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24.02.2025 : Far-right AfD becomes strongest party in eastern German states

 


Far-right AfD becomes strongest party in eastern German states

 

East-West divide deepens in German politics as far-right AfD dominates eastern states while failing to gain similar support in west

 

Anadolu staff  |

24.02.2025 - Update : 24.02.2025

https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/far-right-afd-becomes-strongest-party-in-eastern-german-states/3491992

 

The far-right AfD party won the most votes in five eastern German states in Sunday’s parliamentary elections, reflecting a growing polarization in the country.

 

The anti-immigrant party secured 20.8% nationwide, but its vote share in the five ex-communist federal states was significantly higher.

 

The party emerged as the dominant political force by scoring 38.6% in Thuringia, 37.3% in Saxony, 37.1% in Saxony-Anhalt, 35% in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and 32.5% in Brandenburg. In contrast, the party averaged 18% in western German states.

 

Far-right candidates claimed victory in most constituencies across the eastern states, with few exceptions. The AfD achieved its strongest showing in the eastern town of Goerlitz with 46.7%, while its lowest support came from the western city of Cologne at 6.3%.

 

In Sunday's parliamentary elections, the anti-immigrant party doubled its vote share nationwide from 10.3% in 2021. Though now the second-largest group in parliament, the party remains isolated, with all other political parties refusing to form a coalition with them due to the party’s anti-democratic tendencies.

 

Election day polling by infratest dimap revealed that most AfD voters were primarily concerned about immigration and domestic security. Of those surveyed, 38% supported the AfD mainly for its anti-immigration stance, while 33% cited domestic security as their primary reason.

 

As many as 94% of AfD supporters agreed that “all migrants without legal status should be deported as quickly as possible.” Nearly all voters said the AfD was the only party that understood that many “people no longer feel secure.”

 

According to the representative poll, 54% of AfD voters said they believed in the party's policies, while 39% voted for the AfD to protest or express disappointment with other parties.

Should Germany ban AfD? What impact could this have?

 


Should Germany ban AfD? What impact could this have?

 

By Giulia Carbonaro

Published on 14/06/2023 - 10:44 GMT+2•Updated 22/01/2024 - 12:02 GMT+1

https://www.euronews.com/2023/06/14/should-germany-ban-afd-what-impact-could-this-have

 

Protests against the far-right party swept through Germany over the weekend. But should the AfD be banned?

More than 800,000 people took to the streets of Germany's major cities this weekend to denounce Alternative for Germany

 

The demos followed news last week that some members of the far-right party had attended a secret meeting last November where they allegedly discussed plans for mass deportations of immigrants and Germans with a migrant background.

 

With slogans such as "ban the AfD now", "all against fascism", "united against hate" or "never again", referring to the genocide of European Jews during the Second World War, Germans have been protesting since the investigative media Correctiv published the story.

 

"I want to say it loud and clear: right-wing extremists are attacking our democracy," German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said on Friday in a video message to the more than 20 million German citizens with a migrant background.

 

Growing concern about AfD

For its part, the AfD has dismissed the report as a "fairy tale" and said the media had "inflated" the meeting.

 

But the scandal has revived a row on whether the far-right party should be banned.

 

Last month, AfD won its first mayoralty in a town in Saxony. At the national level, the AfD is on 22%, just behind the Christian Democratic Union and its partner, the Christian Social Union of Bavaria, on 31%.

 

There is concern in the country about the rise of the far right, which has 78 seats in the Bundestag, Germany's parliament.

 

The party has been declared 'demonstrably extremist' by the Office for the Protection of the Constitution in Saxony and 42% of Germans are in favour of banning it, according to an Ipsos poll.

 

But could AfD be banned?

In June, a study by the German Institute for Human Rights on the possibility of banning AfD put the issue in the spotlight.

 

The study said the AfD poses such a danger to the country's democratic order “it could be banned by the Federal Constitutional Court.”

 

AfD can be legally banned because its explicit goals are “to eliminate the free democratic basic order” and “abolish the guarantee of human dignity” enshrined in Germany’s constitution, claims the institute.

 

Set up in 2013, the AfD has been accused of harbouring anti-democratic tendencies, though it officially supports democracy in Germany.

 

Banning the AfD has been floated in Germany before. A court last year ruled the party should be considered a potential threat to democracy, paving the way for it to be put under surveillance by national security services.

 

In 2023, Germany decided to label AfD’s youth wing, the Young Alternative for Germany, as an extremist group. The formal accusation of extremism is as far as the country can go without issuing an outright ban.

 

Domestic intelligence services have also labelled the Thuringia state chapter of the party a right-wing extremist group. Earlier this week, its leader Björn Höcke was accused of purposefully using a Nazi slogan at a May 2021 campaign event.

 

But while the Germany Institute for Human Rights’ study reignited a debate around banning the party in Germany, AfD took advantage of the situation, turning their condemnation into a call to arms for supporters.

 

The far-right party - which opposes Islam, immigration and the EU - is worrying Germany's political class, with support climbing in recent months.

 

Proposals to ban AfD have “backfired massively because the AfD took it upon themselves to paint a different picture in the media,” according to Una Ivona Titz, a journalist and researcher at the Amadeu Antonio Foundation, a group focused on extremism and the far-right.

 

“Right now, they’re garnering a lot of support on Telegram because they’re rallying their supporters and they’re painting themselves as a persecuted party within an unjust system which they’re fighting from within,” she told Euronews.

 

While the study aimed to increase awareness over the threats posed by AfD, “what we’re seeing is that it has emboldened them and actually helped them bolster the image of AfD,” Titz explained.

 

Previous attempts at banning an elected party in Germany have failed and backfired against its organisers -- with a tentative ban on far-right party NPD in 2017 being rejected by the second Senate of the Federal Constitutional Court.

