ELECTIONS
Trump’s Georgia rally sparks GOP anxiety
State Republicans welcome the president’s support for
Sens. David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler. But they’re worried about what he might
say beyond that.
By MARC
CAPUTO
12/03/2020
04:56 AM EST
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/12/03/trump-georgia-rally-senate-442484
Georgia
Republicans are excited that Donald Trump is coming Saturday to Valdosta to
help save Sens. David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler.
They’re
also a little scared.
They’re not
entirely certain what to expect from the president’s first postelection rally.
Or how much he understands that the event is about helping the two endangered
GOP incumbents get across the finish line in the Jan. 5 runoff, not advancing
his own political interests or settling scores.
“It’s
important that Trump comes and focuses on the Senate election and not the other
peripheral sideshow of whining and complaining and making baseless
accusations,” said Allen Peake, a former state legislator and self-described
“mainstream Republican.” “But that’s kind of been his mode for the past four
years. I don’t think he will change. So I’m very concerned about this on
Saturday.”
Though
Trump will tell his supporters to head to the polls for Loeffler and Perdue,
he’s also likely to spread false conspiracy theories about a stolen election
that could depress turnout — something he’s done nearly every day since being
denied a second term. And he’s sure to bash a couple of fellow Republicans,
Gov. Brian Kemp and Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, both of whom are up
for reelection in 2022, for their roles in overseeing elections in a state
Trump narrowly lost.
“If all he
does is whine and complain and talk bad about Kemp and the secretary of state,
then the trip will be a disaster and he might as well not even come,” Peake
said. “This is a crazy time in Georgia politics, that’s for sure.”
Nothing
about Trump’s rally — or the runoff — will be predictable. The backdrop is
unique: It’s the first time runoff elections for two Senate seats in the same
state stood to dictate political control of the closely divided chamber.
Heightening
the drama is the GOP civil war in Georgia pitting the Trump-supporting
grassroots against what one insider called “the people in the Golden Dome,” a
reference to the state capitol building and establishment Republicans.
“I would
call it a family feud,” said former Rep. Lynn Westmoreland (R-Ga.). “People are
mad. They’re mad at the whole system. ... Everyone’s shooting arrows.”
Westmoreland
attributed some of the tension to “one of those stages of grief, being mad ...
it’s a target rich environment for people who are mad, upset, grieving or
whatever you want to say. It’s just a cluster.”
The party
divisions have been fueled by Trump’s unsubstantiated conspiracy theories about
voting fraud. But they’re also rooted in tension between Trump and Kemp that
stretches back to the governor’s decision a year ago to defy the president by
naming Loeffler to fill an open Senate seat. Trump wanted his favorite Georgia
congressman, Doug Collins, picked.
Trump fumed
at the time about Kemp’s rebuff and began privately referring to the governor
by the nickname “One Term” because he said the governor wouldn’t survive a
primary challenge in 2022, according to a top Georgia Republican source, who
noted the irony that the president wound up being a one-termer himself.
Republicans
in the Legislature were also miffed that Kemp refused their calls to do away
with Georgia’s so-called jungle primary system for the special election
Loeffler ran in. They wanted a conventional partisan primary because that was
viewed as more beneficial to Collins, who ultimately ran against Loeffler
anyway and lost. Neither Loeffler nor Perdue won more than 50 percent of the
vote on Nov. 3 in their separate contests, resulting in the Jan. 5 double
runoff.
But GOP
frustration with Kemp has taken a back seat to intraparty anger with
Raffensperger. He is an engineer by training with a reputation among
Republicans and insiders as a prickly numbers guy with a hot temper and few
political allies, even though Raffensperger was an early supporter of Trump in
the 2016 cycle when he was in the state House.
As
secretary of state, Raffensperger has resented Trump’s barrage of false claims
about the election and the president’s pressure on Perdue and Loeffler to call
for his resignation. Raffensperger took to Facebook to rebut the disinformation
and called Collins, a Trump loyalist whom the president appointed as his
spokesperson for the postelection state recount, a “failed candidate” and a
“liar.” One of Raffensperger’s deputies on Tuesday condemned Trump, saying the
president was “inspiring people to commit potential acts of violence.”
