Jeff
Bezos, Elon Musk and the Billions of Ways to Influence an Election
The world’s
richest men have their own rocket fleets, their own media and their own schemes
to succeed with Donald J. Trump.
David
Streitfeld
By David
Streitfeld
David
Streitfeld has covered Silicon Valley, and the people it made wealthy, since
the late 1990s.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/30/technology/jeff-bezos-elon-musk-election.html
Oct. 30,
2024
Updated
12:41 p.m. ET
Entrepreneurs
become legends when they make big bets on technology that pay off in a huge and
dramatic way. Elon Musk is now applying that all-or-nothing philosophy to a
presidential election, tying his reputation and perhaps his future to a win by
Donald J. Trump.
Jeff Bezos,
the reigning swashbuckler of the internet age until Mr. Musk came along, was
playing a cooler game, content to let Mr. Musk take the headlines and the risk.
Then last week Mr. Bezos ventured — well, stumbled — into the heart of the
news.
Among his
many properties is The Washington Post, which he bought in 2013. The paper’s
editorial board was preparing to recommend the Democratic nominee for
president, Kamala Harris, when Mr. Bezos canceled the endorsement at the last
minute.
It wasn’t
supposed to be a big deal, just a ho-hum announcement of something not
happening. Instead the greatest salesperson of the era, whose customer
obsession had made Amazon into a colossus of modern retail, got the greatest
customer rejection of a lifetime.
A
quarter-million Post readers canceled their subscriptions, a figure first
reported by NPR and then by The Post itself. That is about 10 percent of the
total circulation. The speed and decisive force of the cancellations was a bit
of a shock but also weirdly appropriate, said Danny Caine, author of “How to
Resist Amazon and Why.”
“Amazon
invented the whole notion of one-click culture, where you click a button and
there’s a bunch of toilet paper on your porch,” he said. “You can’t get rid of
a Tesla in your driveway with one click. But you can with the newspaper that
Jeff Bezos owns.”
Those
canceling said they felt Mr. Bezos was trying to curry favor with Mr. Trump, a
charge he denied. The furor immediately exceeded any damage incurred by Mr.
Musk since he endorsed Mr. Trump in July and became the former president’s most
visible fan, cheerleader and acolyte.
If customers
are rejecting the electric vehicles made by Mr. Musk’s car company, Tesla, for
political reasons, it hasn’t clearly shown up in the sales numbers. Mr. Musk
implicitly dismissed the notion on X on Tuesday, reposting an admirer’s note
that said it wasn’t happening.
Mr. Musk,
Mr. Bezos and other extremely rich people are confronted with unusual
opportunities and invisible perils in the tightest, most dramatic, chaotic and
highest stakes political battle in modern times. Everyone has a stake in this
election, of course, but the very wealthy have so much at stake — or at least
think they do — that they are perhaps inevitably trying to shape it, too.
There has
always been money in politics, and rich people who sought their reward in
Washington. President Dwight D. Eisenhower’s first cabinet was known as “eight
millionaires and a plumber.” But until recently, it was literally considered
bad business for successful public figures to declare favorites too stridently
and make too many demands.
Michael
Jordan established the standard for many celebrities in 1990. The basketball
superstar, who went to college in North Carolina, was asked about whether he
would endorse Harvey Gantt, the Black candidate running to dethrone Jesse
Helms, the Republican senator with a long opposition to civil rights.
“Republicans
buy sneakers, too,” Mr. Jordan said. Mr. Helms narrowly beat Mr. Gantt.
Mr. Jordan
later said it was an off-the cuff remark, a joke even, but he did not really
back away from it. “I never thought of myself as an activist,” he said. “I
thought of myself as a basketball player.”
Many
billionaires now are activists. One reason is there are more of them — the
ranks of U.S. billionaires are up 38 percent by one estimate since Mr. Trump
first took office in 2016 — and they have even more money. For all the specter
of antitrust and regulation, life has been very good for the rich and their
companies. The stock market is perpetually at a record high.
Even this
ocean of money has a limit, however. Larry Ellison, the founder of Oracle who
ranks just behind Mr. Musk and Mr. Bezos as one of the richest men in the
world, last year backed the presidential aspirations of Senator Tim Scott, a
South Carolina Republican. Mr. Ellison spent at least $30 million but could not
make Mr. Scott a viable candidate.