 

Politicians also appear to be cautious about suggesting to ban AfD.

 

“The study has gained traction as an online debate and has then subsequently been picked up by politicians from the entire political spectrum,” Titz said. “So you had politicians from the CDU, from SBT, and from the left boycotting the proposal of a ban or being sceptical towards the ban because they saw it as a misplaced attempt.”

 

“For example, Sebastian Hoffmann [from SPD] talked about the AfD as an anti-constitutional party, but, on the other hand, he sees the primary goal of politics as putting the AfD in a sort of political limbo where it becomes no longer electable and thus avoiding a ban.”

 

An impossible dilemma

The idea of banning a party is not only politically fraught, but also poses a moral dilemma for many. As Princeton professor Jan-Werner Mueller put it in a 2013 article, democracies are “damned if they do, damned if they don’t” ban extremist parties.

 

While forbidding a popular party can undermine the pillars of democracy, he says leaving a country exposed to the threat of extremism can be dangerous and “ultimately leave no democracy to defend.”

 

That’s why countries have generally avoided banning extremist parties, and have explored different approaches.

 

“There’s a spectrum of how deep the state can go to act against extremist groups,” Lorenzo Vidino, Director of the Program on Extremism at George Washington University, told Euronews. “And that is based on different histories, different constitutional, different social and cultural approaches."

 

"There’s no right or wrong way.”

 

On one end of the spectrum, Vidino pointed to the US approach, which is based “on an extreme tolerance of the intolerant”, meaning domestic groups that are considered extremist can be tolerated.

 

“The Ku Klux Klan is legal in America," he said. "They can hold rallies, burn crosses - they occasionally do that. That’s for a variety of reasons based on the Constitution and freedom of speech.”

 

These groups are still monitored by the state, “but it’s basically impossible to ban a domestic extremist group in America,” Vidino said.

 

At the other end of the spectrum, he points to countries like Germany. “There’s very low tolerance of extremist groups, even if not directly violent."

 

"That of course stems from German recent history.”

 

Even in countries where extremist parties can be banned, the decision “is never one that’s taken lightly, for a variety of reasons,” Vidino said.

 

“First of all, there’s a complicated legal process. But there’s also a political side to it, that leads to the question of whether we would also then ban extremist groups on the left, like environmental ones.”

 

There’s also a practical issue, Vidino said. “If you ban a group, it doesn’t just disappear. AfD has millions of supporters - the problem it poses isn’t solved after you ban the party. In fact, you might lose the control you have over it by dissolving the party.”

 

What to do then?

Vidino said the best tool to counter extremist parties is monitoring.

 

But there are others.

 

According to Titz, one solution that has proven effective in weakening the appeal of extremist far-right parties like AfD is to strengthen media literacy towards democracy, especially in areas like the former DDR, in eastern Germany.

 

“You have a high level of scepticism towards democracy as a whole, and what really helps, statistically, is to invest in programmes right there, and keep them [AfD] on their toes with regard to their rhetoric,” she said.

 

“Everything that the AfD puts out has to be documented and monitored and counterbalanced.”

Could Germany Ban the AfD? | Andrzej Byrt

Israeli Security Cabinet Approves Plan to Escalate Gaza Campaign

 



Israeli Security Cabinet Approves Plan to Escalate Gaza Campaign

 

It is not clear how Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s strategy of adding tens of thousands of soldiers will fundamentally alter a dynamic seen over 18 months of conflict.

 

Michael D. ShearAaron BoxermanAdam Rasgon

By Michael D. ShearAaron Boxerman and Adam Rasgon

Reporting from Jerusalem

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/05/world/europe/israel-buildup-soldiers-hamas-gaza.html

May 5, 2025

Updated 10:49 a.m. ET

 

Israel’s security cabinet has approved plans for an escalation of the military campaign in Gaza, endorsing Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s strategy that victory against Hamas will come from an even bigger barrage of military might in the weeks ahead.

 

“We have not finished the war,” Mr. Netanyahu declared on Sunday as his security cabinet signed off on expanding the fighting. “We will perform this operation with a unified military, with a powerful army and deeply resolved soldiers.”

 

Israeli officials confirmed the cabinet’s decision on Monday. David Mencer, a government spokesman, said, “Israel is issuing tens of thousands of call-up orders to reservists in order to strengthen and expand our operation in Gaza.”

 

He added that the goal of the expanded operation was to increase the pressure on Hamas to release the remaining hostages and to destroy all of Hamas’s infrastructure, both above and below ground.

 

The campaign calls for “the expanding and the holding of territories” in Gaza by Israeli soldiers for an indefinite period of time, Mr. Mencer said. He said forces would remain in areas that are seized “to prevent Hamas from taking it back.”

 

The cabinet also approved a new Israeli-backed mechanism for allowing the distribution of humanitarian help, Mr. Mencer said. Israel has blocked all aid, including food, fuel and medicine, from entering Gaza for more than two months, the effect of which has been “catastrophic,” doctors say. Israel has argued that the blockade is lawful and that Gaza still has enough available provisions.

 

As part of the Israeli offensive, Israel would move “the Gazan population south for its own defense,” Mr. Mencer said. The plan echoed Israel’s actions earlier in the war, when Israel ordered a mass evacuation of northern Gaza before its ground invasion in late 2023.

 

Two reservists who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to make comments to the news media said that they had received call-up orders beginning in June.

 

An Israeli official, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss operational planning, said the understanding was that the Israeli military would move to capture more territory beyond what it was already holding, but the official cautioned that it was not clear whether Israel had plans to occupy all of Gaza at this point.

 

A full-blown occupation would almost certainly spur international objections, as would the forced relocation of Palestinians from their homes in the north.

