Airlines brace for climate strings attached to
COVID-19 bailouts
With the industry desperate for bailouts,
Brussels and EU capitals are sticking to their green guns.
By LEIGH
PHILLIPS 4/17/20, 6:00 AM CET Updated 4/18/20, 7:14 AM CET
Airlines
bludgeoned by the coronavirus crisis are seeking urgent assistance to stave off
bankruptcy, but that doesn't mean they're going to get an easy ride on efforts
to slash emissions.
With the
sector at its most desperate for taxpayer cash, now could even be a pretty good
time to twist arms.
Rather than
offering some carbon leeway to aviation companies at perhaps their lowest point
in the history of commercial flying (and there’s only a fewer percent lower you
can go than, as in Italy, an 80 percent drop in ticket sales), Brussels is
eyeing a global-warming quid pro quo as the sector seeks unprecedented
financial support.
“In line
with the increased ambition proposed under the European Green Deal, all
sectors, including aviation, are expected to contribute to the EU’s 2030
economy-wide target,” a European Commission official told POLITICO.
Officials
stress that a key plank of Commission President Ursula von der Leyen’s
priorities for her term was to make airlines pay their fair share for the
industry’s substantial and growing contribution to greenhouse gas emissions —
and this remains the case even in the face of the COVID-19 crisis.
“Environmental
taxes are just going to make this bad situation even worse” — Jennifer Janzen,
spokeswoman for the industry trade group Airlines4Europe
Exiting the
crisis "means doubling down on our growth strategy by investing in the
European Green Deal. As the global recovery picks up, global warming will not
slow down,” von der Leyen told the European Parliament on Thursday.
That
includes staying the course with plans for a possible elimination of free
allowances within the bloc’s Emissions Trading System, and discussions on a
possible EU-wide tax on jet fuel.
Airlines
aren’t pleased.
“We
definitely don’t need new taxes right now,” Jennifer Janzen, a spokeswoman for
the industry trade group Airlines4Europe, told an industry conference in
Brussels in March. “Environmental taxes are just going to make this bad
situation even worse.”
But they're
not in much of a position to argue.
A report
from the Center for Aviation, a Sydney-based industry consultancy, has
projected that, without assistance and with cash reserves dwindling, most of
the world’s airlines would be bankrupt by May.
To prevent
this, Sweden and Denmark have offered credit guarantees to pan-Scandinavian
flier SAS. Finnair has won support from Helsinki, and Air France-KLM has
approached Paris and The Hague with requests. Alitalia, Germany's Condor and
Brussels Airlines are all tipped for nationalization.
Brussels
has conceded a relaxation of EU state aid rules because of the extreme
circumstances, with France the first to win approval.
But in
response to these developments, former EU Climate Commissioner Miguel Arias
Cañete said in an interview with the Guardian that any state aid directed
toward aviation "must be conditional, otherwise when we recover we will
see the same or higher levels of carbon dioxide.”
Cost
calculation
In more bad
news for airlines, the Commission is also plowing on with fresh efforts to
speed up the difficult and expensive switch to electrification and clean
alternative fuels such as synthetic hydrocarbons.
The
widescale reduction in flying advocated by climate campaigners, including
teenaged Swedish activist Greta Thunberg, could lower emissions. But
carbon-neutral electro-fuels could eliminate them altogether, so the Commission
is pressing ahead with its pitch to accelerate adoption of these and other
options. It will launch a public consultation on policy to push clean aviation
fuels in June, a Commission official said.
Key will be
ensuring carbon neutrality once the full life-cycle of production and
distribution is accounted for. Brussels is keen not to be embarrassed once
again by the poor emissions intensity of once-promising alternative fuels as it
was a decade ago, when researchers belatedly realized many first-generation
biofuels were overall worse for the environment than some fossil fuels — but
only after EU incentives for them were introduced.
However,
with aviation accounting for 3 percent of global emissions, the climate payoff
could be substantial. In 2019, Irish low-cost carrier Ryanair became the
seventh-largest carbon emitter in the EU (all the others in the top 10 are coal
plants), according to Commission data, even though the short-haul flights that
the firm specializes in are more amenable to electrification or electric-hybrid
engines, which simply do not work for long-haul because the batteries would be
too massive.
Clean
aviation campaigners argue many European governments have been in favor of the
technology-switching required to fully decarbonize aviation, and have
identified some of the innovations that can make it work. It is airlines which
have most strongly resisted the move due to the costs involved.
Now,
lawmakers see an opportunity to shift the calculations.
If airlines
ask for bailouts they should commit to an "ecological transformation
contract," Pascal Canfin, the French MEP in charge of the European
Parliament's environment committee, tweeted on Thursday, adding: "Public
money should not only be used to rescue but also to transform."
The
industry receives free ETS allowances covering just under half its emissions.
In November, finance ministers from nine countries led by the Netherlands
called for this to end, a demand reiterated in early March by environment
ministers, led by Poland and joined by a further nine member countries — just
before the coronavirus had firmly established itself in Europe.
Despite the
radical change in the financial situation of airlines, none among the “clean
aviation coalition” of EU countries has backed away from their position.
And while
von der Leyen has up to now only mentioned a reduction to this ETS giveaway, an
official said: “The Commission is considering all options regarding the
increase of auctioning,” potentially including complete abolition of this free
ride.
The
Commission underlines any change to the allocation of emissions allowances is
not going to happen this year. At the end of February, airlines continued to
receive their free allocations for 2020, with compliance to be assessed next
year.
Trade off
A similar
coalition of countries backs a Europe-wide lifting of jet fuel’s global
exemption from taxation — a dispensation that dates back to the 1940s and was
intended to encourage the takeoff of a nascent industry.
France
introduced an eco-tax on flights this year with revenues to be spent boosting
local train services, despite Air France-KLM asking for a delay — although it has
since paused in implementing the levy. The Dutch government voted at the end of
March to move ahead with a flight tax, although Junior Finance Minister Hans
Vijlbrief did note in a letter to MPs that "the corona crisis also has
serious consequences for the aviation sector" and that the date of the tax
could be delayed.
France and
the Netherlands also want an EU-wide approach. While changing the bloc's tax
rules requires unanimous agreement among EU ministers, the Commission suggests
that requirement could be avoided if the subject is considered as an
environmental topic instead of a tax one. It launched its consultation on
energy taxation last month, testing the waters of a pan-European jet fuel tax.
Even some
aviation sector executives recognize a climate trade-off may be inevitable in
return for billions in bridge loans, bailouts and nationalizations.
The CEO of
Brussels Airport, Arnaud Feist, said at the end of March: “I don't think it's
abnormal if conditions are attached to government support. And the
climate is a major challenge for aviation.”
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