Liz Truss may raise corporation tax in further
mini-budget U-turn
Speculation that reversal on leadership campaign
pledge risks split with her chancellor, Kwasi Kwarteng
Liz Truss made the promise to cancel the corporation
tax rise a central plank of her leadership campaign.
Pippa
Crerar and Larry Elliott in Washington
Thu 13 Oct
2022 15.43 BST
Liz Truss
is on the brink of putting up corporation tax as part of a Downing Street plan
to back down from the huge package of unfunded tax cuts in her mini-budget,
sources claim.
However,
the chancellor, Kwasi Kwarteng, ducked questions on whether the government was
about to make a major U-turn, insisting that his position “hasn’t changed” on
the 23 September mini-budget.
The prime
minister has been under intense pressure from jittery Conservative MPs to stage
a major economic U-turn to calm the markets in the face of a financial storm,
but risks a split with her chancellor if she proceeds.
The move
would represent a massive climbdown as her promise to cancel Rishi Sunak’s plans
to put up corporation tax from 19% to 25% was a central pledge of her
leadership campaign.
One
government source told the Guardian that No 10 officials – rather than their
Treasury counterparts – were reviewing the mini-budget in order to shore up Truss’s
premiership after the disastrous economic growth plan last month.
Another
source suggested that the option of raising corporation tax was “on the table”
in the prime minister’s efforts to balance the books – although this could be
by just one or two percentage points.
They
indicated that no decision would be announced until the chancellor had returned
from Washington – where he was at a meeting of the International Monetary Fund
– on Friday. However, there was speculation in Whitehall that the scale of the
U-turn could make it impossible for Kwarteng to continue in post.
In an
interview in Washington, Kwarteng said there would no changes to the
mini-budget despite discussions in No 10. “Our position hasn’t changed,” he
said. “I will come up with the medium-term fiscal plan on 31st October. There
will be more detail then.”
The
chancellor also sidestepped questions about a U-turn on the government’s plans
to freeze corporation tax, saying his “total focus” was on delivering his
growth plan.
Earlier on
Thursday morning, No 10 ruled out further changes to the mini-budget despite
the pressure from Tory MPs, with the prime minister’s official spokesman saying
“the position has not changed”.
Both UK
government bonds and the pound rallied strongly, in part due to continued
bond-buying by the Bank of England, but also in response to the speculation
about a reverse on planned cuts to corporation and dividend taxes.
At prime
minister’s questions on Wednesday, Truss ruled out any corporation tax hike,
telling MPs: “I feel it would be wrong at a time when we are trying to attract
investment into our country at a time of global crisis to be raising taxes”.
The
government has already U-turned on a key promise to scrap the 45p top rate of
income tax in a major blow to Truss’s authority which has left her premiership
weakened and mutinous MPs warning she must change course or face a confidence
vote.
Reports of
a U-turn on Kwarteng’s mini-budget were welcomed by the I MF, which has been
publicly critical of the unfunded tax cuts announced last month.
Kristalina
Georgieva, the IMF’s managing director, said: “It is correct to be led by the
evidence, so if the evidence is that there has to be a recalibration it is
right for governments to do so.”
Georgieva
said she had had a “constructive meeting” with Kwarteng and Andrew Bailey, the
Bank of England governor, who are both in Washington for the annual meeting of the
IMF this week.
“We
discussed the importance of policy coherence and communicating clearly so in
these jittery times there are no reasons for even more jitters,” she said.
With the
effects of Kwarteng’s package still reverberating around global financial
markets, Georgieva gave strong backing to the Bank of England’s action to halt
a run on pension funds and added: “Our message to everybody, not just the UK,
is that fiscal policy should not undermine monetary policy.
“If it does
the task of monetary policy becomes harder and translates into further
increases in interest rates. So don’t prolong the pain. Make sure policy is
coherent and consistent.”
Kwarteng
flew into Washington for a planned two-day stay on Wednesday and was given a
taste of the international concern at events in Britain when he was publicly
dressed down by Janet Yellen, the US Treasury secretary, at a meeting of G7
finance ministers and central bank governors.
Yellen said
tax cuts that required extra borrowing posed a risk to financial stability.
The
chancellor is due to attend a reception in his honour at the British embassy in
Washington later on Thursday before flying home on Friday.
Rachel
Reeves, the shadow chancellor, said: “Today’s mess shows the utter chaos this
government is in. This is a crisis made in Downing Street and working people
are paying the price.
“Labour has
said repeatedly that they need to reverse the kamikaze budget and restore
confidence.
“This is
now urgent as the Bank of England’s intervention in the markets ends [on
Friday]. The Tories cannot allow the chaos caused by their mini-budget to
continue any longer.”
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