 

And it is not clear how additional fighters would fundamentally alter a dynamic seen over 18 months of war in which hundreds of thousands of soldiers have pummeled Hamas fighters, with residents in Gaza caught in the middle, but have failed to achieve Israel’s goals of destroying the militant group or releasing all hostages.

 

The question is whether a return to that kind of fighting is a road map to the end of hostilities or merely an intensification of a deadly conflict with worsening consequences for Palestinians and the Israeli hostages still being held by Hamas.

 

Tamir Hayman, who served as the Israeli military’s intelligence chief for four years, said the attempts to pressure Hamas with overwhelming force had been “exhausted” after more than a year and a half of war.

 

“Eliminating Hamas as a terror organization by military force only is very difficult,” said Mr. Hayman, who is now executive director of the Institute for National Security Studies, a think tank in Tel Aviv. He said Israel would be better off ending the war with Hamas, which has been weakened significantly and can be kept in check after the fighting ends.

 

The Israeli military has not provided details about how the reservists will be deployed. But two Israeli officials, who requested anonymity to comment on military plans, say it will involve several brigades seeking so-called operational superiority in several parts of Gaza.

 

The Trump administration has sought a new cease-fire, but Hamas has demanded an end to the war and a withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza, while Israel has insisted that Hamas disarm, which the group has refused to do.

 

The Israeli call-up of soldiers is also a message to Mr. Netanyahu’s hard-line supporters, some of whom were dismayed that the military had not completed the task of eradicating Hamas. Promising a more intense phase of the war could be good domestic politics for him.

 

Israeli officials have said they believe it was the power and intensity of their military campaign in Gaza last year that pressured Hamas to release some of the hostages and to accept a cease-fire in January.

 

Hours after the Hamas terror attacks on Oct. 7, 2023, which killed 1,200 people in Israel, with 251 others taken hostage, Mr. Netanyahu ordered the mobilization of 360,000 reservists, adding to the country’s standing military of about 170,000 soldiers.

 

In the fighting since, more than 50,000 Palestinians have died, according to the Gaza health ministry, which does not distinguish between civilian and military deaths. About 130 hostages have been released and the Israeli military has retrieved the bodies of at least 40 others. Around 24 hostages are thought to be still alive, according to the Israeli government.

 

When Israel and Hamas agreed to the January cease-fire deal, Mr. Netanyahu said credit should go to the “painful blows that our heroic fighters have landed on Hamas.”

 

“This is exactly how the conditions were created for the turning point in its position and for the release of our hostages,” he said during a national address.

 

But other voices, like Yair Lapid, Israel’s opposition leader, have expressed grave doubts about the strategy. “I fear that the intensity of the fighting will dictate the fate of the hostages,” Mr. Lapid said on Israeli Army Radio. “What is the goal? Why are they calling up reservists? Extending regular service and all without defining a goal — that’s not how you win a war.”

 

In a statement Monday, the organization representing the families of hostages urged the government not to widen the war.

 

“The expansion of military operations puts every hostage at grave risk,” the families said. “We implore our decision makers: Prioritize the hostages. Secure a deal. Bring them home — before it’s too late.”

 

Natan Odenheimer and Gabby Sobelman contributed reporting.

 

Michael D. Shear is a White House correspondent for The Times. He has reported on politics for more than 30 years.

 

Aaron Boxerman is a Times reporter covering Israel and Gaza. He is based in Jerusalem.

 

Adam Rasgon is a reporter for The Times in Jerusalem, covering Israeli and Palestinian

Zionism explained

zionism and ethno-nationalism

 


 Ben Gurion "We must replace Arabs and take their places" 1937

 

Role in the Israeli–Palestinian conflict

The arrival of Zionist settlers to Palestine in the late 19th century is widely seen as the start of the Israeli–Palestinian conflict. Zionists wanted to create a Jewish state in Palestine with as much land, as many Jews, and as few Palestinian Arabs as possible.In response to Ben-Gurion's 1938 quote that "politically we are the aggressors and they [the Palestinians] defend themselves", Israeli historian Benny Morris says, "Ben-Gurion, of course, was right. Zionism was a colonizing and expansionist ideology and movement", and that "Zionist ideology and practice were necessarily and elementally expansionist." Morris describes the Zionist goal of establishing a Jewish state in Palestine as necessarily displacing and dispossessing the Arab population. The practical issue of establishing a Jewish state in a majority non-Jewish and Arab region was a fundamental issue for the Zionist movement. Zionists used the term "transfer" as a euphemism for the removal, or ethnic cleansing, of the Arab Palestinian population. According to Benny Morris, "the idea of transferring the Arabs out... was seen as the chief means of assuring the stability of the 'Jewishness' of the proposed Jewish State".

 

In fact, the concept of forcibly removing the non-Jewish population from Palestine was a notion that garnered support across the entire spectrum of Zionist groups, including its farthest left factions from early on in the movement's development. The concept of transfer was not only seen as desirable but also as an ideal solution by the Zionist leadership. The notion of forcible transfer was so appealing to this leadership that it was considered the most attractive provision in the Peel Commission. Indeed, this sentiment was deeply ingrained to the extent that Ben Gurion's acceptance of partition was contingent upon the removal of the Palestinian population. He would go as far as to say that transfer was such an ideal solution that it "must happen some day". It was the right wing of the Zionist movement that put forward the main arguments against transfer, their objections being primarily on practical rather than moral grounds.

 

According to Morris, the idea of ethnically cleansing the land of Palestine was to play a large role in Zionist ideology from the inception of the movement. He explains that "transfer" was "inevitable and inbuilt into Zionism" and that a land which was primarily Arab could not be transformed into a Jewish state without displacing the Arab population. Further, the stability of the Jewish state could not be ensured given the Arab population's fear of displacement. He explains that this would be the primary source of conflict between the Zionist movement and the Arab population.