Adding to the
chaos are attorneys Lin Wood and Sidney Powell, who have filed lawsuits against
the state’s election results with scant evidence but loads of conspiracy
theories.
Wood and
other Trump backers have encouraged Trump supporters not to vote Jan. 5 if
Loeffler and Perdue don’t do more to deliver the state to Trump. (A hand
recount of ballots showed the president still lost the state.) Powell, who was
booted from the Trump legal team after her wild claims drew unflattering
publicity, has alleged without evidence that Loeffler actually lost the primary
to Collins.
Donald
Trump Jr., in an effort to prevent depressed turnout, launched a super PAC to
make sure people still show up for the runoffs, which the Georgia GOP is less
concerned about compared with national Republicans.
“There’s a
lot of tension,” said Buzz Brockway, a former Republican state legislator. “How
do you square the idea that the president and others are pushing that this
election is stolen and rigged, but you should still go out and vote?”
Echoing
each of the dozen Georgia Republicans who were interviewed for this article,
Brockway said he expects Loeffler and Perdue to beat their respective
Democratic opponents, Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff, because the state is
still Republican-leaning and the GOP has more to lose with the prospect of
turning the Senate over to President-elect Joe Biden’s party.
“The
feeling is we can have our drama and infighting, but at the end of the day
we’ll come together and reelect our two senators,” said Lane Flynn, GOP
chairman in DeKalb County in suburban Atlanta.
In a sign
of how tense the situation has become, however, most of the insiders who
confessed to significant concerns about the upcoming election did not want to
speak on the record for fear of incurring the wrath of the president or getting
in the middle of what feels like a circular firing squad.
“The
problem we have is that Trump is our malady and our cure — he’s got people all
stirred up over this voter fraud stuff and now we’re worried they might not
vote, so we need him to come back to make sure people do, but we’re worried
that might backfire,” said one GOP consultant, who bemoaned how his political
clients are asking him for advice on whether to file lawsuits or start
campaigns boosting the president’s baseless claims.
“The good
news is that fear and anger drive voters, and we’ve got those in spades,” the
consultant said.
Don Cole,
the former Crisp County GOP chair who unsuccessfully ran against Democratic
Rep. Sanford Bishop in southwest Georgia, said “Trump can only help the cause
of David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler” because he drives GOP turnout like no one
else, and the runoff will be a base-turnout election with a smaller pool of
voters than a general election.
Still, the
drama doesn’t end there. Kemp and Raffensperger are now looking at real trouble
in their reelection campaigns in 2022, with many believing Collins will
challenge the governor with Trump’s backing.
“There’s
going to be an attempted effort at a full house-cleaning in the Republican
primary,” Cole said, adding that it’s almost become an article of faith in the
Georgia GOP that there was election fraud.
“Even if
nothing happens on all this, and the courts say ‘Nope, you don’t have anything
here, there’s not enough evidence,’ people out here believe it. And it’s gonna
hurt the Republican Party. It’s going to hurt them. It’s gonna hurt the party
after this runoff. They’ll get out and vote because of Trump. But after that,
if they don’t feel like they’ve been heard and nothing’s been taken seriously
on this stuff, then you’re going to see people throw their hands up and say,
‘That’s the end of it.’”
Ed Muldrow,
chair of the Gwinnett County GOP in suburban Atlanta, said he would prefer that
the president not trash Kemp but he has less sympathy for Raffensperger. He
faults the secretary of state for not taking Republican complaints and
suspicions about voting irregularities more seriously.
Part of
Trump’s appeal, Muldrow said, is his willingness to speak his mind and take on
all comers — and that pugilistic style is what drives turnout of the party
base.
“Trump
brings in a sense of being a fighter. So whether you like it or not, he's gonna
fight,” Muldrow said. “So if President Trump gets on the stage, I say let him
do what he's done. He's gotten us this far. Whether we like it or not, you
know, go home with the one that brung ya.”
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