Mr. Ellison
came up with the funding for his candidate but was otherwise quiet. Mr. Musk is
anything but reticent and has become a full-scale surrogate for Mr. Trump, as
well as one of his biggest donors. Speaking at the Trump rally at Madison
Square Garden on Sunday, Mr. Musk told the crowd, “We’re going to get the
government off your back and out of your pocketbook.”
Mr. Musk
would no doubt like to get the government off his own back. His companies,
including Tesla and SpaceX, are the subject of over 20 investigations or
reviews, a New York Times examination found. Tesla’s push for autonomous
driving is a particular focus for regulators. Just last week, the National
Highway Traffic Safety Administration said it was investigating several
self-driving crashes involving fog and dust.
Mr. Musk,
who has offered himself to Mr. Trump as a sort of inspector general for
government waste, has regularly tussled with the Securities and Exchange
Commission. The commission has probed the entrepreneur’s 2022 purchase of X,
then called Twitter. Mr. Musk did not show up for a deposition in September,
leading to an S.E.C. request that sanctions be imposed on him.
Beyond the
regulatory scrutiny, Mr. Musk is tied to the government through funding. NASA
announced in June that SpaceX got an $843 million contract to “de-orbit” the
space station when it is ready for retirement in a few years. SpaceX has
contracts to launch military and spy satellites. It also received contracts in
2021 and 2022 worth a total of $4 billion to take humans to the moon twice. It
is working on many other projects involving the government.
Mr. Bezos,
too, has business with the government. Most notably, the U.S. Department of
Justice is bringing Amazon to court, accusing it of antitrust violations.
When Mr.
Trump was president, Amazon and its chief executive were sometimes the subject
of his barbs. The company bid on a $10 billion cloud computing contract that
the Pentagon awarded Microsoft. Amazon sued, saying Mr. Trump had undermined
its bid. The contract was canceled. Ultimately four tech companies, including
Amazon and Microsoft, got a part of the cloud deal.
The most
vulnerable Bezos property in a new and vindictive Trump administration is
probably the one he cares about most: his space company, Blue Origin. The
company will compete with SpaceX and a third firm to provide launch services
for national security rockets over the next five years.
On Friday,
when The Post announced it would not endorse a presidential candidate, Blue
Origin’s chief executive, Dave Limp, had a brief meeting with Mr. Trump in
Texas. Mr. Bezos did not respond to a request for comment but said in a piece
he wrote in The Post on Monday that he knew this “would provide ammunition to
those who would like to frame this as anything other than a principled
decision” and that the whole thing was a coincidence. That article drew over
24,000 comments, few of them favorable to Mr. Bezos.
A few hours
later, Mr. Musk posted on X: “Kudos to @JeffBezos.” It’s possible he was
tweaking Mr. Bezos, like the time an interviewer asked about him and Mr. Musk
responded “Jeff who?” Mr. Musk did not respond to a message for comment.
For Gordon
L. Johnson II, a New York securities analyst and die-hard Tesla skeptic,
everyone is acting rationally: “They’re trying to save their tails.”
The
best-case scenario for Mr. Musk if Mr. Trump wins, he said, “is that Trump
says, ‘Forget about the open cases the D.O.J. and S.E.C. have against you,’ ”
he said. “The risk if Kamala wins is that the current investigations continue.”
As for Mr.
Bezos, he is also doing the sensible thing, Mr. Johnson said.
“If you want
to protect your business interests, cowardice is a rational thing,” he said.
“We’ve never had a president threatening the things Trump has threatened.”
Mr. Johnson
knows he, too, must behave rationally.
“I have a
‘sell’ rating on Tesla,” he said. “If Trump wins and Musk is in government, who
knows what is going to happen to his enemies. I have a 4-month-old son and
Daddy going to jail would be a problem. I’m not rich. I’d drop my coverage of
Tesla.”
Which would
be another win for Mr. Musk.
David
Streitfeld writes about technology and the people who make it and how it
affects the world around them. He is based in San Francisco. More about David
Streitfeld
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