 

End of the Mandate and Expulsion of the Palestinians

Towards the end of the war, the Zionist leadership was motivated more than ever to establish a Jewish state. Since the British were no longer sponsoring its development, many Zionists considered it would be necessary to establish the state by force by upending the British position in Palestine. In this the IRA's tactics against Britain in the Irish War of Independence served as a both a model and source of inspiration.[t] The Irgun, the military arm of the revisionist Zionists, led by Menachem Begin, and the Stern Gang, which at one point sought an alliance with the Nazis, would lead a series of terrorist attacks against the British starting in 1944. This included the King David Hotel bombing, British immigration and tax offices and police stations. It was only by the war's end that the Haganah joined in the sabotage against the British. The combined impact of US opinion and the attacks on British presence eventually led the British to refer the situation to the United Nations in 1947.

 

The UNSCOP found that Jews were a minority in Palestine, owning 6% of the total land. The urgency of the condition of the Jewish refugees in Europe motivated the committee to unanimously vote in favor of terminating the British mandate in Palestine. The disagreement came with regards to whether Palestine should be partitioned or if it should constitute a federal state. American lobbying efforts, pressuring UN delegates with the threat of withdrawal of US aid, eventually secured the General Assembly votes in favor of the partition of Palestine into separate Jewish and Arab states which was passed 29 November 1947.

 

Outbursts of violence slowly grew into a wider civil war between the Arabs and Zionist militias. By mid-December, the Haganah had shifted to a more "aggressive defense", abandoning notions of restraint it had espoused from 1936 to 1939. The Haganah reprisal raids were often disproportionate to the initial Arab offenses, which led to the spread of violence to previously unaffected areas. The Zionist militias, employed terror attacks against Arab civilian and militia centers. In response, Arabs planted bombs in Jewish civilian areas, particularly in Jerusalem.

 

The first expulsion of Palestinians began 12 days after the adoption of the UN resolution, and the first Palestinian village was eliminated a month later.[135] In March of 1948, Zionist forces began implementing Plan D, which warranted the expulsion of civilians and the destruction of Arab towns and villages in pursuit of eliminating potentially hostile Arab elements.According to Benny Morris Zionist forces committed 24 massacres of Palestinians in the ensuing war, in part as a form of psychological warfare, the most notorious of which is the Deir Yassin massacre. Between 1948 and 1949, 750,000 Palestinians would be driven out of their homes, primarily as a result of these expulsions and massacres.

 

The British left Palestine (having done little to maintain order) on May 14 as planned. The British had done little to fascilitate a formal transfer of power;a fully functioning Jewish quasi-state had already been operating under the British for the past several decades. The same day, Ben-Gurion declared the establishment of the state of Israel.

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Israeli ministers approved a plan to capture all of Gaza and remain there – two officials say /Bezalel Smotrich: Israelis should embrace the word 'occupation'

 


https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2025/may/05/israel-gaza-yemen-middle-east-crisis-live-updates#top-of-blog

 

From 3h ago

09.20 BST

Israeli ministers approved a plan to capture all of Gaza and remain there – two officials say

Israel’s security cabinet approved a plan to capture all of the Gaza Strip and remain there for an unspecified amount of time, two officials said, AP reports.

 

The plan was approved today and is part of Israel’s efforts to increase pressure on Hamas to free hostages and negotiate a ceasefire on Israel’s terms.

 

The two officials said the plan also includes the displacement of hundreds of thousands of Palestinians to southern Gaza. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity because they were discussing military plans.

 

Updated at

09.22 BST

12m ago

12.18 BST

Bezalel Smotrich: Israelis should embrace the word 'occupation'

Israel will not withdraw from the Gaza Strip even if there is another hostage deal is reached, far-right finance minister Bezalel Smotrich has insisted as he called on Israelis to embrace the word “occupation.”

 

“We are finally going to occupy the Gaza Strip. We will stop being afraid of the word ‘occupation,’” Smotrich told Channel 12 journalist Amit Segal during a conference organised by Israel’s right-wing Besheva newspaper.

 

“We are finally taking control of all humanitarian aid, so that it does not become supplies for Hamas. We are separating Hamas from the population, cleansing the Strip, returning the hostages — and defeating Hamas,” he said.

 

“The only way to release the hostages is to subdue Hamas. Any retreat will bring about the next October 7,” he said. “Once as we occupy and stay [in Gaza] we can talk about sovereignty. But I did not demand that this be included among the goals of the war. First, we will defeat Hamas and prevent it from existing.”

 

52m ago

11.38 BST

AFP provides some more detail on Israel’s plans to intensify its operations in Gaza, with the official saying Israel was planning the “conquest” of the territory.

 

The Israeli official said the plan for expanded operations “will include, among other things, the conquest of the Gaza Strip and the holding of the territories, moving the Gaza population south for their protection”.

 

The majority of Gaza’s population had resided in the north of the territory, particularly Gaza City, and nearly all have been displaced at least once since the war began.

 

The cabinet, which includes prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu and several ministers, “unanimously approved” the plan aimed at defeating Gaza’s rulers Hamas and securing the return of hostages held in the territory.

 

The official source said the plan included “powerful strikes against Hamas”, without specifying their nature.

Reform’s success shows voters still care about Brexit | Gawain Towler

Reform UK says it will win 400 seats in the next election | Zia Yusuf

A New Trend in Global Elections: The Anti-Trump Bump

 




A New Trend in Global Elections: The Anti-Trump Bump

 

In voting in Canada and Australia, right-wing parties that borrowed from the MAGA playbook were punished. Elsewhere, President Trump is having a more complex impact.

 

Matina Stevis-Gridneff

By Matina Stevis-Gridneff

Reporting from Toronto

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/04/world/canada/global-elections-trump.html

May 4, 2025

 

The Trump factor is shaping global politics, one election at a time — just not necessarily to the president’s taste.

