Germany’s nuclear opposition wavers as energy
crunch fears rise
Green politicians are softening their stance but the
party remains divided.
BY ZIA
WEISE
July 27,
2022 7:57 pm
https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-nuclear-opposition-energy-crunch-fear/
The
country’s three remaining nuclear power plants are scheduled to shut down at
the end of this year — the grand finale of a decade-long plan to end the use of
atomic power enacted under former Chancellor Angela Merkel in the wake of the
Fukushima disaster.
But driven
by fears of Russia's energy blackmail, Berlin is assessing the risks of a
winter power crunch and opposition to delaying the phaseout is softening —
including among the Greens.
In recent
days, senior Green politicians have signaled they are prepared to keep nuclear
power plants running for a few months longer, stretching the remaining fuel
supply into spring to keep the lights on.
“If we have
a real emergency situation, that hospitals can’t work anymore … we have to talk
about [stretching] the fuel,” said Katrin Göring-Eckardt, a Green vice
president of the Bundestag, on a talk show this week.
The issue
is splitting the party.
Several
Green heavyweights and regional branches have voiced opposition to any
extension, while others, notably in southern Germany, say security of supply is
now the paramount issue.
A similar
debate is raging in the Social Democratic Party — part of the ruling coalition
alongside the Greens and the liberal Free Democrats — whose members also aren’t
keen on nuclear power.
But
delaying the phaseout would be a particularly bitter pill to swallow for the
Greens — a party that emerged from Germany’s anti-nuclear movement — and would
face fierce opposition from many of its members.
The Bavarian problem
A key
argument for Greens and others opposing a delay has been that Germany faces a
gas crisis, not a power crisis. But there’s growing concern that this could
change.
As nuclear
plants can’t replace gas needed for household boilers or industrial processes,
Berlin’s focus has been on substituting gas volumes after Russia started
throttling supply.
Gas also
contributes around 15 percent to Germany’s power mix, and the government has
decided to reactivate coal plants to deal with a potential electricity
shortage. But that might not be enough.
The
government has decided to reactivate coal plants to deal with a potential
electricity shortage | Ina Fassbender/AFP via Getty Images
Coal supply
issues, a rush on electric heaters and the precarious situation of southern
states have raised fears that a gas shortfall could also push Germany into a
power crunch.
The economy
ministry was concerned enough that it launched a “stress test” of the grid
earlier this month. The results, expected within weeks, will determine whether
Berlin needs to rethink its approach to nuclear.
The
analysis is expected to point to particular risk in Bavaria, where the
conservative government has long battled against both wind turbines and
high-voltage lines that could bring green power from windswept northern states.
The state also has little coal power.
While nuclear
power contributes less than 6 percent to Germany’s power mix, for Bavaria, it’s
double that: The Isar II plant near Munich generates about 12 percent of the
state’s electricity. The region’s gas storage is also filled at below average.
That was
enough to shift the stance of the Munich city government, where the Greens are
the largest party.
“If the
stress test … shows that Munich is threatened by a power supply bottleneck, a
stretch-out operation of Isar II must not be taboo,” Green Deputy Mayor Katrin
Habenschaden said. “As mayor, the security of supply for the people of Munich
is my top priority.”
Party split
Many senior
Greens are sending out mixed messages.
Foreign
Minister Annalena Baerbock has both said that all options need to be considered
in an emergency and that nuclear power wasn’t the answer to the current crisis.
Climate and Economy Minister Robert Habeck has declined to rule out an
extension while arguing that nuclear power wouldn’t save very much gas.
But there’s
also pushback. Britta Haßelmann, parliamentary leader of the Greens, said the
phaseout cannot be “called into question.” Environment Minister Steffi Lemke,
responsible for nuclear safety, has also voiced opposition.
Although
it’s mostly the older generation of Greens for whom marching with now-iconic
buttons labeled Atomkraft? Nein danke (“Nuclear power? No thanks!”) formed
their political awakening, even the Greens’ youth leadership has called the
debate “dangerous.”
Some of the
fiercest resistance is expected from Greens in Lower Saxony, which over decades
saw some of the most intense protests against nuclear power. The state is
heading for elections in the fall.
“Nuclear
power is not the easy solution, it is a highly dangerous fake solution, even in
the short term,” Julia Willie Hamburg, the Greens’ candidate for the Lower
Saxony premiership, told local media.
Their base
is similarly split: A recent survey found 61 percent of Germans in favor of
keeping nuclear plants online, but 57 percent of Green supporters against.
Months, not
years
The Greens
have faced a similar dilemma before. The party was rooted in pacifism as much
as in the anti-nuclear movement — and then it found itself in government during
the Kosovo war in 1999.
An
extraordinary party conference, in which Foreign Minister Joschka Fischer was
pelted with red paint, ended with a vote in support of German participation in
NATO’s Kosovo intervention. There was a small exodus of pacifist members, but
the party survived. These days, the Greens are often at the forefront of
demanding weapons for Ukraine.
The Lower
Saxony Greens are expected to demand an ad-hoc party conference should the
national leadership back a nuclear extension.
The Greens
in Berlin, meanwhile, have tried to avoid a public falling out by suggesting a
party line to take on the issue.
An internal
email from the party headquarters to various branches, obtained by Die Welt,
asked for questions on the nuclear issue to be answered “calmly.”
The email
suggests the following line: “As soon as the results [of the grid stress test]
are available, possible further measures will be discussed — as before — on the
basis of the facts. We reject an extension of the operating term, i.e. the
procurement of new fuel rods.”
The last
line is where the compromise could lie.
While
conservatives have called on the government to procure new nuclear fuel and
liberals have suggested a new phaseout deadline of 2024, Greens who have
softened their stance still reject a longer runtime.
Their focus
is on stretching existing fuel supply, which doesn’t require new uranium rods.
Several
experts have said this wouldn’t produce more electricity and just stretch power
generation over a longer period — although the Munich Greens, for example, cite
safety inspectors as saying that the Isar II plant could create an additional 5
terawatt-hours until August 2023 this way.
New rods
would give several more years of power, significantly delaying the phaseout —
which the Greens want to avoid — and also create additional nuclear waste.
It’s not
quite “yes please” to nuclear power. But it would be a major shift away from
“nein danke.”
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