Analysis
Reform UK
exposé comes just as Farage was hoping to change the narrative
Peter
Walker
Senior
political correspndent
With
senior party figures appearing split and leader’s favourability rating
dropping, questions about donations are causing yet more headaches
Fri 4 Sep
2026 16.12 BST
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/sep/04/reform-uk-donations-expose-nigel-farage
Midway
through an event at Reform’s annual conference on Friday there was question for
the audience: who was worried about a Channel 4 News exposé of potential
wrongdoing by party officials over donations? Almost no hands went up. The
faithful might be sanguine. But make no mistake, Nigel Farage faces yet another
problem.
Careful
plans have been again upset. After months of answering – or primarily dodging –
questions about his own finances, Farage had planned to use Reform UK’s biggest
conference yet to make a blitz of policy announcements.
These are
still happening, not least among them the revelation that a Farage-led
government would declare a “national emergency” on the first day it won power,
so as to get to grips with the grave problems he says the UK must tackle.
But he
and other senior party figures are being forced to field endless questions
about whether the senior aides Dan Jukes and James Orr really were open to
illegal donations from overseas, and if they were not, why Farage’s right-hand
man and his policy head have been suspended.
Dealing
with unexpected crises is a core task for party leaders. But after so much
focus on Farage’s undeclared £5m gift, and free of the chore of a self-imposed
byelection to return to parliament, he was hoping to make news in other ways.
Day one
of the aftermath has exposed another problem: party figures do not appear
unified about how to deal with it. In early media interviews on Friday, Lee
Anderson, the Reform chair, said there was no way back for Jukes and Orr:
“They’re gone.” But since then, a series of other figures have said they are
merely suspended pending an investigation, indicating a route back.
As the
day progressed, the rhetoric toughened. Reform had been the victim of a “sting”
and “entrapment”, Sarah Pochin, one of the party’s MPs, told a fringe event.
Much of
this is just reaction in real time. But if there is a split between Anderson
and others in the party, that means another headache for the Reform leader, who
also has to deal with the combustible Zia Yusuf, the party’s home affairs
spokesperson, whom Farage is known to have described in private with a
derogatory expletive.
Most of
all, however, the looming problems lie outside the necessarily insular world of
Birmingham’s NEC and its thousands of Reform delegates.
In a
variation of the famous Ernest Hemingway description of becoming bankrupt –
“gradually, then suddenly” – one of the more important rules of politics is
that voters pay limited attention to claims of sleaze or ineptitude, until they
do.
As Boris
Johnson and his Conservative successors found to their cost, party reputations
are built up very slowly but can erode at some speed.
Our
morning email breaks down the key stories of the day, telling you what’s
happening and why it matters
Reform is
not yet at this point. But the metrics are far from reassuring, not least
Farage’s net favourability rating with YouGov, which has fallen to minus 44.
According
to another pollster, Ipsos, even before the new revelations, just 20% of
Britons thought Farage was “an honest person”. In another study, by More in
Common, concerns around sleaze were named as the biggest barrier for people
voting for Reform.
All this
must be put in context. Farage achieved something unprecedented in taking a new
party and topping more than 150 successive polls. No leader could keep that
going for ever, especially with a charismatic new prime minister in No 10.
But time
is not necessarily on his side. Even though a general election is not needed
before mid-2029, Reform is working on the assumption Andy Burnham will seek his
own mandate next year. It is in this landscape that the loss of two very core
party figures is so damaging, all the more so if they end up under formal
police investigation, let alone in court.
Farage
sought on Friday to distance himself from Jukes and Orr, calling them
“contractors”. This is very obvious nonsense, given Jukes has been at his side
for a decade and Orr was trusted with devising the party’s policy.
A shadow
has been cast over the two of them, with the potential to darken much further
if police or the elections watchdog take action. And that shadow could yet fall
on Farage himself.

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