 

In major votes in Canada and Australia over the past two weeks, centrists saw their fortunes revived, while parties that had borrowed from the MAGA playbook lost out.

 

President Trump has been back in power for only three months, but already his policies, including imposing tariffs and upending alliances, have rippled into domestic political battles around the world.

 

While it is too soon to say that anti-Trump forces are on the rise globally, it is clear that voters have Mr. Trump somewhere on their mind as they make decisions.

 

Political cousins

Canada and Australia share a lot in common: a political system, a major mining industry, a sovereign in King Charles. Now they also share a remarkable political story.

 

In both countries, before Mr. Trump was inaugurated, the center-left ruling parties had been in poor shape and appeared poised to lose power. The front-runners in polls were the conservative parties, whose leaders flirted with Trumpian politics both in style and in substance.

Within weeks following Mr. Trump’s return to power, the Canadian and Australian political scenarios flipped in the same way: The center-left incumbents surged ahead of the conservative oppositions, and went on to win. And both countries’ conservative leaders lost not just the elections — they even lost their own seats in Parliament.

 

Canada’s prime minister, Mark Carney, campaigned on an explicitly anti-Trump message, putting the American president’s threats to Canada at the heart of his campaign. Australia’s leader, Anthony Albanese, did not. But both men got an anti-Trump bump.

 

Conservative leaders faced a scathing rejection at the ballot box. Pierre Poilievre, the head of the Canadian conservatives, and Peter Dutton, the leader of those in Australia, struggled to shake off a damaging association with Mr. Trump.

 

Mr. Dutton had walked back or moderated some Trumpian policy proposals when they proved to be unpopular, like radically slashing the public sector work force. Mr. Poilievre never really pivoted away from the Trump approach, even after the American president threatened Canada’s sovereignty.

 

Charles Edel, the Australia chair at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a think tank, called the election in Australia a “blowout.” And he suggested that it had resulted, at least in part, from Mr. Trump’s implicit intrusion into the election, even if it had been mostly focused on domestic issues.

 

“There were enough similarities to the Canadian election to suggest that the conservatives’ fortunes fell as Trump’s tariffs and attacks on America’s allies ramped up,” he wrote in an email.

 

In Canada, some saw the Australian election result as a sign of solidarity from their cousins to the far south. “Albo Up!” an online meme said, swapping Mr. Albanese’s nickname into Mr. Carney’s hockey-inspired anti-Trump slogan: “Elbows Up!”

 

Flight to safety

Mr. Carney benefited from a perception among voters that he would be a stable hand to manage Mr. Trump and his unpredictable impact on Canada’s economy, which is deeply integrated with America’s and already hurting because of tariffs and uncertainty. His background as an economic policymaker also worked in his favor.

 

Across the world, in Singapore, the argument for stability in times of turmoil also appeared to help the incumbent People’s Action Party.

 

Last month, Prime Minister Lawrence Wong said in Parliament that Singapore would sustain a bigger hit from the new American tariffs because of its reliance on global trade. He called on Singaporeans to brace for more shocks, and predicted slower growth.

 

Much like Mr. Carney, who declared the old relationship between Canada and the United States “over,” Mr. Wong issued a gloomy warning ahead of elections. “The global conditions that enabled Singapore’s success over the past decades may no longer hold,” he said.

 

On Saturday, voters returned his party to power, an outcome that was never in doubt but was still seen as bolstered by the “flight to safety” strategy that the party deployed.

 

“This is another case of the Trump effect,” said Cherian George, who has written books about Singaporean politics. “The sense of deep concern about Trump’s trade wars is driving a decisive number of voters to show strong support for the incumbent.”

 

Mixed impact

In Germany, an important Western ally that was the first to hold a national election after Mr. Trump’s inauguration, the effect of the Trump factor has been less direct, but it has still been felt.

 

Friedrich Merz, who will be sworn in as Germany’s new chancellor on Tuesday, did not profit politically from Mr. Trump’s election the way leaders in Canada or Australia did in the more recent votes.

 

But if Mr. Trump’s confrontation with America’s European allies on defense and trade did not help Mr. Merz before the vote, it has helped him since.

 

Mr. Merz was able to push through a suspension of spending limits in fiscally austere Germany, which will make his job as chancellor easier. He did so by arguing that the old certainties about American commitment to mutual defense were gone.

 

“Do you seriously believe that an American government will agree to continue NATO as before?” he asked lawmakers in March.

 

The MAGA-sphere’s embrace of a far-right German party known as the AfD did not help it, according to polls, even though Elon Musk had gone as far as to endorse the party and to appear at one of its events by video stream.

 

A British exception

An unpredictable American president can have unpredictable consequences for leaders abroad, as Prime Minister Keir Starmer of Britain is fast discovering.

 

Mr. Starmer, a center-left leader who won his election before Mr. Trump won his, initially gained praise for the businesslike way with which he dealt with the new American president.

 

Unlike Mr. Carney, Mr. Starmer went out of his way to avoid direct criticism of Mr. Trump, finding common cause with him where possible and seeking to avert a rupture. After a visit to the White House that was deemed successful, even some of Mr. Starmer’s political opponents sounded impressed.

 

All the while, a Trump ally in Britain, Nigel Farage, leader of the anti-immigration party Reform U.K, was struggling to fend off accusations that he sympathizes with President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia.

 

But Mr. Starmer soon ran out of steam after failing to parlay a pleasant White House visit into exemptions from American tariffs on British goods.

 

Last week, his Labour Party was dealt a significant blow when voting took place in regional and other elections in parts of England. It lost 187 council seats as well as a special parliamentary election in one of its strongholds.

 

By contrast, Mr. Farage’s party scored a spectacular success, not just winning that special election, but taking two mayoralties and making sweeping gains. For the first time, his party won control of the lowest tiers of government in several parts of the country.

