young membership several thousand strong, well above parties who attract more young voters.

A man with a flag wrapped around his shoulders featuring an image of Israel’s prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, walks through Mahane Yehuda market in Jerusalem. On his left is a man carrying a semi-automatic weapon, on his right is a womanView image in fullscreen

A man with a flag wrapped around his shoulders featuring an image of Israel’s prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, walks through Mahane Yehuda market in Jerusalem on 16 October. Photograph: John Wessels/AFP/Getty Images

Comedian turned activist Lior Schleien has been trying to have similar conversations with groups of young Israelis about the deadly futility of pursuing “total victory” in endless wars. He posts footage of some of the most shocking exchanges, featuring smiling teens advocating on camera for the mass killing or expulsion of Palestinians.

“Lots of Arabs live here. They were born here, they are citizens like you and me. What will you do with them?” Schleien asks one group.

“Kill them … give me a knife and I’ll murder them,” says one young man.

Ben-Gvir is particularly adept on social media, where posts like a recent AI video laying out plans for ethnic cleansing have helped build more engagement with young voters than any Israeli politician except Netanyahu.

But he is not an outlier for extremism among allies of the prime minister. Finance minister Bezalel Smotrich is a messianic settler who recently called to “wipe out Gaza”, and has vowed to “bury” a future Palestinian state.

People walk past a bus with an election campaign banner for Moshe Feiglin of the Zehut party in Jerusalem.View image in fullscreen

People walk past a bus with an election campaign banner for Moshe Feiglin of the Zehut party in Jerusalem. Photograph: John Wessels/AFP/Getty Images

For this election, Smotrich has joined forces with Moshe Feiglin, a fundamentalist who has long called for the mass expulsion of Palestinians and the construction of a biblical Jewish temple where the al-Aqsa mosque compound now stands.

The rise of the far right and religious fundamentalism, combined with Netanyahu’s assault on institutions protecting Israel’s partial democracy (Palestinians living under Israeli military rule in the occupied West Bank do not have the rights of citizens), mean many Israelis on the centre and left see this vote as existential.

David Harel, the president of the Israel Academy of Sciences and Humanities, says the country’s current path leads towards a bleak future as a corrupt, impoverished pariah state, dominated by messianic fundamentalists maintaining a “violent, cruel occupation”.

“We are already in ‘stoppage time’. If we lose this time, there will be no second chance. The country we love so dearly will breathe its last. Plain and simple!” he told a rally in the northern city of Haifa.

“That is why I have come here today, to ask and to implore. And if necessary, I will get down on my knees and beg. Please, please, please! Just go out and vote!”

 

The Israeli settlers behind West Bank conflict with Palestinians | 60 Minutes