 

Victoria Kim contributed reporting from Sydney; Sui-Lee Wee from Singapore; Christopher F. Schuetze from Berlin; and Stephen Castle from London.

 

Matina Stevis-Gridneff is the Canada bureau chief for The Times, leading coverage of the country.

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Labour minister sorry over grooming gangs remark

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c2ew9jnj2p1o

 

Leader of the House of Commons Lucy Powell has sought to clarify her remarks after she appeared to describe grooming gangs as a "dog whistle" issue, prompting a backlash from political opponents.

 

During a heated debate on BBC Radio 4's Any Questions on Friday, commentator and Reform UK member Tim Montgomerie asked Powell if she had seen a recent Channel 4 documentary on grooming gangs.

 

Powell responded "oh, we want to blow that little trumpet now do we" and "let's get that dog whistle out shall we".

 

But on Saturday, the Labour minister said she regarded child exploitation and grooming with the "utmost seriousness", adding: "I'm sorry if this was unclear."

 

Powell said: "I was challenging the political point scoring around it, not the issue itself. As a constituency MP I've dealt with horrendous cases."

 

Health Secretary Wes Streeting said politicians sometimes say things "in the heat of debate" that "come across badly".

 

"She's mortified and she does not want and would not want people who've campaigned on, or been victims of, these most appalling crimes to think she was in any way trying to undermine those experiences or those arguments," he told the BBC's Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg.

 

During the political debate programme, Montgomerie was asked about Reform UK's pledge to replicate the Trump administration's Department of Government Efficiency (Doge) - including by cutting diversity and inclusions roles within councils - following its successes in Thursday's local elections.

 

Montgomerie said the UK was "one of the most tolerant [countries] in the world", but argued there "always needs to be more progress on racial issues".

 

He said: "It's not so much the amount of money that is spent on employing diversity officers.

 

"You talk to a lot of civil servants, the amount of time they now have to spend monitoring this issue [of diversity] above all others is an extraordinary diversion."

 

Powell called his claims "absolutely rubbish", and told Montgomerie to spend a day with council staff to "actually see what they're dealing with".

 

Montgomerie then asked Powell if she "saw the documentary on Channel 4 about rape gangs", to which she responded: "Oh, we want to blow that little trumpet now do we. Let's get that dog whistle out shall we."

 

The documentary features five women who recount the abuse they suffered at the hands of grooming gangs, which it said revealed failures by police and social services.

 

It elicited reaction from several high-profile Conservative figures, including former home secretary Suella Braverman and former prime minister Liz Truss. Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch has called for a national inquiry into grooming gangs.

 

Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer said on Wednesday there had already been an inquiry, the recommendations of which his government would implement. He told Parliament that Labour was "delivering truth and justice for victims".

 

Labour peer Baroness Hazarika said she was "disgusted" by "sickening" stories of grooming gangs, adding: "Many of us in the Muslim community are absolutely as appalled as anyone else."

 

Following Friday's exchange on Any Questions, shadow home secretary Chris Philp called for Powell to resign over her remarks, which he said "belittles thousands of girls who were raped by grooming gangs over decades".

 

Robert Jenrick, the shadow lord chancellor, said Powell's comments were "a disgusting betrayal of the victims".

 

A Reform UK spokesman said Powell's "abhorrent comments truly demonstrate how out of touch the Labour Party is".

 

He went on: "She does not take the mass rape of young girls by predominantly Pakistani men seriously. The mask has slipped.

 

"After these comments, Keir Starmer should consider if Lucy Powell is fit to serve."

 

Powell said the comments were made "in the heat of a discussion" and the government was "acting to get to the truth, and deliver justice".

 

The BBC understands that Downing Street accepts Powell's apology and her explanation that her comments did not reflect her views on the issue.


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2 days ago: Totale chaos op Scheveningen, relschoppers vallen agenten aan / Rioter, cop and police horse injured in 'crazy evening' at Scheveningen / Relschopper, agent en politiepaard gewond bij ‘krankzinnige avond’ op Scheveningen


Rioter, cop and police horse injured in 'crazy evening' at Scheveningen

 

Yamilla van Dijk 02-05-25, 14:13 Last update: 02-05-25, 14:48

https://www.ad.nl/binnenland/relschopper-agent-en-politiepaard-gewond-bij-krankzinnige-avond-op-scheveningen~a92236cd/

 

It had been busy all day in Scheveningen because of the beautiful weather, so the police were already present with the necessary officers because of regular emergency assistance. "Despite that, there were a number of disturbances," the spokesperson said. "Messages on social media had a catalytic effect."

 

The group of young people was getting bigger and bigger and as a result, tensions continued to rise." After consultation with the deputy mayor, it was decided to deploy the Mobile Unit. The young people did not comply with the summons to leave the area."

 

The young people turned against the Mobile Unit and pelted them with stones and glass, among other things. After the mobile unit had carried out a few charges, calm returned. "During this deployment, police dogs were also deployed, a rioter was injured after a bite and transported to the hospital." An officer and a police horse were also injured and four police cars were destroyed.

 

No arrests

No arrests have been made, but the police emphasize that violence against police officers will absolutely not be tolerated and that strict action will be taken against such behavior. "After last night's disturbances, the boulevard of Scheveningen is an area in which we will be very alert this weekend and will take extra visible and invisible measures in consultation with the municipality of The Hague and the Public Prosecution Service."

 

State Secretary Ingrid Coenradie (Justice) also emphasizes that the young people who caused the riots should not get away with it. "These guys should know that they are not untouchable, because this is not possible," she said Friday morning on television program Goedemorgen Nederland.

 

Coenradie is pleased that there are many images on which the perpetrators may be identified. "Long live the camera, I would say. I think it's important to look at all the images and be able to arrest people."

 

 

You just have to stand there and put this madness back in line

 

Nine Kooiman

Nine Kooiman, chairman of the Dutch Police Union (NPB), speaks of an 'insane evening' in Scheveningen. "What violence against police officers. Hope everyone got home safe and in one piece," writes Kooiman on X. "You will just stand there and have to put this madness back in line. Kudos that they were there, but what a task."

 

Police union ACP is also baffled and finds the violence 'outrageous'. But, says chairman Ramon Meijerink, these kinds of things happen more often. "I understand the outrage, but the violence against emergency workers is much broader than this incident. It happens every week, every weekend, somewhere in the Netherlands. Only not all of them make the news."

 

He also denounces the criticism of the police that no arrests were made during the riots. "No solutions are offered by politicians," says Meijerink. "The police are structurally short of staff. So if you want to do more, you will also have to invest more in police officers."

 

Kooiman makes the same call. "I understand the request to arrest and prosecute these rioters, but people also have to realize that the police are understaffed. Setting up a large-scale study in times when the NATO summit also has to be organized, which people should do that?"

 

Due to the disturbances, many shopkeepers have had to close their business and in some cases vandalism has also been committed. The police are calling on them to report it. "It is also possible that bystanders have become involved in these disturbances. For them, the impact can be great." The police are also calling on them to report.

 

The catering entrepreneurs in Scheveningen are disappointed. The riots are deteriorating the image of the seaside resort, they think. The entrepreneurs are disappointed that things went wrong again on the first sunny days of the year. "It is dramatic for the image," says the owner of 't Pannekoekenhuisje. "It's a repetitive problem."

 

"We have seen this more often in recent years. The image had already been damaged," says the manager of beach pavilion Summertime. According to him, this is not only due to violent incidents, but also, for example, to parking problems and poor accessibility. "It's an accumulation of negativity. A spiral that Scheveningen does not seem to be able to get out of."

 

These riots are again harmful to tourism, he thinks. "I had German tourists here yesterday. They didn't have the best first impression. I can imagine that they won't come back."

 

The bar manager of El Niño Beach Club also remembers previous larger violent incidents, including in 2019 and 2022. "The first really sunny days it goes wrong more often, especially in the evening. It makes you feel unsafe and it is very frightening for the staff," he says. "We take into account who we let work in the evenings."

 

The owner of 't Pannekoekenhuisje can imagine that tourists who were already in doubt may not come to Scheveningen for the time being. Still, he remains optimistic. "Eventually it ebbs away again. It's an image, but Scheveningen is a lot of fun."

 

It makes you feel unsafe and it is very frightening for the staff

 

Emergency debate

It is not yet known whether the city council of The Hague will hold an emergency debate next week about the riots Thursday evening in Scheveningen. A decision will be made on Tuesday, the registry says. The next council meeting is scheduled for Thursday.

 

Opposition parties Hart voor Den Haag and VVD have requested a debate. Richard de Mos, party chairman of Hart voor Den Haag, also wants to know from Mayor Jan van Zanen 'how it could have gotten so out of hand'.

 

VVD party leader Lotte van Basten Batenburg speaks of 'infuriating images of rioting scum'. She adds: "It must be made clear once and for all: you are not welcome in Scheveningen if you exhibit this kind of behavior."

 

Research

The police are currently investigating the disturbances, as well as the circumstances. Many images are available of the disturbances. These are also being investigated.

 

In addition, the police can still use help from witnesses and owners of camera images. The police want to get in touch with bystanders who are in possession of camera images that clearly show a suspect committing a criminal offense. This can be done via the telephone number 0900-8844. Those who prefer to remain anonymous can contact Meld Misdaad Anoniem (telephone number 0800-7000).


Relschopper, agent en politiepaard gewond bij ‘krankzinnige avond’ op Scheveningen

 

Yamilla van Dijk 02-05-25, 14:13 Laatste update: 02-05-25, 14:48

https://www.ad.nl/binnenland/relschopper-agent-en-politiepaard-gewond-bij-krankzinnige-avond-op-scheveningen~a92236cd/

 

Het was de hele dag al druk op Scheveningen vanwege het mooie weer, dus was de politie vanwege reguliere noodhulp al met de nodige agenten aanwezig. „Ondanks dat ontstonden er een aantal opstootjes”, laat de woordvoerder weten. „Berichten op social media hadden een katalyserend effect.”

 

De groep jongeren werd steeds groter en daardoor liepen de spanningen steeds verder toe .„Daarop is na overleg met de locoburgemeester besloten om de Mobiele Eenheid in te zetten. De jongeren gaven geen gehoor aan de sommaties om het gebied te verlaten.”

 

De jongeren keerden zich tegen de Mobiele Eenheid en bekogelden hen onder andere met stenen en glas. Nadat de mobiele eenheid enkele charges had uitgevoerd, keerde de rust terug. „Tijdens deze inzet zijn ook politiehonden ingezet, een relschopper is na een beet gewond geraakt en naar het ziekenhuis vervoerd.” Ook een agent en een politiepaard raakten gewond en er werden vier politiewagens vernield.

 

Geen aanhoudingen

Er zijn geen aanhoudingen verricht, maar de politie benadrukt dat het geweld tegen politieambtenaren absoluut niet getolereerd wordt en dat er streng opgetreden wordt tegen dergelijke gedragingen. „De boulevard van Scheveningen is na de ongeregeldheden van gisteravond een gebied waarop we het komende weekend zeer alert zijn en extra zichtbare en onzichtbare maatregelen nemen in samenspraak met de gemeente Den Haag en het Openbaar Ministerie.”

 

Ook staatssecretaris Ingrid Coenradie (Justitie) benadrukt dat de jongeren die de rellen veroorzaakten daar niet mee weg mogen komen. „Deze gasten moeten weten dat ze niet onaantastbaar zijn, want dit kan niet”, zei ze vrijdagmorgen bij televisieprogramma Goedemorgen Nederland.

 

Coenradie is blij dat er veel beelden zijn waarop de daders mogelijk te identificeren zijn. „Leve de camera, zou ik zeggen. Ik denk dat het zaak is om alle beelden te bekijken en mensen op te kunnen pakken.’’

 

 

Je zal er maar staan en deze waanzin weer in linie moeten zetten

 

Nine Kooiman

Nine Kooiman, voorzitter van de Nederlandse Politiebond (NPB), spreekt over een ‘krankzinnige avond’ in Scheveningen. „Wat een geweld tegen politiemensen. Hoop dat iedereen veilig en heel thuis is gekomen”, schrijft Kooiman op X. „Je zal er maar staan en deze waanzin weer in linie moeten zetten. Hulde dat ze er stonden, maar wat een opgave.”

 

Politiebond ACP is ook verbijsterd en vindt het geweld ‘schandalig’. Maar, zegt voorzitter Ramon Meijerink, dit soort dingen gebeuren vaker. „Ik snap de verontwaardiging, maar het geweld tegen hulpverleners is veel breder dan dit incident. Het gebeurt elke week, elk weekend, ergens in Nederland. Alleen halen die niet allemaal het nieuws.”

 

Ook hekelt hij de kritiek op de politie dat er bij de rellen geen aanhoudingen zijn verricht. „Er worden geen oplossingen geboden vanuit de politiek”, zegt Meijerink. „De politie zit structureel met een personeelstekort. Dus als je meer wilt doen, zul je ook meer moeten investeren in politiemensen.”

 

Kooiman doet dezelfde oproep. „Ik snap het verzoek om deze relschoppers op te pakken en te vervolgen, maar mensen moeten ook beseffen dat de politie kampt met onderbezetting. Een grootschalig onderzoek opzetten in tijden dat ook de Navo-top georganiseerd moet worden, welke mensen moeten dat gaan doen?”

 

Door de ongeregeldheden hebben vele winkeliers hun zaak moeten sluiten en zijn er in sommige gevallen ook vernielingen gepleegd. De politie roept hen op aangifte te doen. „Ook kan het zijn dat omstanders verzeild zijn geraakt in deze ongeregeldheden. Voor hen kan de impact groot zijn.” Ook aan hen doet de politie de oproep zich te melden.

 

De horecaondernemers op Scheveningen balen. De rellen verslechteren het imago van de badplaats, vinden ze. De ondernemers balen dat het op de eerste zonnige dagen van het jaar opnieuw is misgegaan. „Voor het imago is het dramatisch”, zegt de eigenaar van ’t Pannekoekenhuisje. „Het is een repeterend probleem.”

 

„De afgelopen jaren zien we dit vaker. Het imago was al geschaad”, zegt de bedrijfsleider van strandpaviljoen Summertime. Volgens hem komt dat niet alleen door geweldsincidenten, maar ook door bijvoorbeeld parkeerproblemen en slechte bereikbaarheid. „Het is een opeenstapeling van negativiteit. Een spiraal waar Scheveningen niet uit lijkt te kunnen komen.”

 

Deze rellen zijn opnieuw schadelijk voor het toerisme, denkt hij. „Ik heb hier gisteren Duitse toeristen gehad. Die hadden niet een beste eerste indruk. Ik kan me voorstellen dat die niet meer terugkomen.”

 

Ook de barmanager van El Niño Beach Club herinnert zich eerdere grotere geweldsincidenten, onder meer in 2019 en 2022. „De eerste echt zonnige dagen gaat het vaker fout, vooral in de avond. Het geeft een onveilig gevoel en het is heel beangstigend voor het personeel”, zegt hij. „We houden rekening met wie we in de avonden laten werken.”

 

De eigenaar van ’t Pannekoekenhuisje kan zich voorstellen dat toeristen die al twijfelden misschien voorlopig niet naar Scheveningen komen. Toch blijft hij optimistisch. „Uiteindelijk ebt het weer weg. Het is beeldvorming, maar Scheveningen is hartstikke leuk.”

 

Het geeft een onveilig gevoel en het is heel beangsti­gend voor het personeel

 

Spoeddebat

Het is nog niet bekend of de gemeenteraad van Den Haag volgende week een spoeddebat houdt over de rellen donderdagavond in Scheveningen. Daar wordt dinsdag een besluit over genomen, laat de griffie weten. De volgende raadsvergadering staat gepland voor donderdag.

 

Oppositiepartijen Hart voor Den Haag en VVD hebben een debat aangevraagd. Richard de Mos, fractievoorzitter van Hart voor Den Haag, wil ook van burgemeester Jan van Zanen weten ‘hoe het zo uit de hand heeft kunnen lopen’.

 

VVD-fractievoorzitter Lotte van Basten Batenburg spreekt van ‘woestmakende beelden van relschoppend tuig’. Ze voegt eraan toe: „Het moet voor eens en altijd duidelijk worden gemaakt: je bent niet welkom op Scheveningen als je dit soort gedrag vertoont.”

 

Onderzoek

Op dit moment doet de politie onderzoek naar de ongeregeldheden, alsook naar de toedracht. Van de ongeregeldheden zijn veel beelden beschikbaar. Deze worden ook onderzocht.

 

Daarnaast kan de politie nog hulp gebruiken van getuigen en bezitters van camerabeelden. De politie wil in contact komen met omstanders die in het bezit zijn van camerabeelden waarop duidelijk een verdachte te zien is die een strafbaar feit pleegt. Dat kan via het telefoonnummer 0900-8844. Wie liever anoniem blijft, kan terecht bij Meld Misdaad Anoniem (telefoonnummer 0800-7000).