Putin’s
trolls are weakening Merz to boost Russia-friendly far right
As the
chancellor struggles at home and the opposition AfD rises ahead of key
elections, the Russian president is moving to undermine one of his biggest
adversaries.
May 21,
2026 4:41 am CET
By James
Angelos and Nette Nöstlinger
https://www.politico.eu/article/friedrich-merz-vladimir-putin-boost-russia-far-right/
BERLIN —
Vladimir Putin is seizing his chance to strike Friedrich Merz when he’s at his
weakest.
As the
chancellor’s popularity plummets at home, the Kremlin appears to have escalated
efforts to speed his decline and reinforce rising pro-Russia forces on
Germany’s far right.
While
Putin has long sought to undermine Merz — one of Ukraine’s biggest backers and
therefore one of the Russian president’s foremost strategic adversaries —
through influence campaigns and hybrid attacks, rarely have circumstances
aligned so neatly in Moscow’s favor. Germany’s economy is faltering, its
centrist coalition is weakened, and the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD)
is leading in national polls ahead of two state elections in eastern Germany,
where the party is expected to post historic wins and could end up governing
for the first time since its founding.
“Russia
is looking for partners within Europe that it can use for its own purposes, and
the goal is, naturally, to get the AfD to come to power in the near future —
whether in a state election or, eventually, in the next federal election,” said
Chris Schulenburg, a lawmaker for Merz’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU) in
Saxony-Anhalt, one of the eastern states set to hold elections in September.
“This would give Russia a strategic partner in Germany, and thus a foothold in
Europe.”
Putin has
in recent weeks turned the screws on Merz, applying pressure both overtly
—halting Kazakh oil deliveries to eastern Germany through a Russian pipeline —
and more subtly, seeking to divide German public opinion by suggesting
Kremlin-friendly former Chancellor Gerhard Schröder as a potential negotiator
in Ukraine peace talks. One of Putin’s advisers also invited AfD politicians to
attend the Russian president’s annual economic forum in St. Petersburg.
Putin’s
strategy is to exploit Merz’s real and growing political weaknesses —
particularly when it comes to German dissatisfaction over the economy — and to
exacerbate divisions over Berlin’s military support for Ukraine. To this end,
the Kremlin’s propaganda machine has portrayed Merz as ineffectual and
detached, and has framed the chancellor’s refusal to restore energy ties with
Russia as economic suicide. Moscow also casts the chancellor’s conservatives as
reckless warmongers for backing Ukraine and refusing to negotiate with Putin to
end the war.
Many of
these narratives resonate particularly strongly in former East Germany, where
public sentiment tends to be more sympathetic toward Moscow. With regional
elections approaching in September, analysts expect Kremlin-backed networks to
intensify online influence campaigns to amplify and spread these messages.
Already,
the number of articles critical of Merz featured on the German-language branch
of the Kremlin-aligned Pravda network has increased substantially — by around
25 percent — this month compared to the beginning of the year, according to an
analysis by Berlin-based think tank Polisphere. The impact of these media
outlets “should not be underestimated” due to their impact on large language
models or AI-generated summaries, the firm said in a statement.
The
Kremlin sees the eastern German elections as an opportunity to “massively
weaken Germany and especially this government,” said Stefan Meister, a Russia
expert at the German Council on Foreign Relations.
“If
there’s one thing the Russians are good at, it’s identifying their opponents’
weaknesses and exploiting them,” he added. “And eastern Germany is, so to
speak, one of the main vulnerabilities for the federal government and for
Germany’s ability to act, because that’s essentially the entry point for the
AfD to seize power.”
Merz
‘wants this war’
By the
Kremlin’s telling, Merz and his coalition are an obstacle to peace in Europe
and prosperity in Germany, while a potential AfD government is the solution.
This
helps explain why Putin seeks to portray himself as a leader willing to do
business with Germany, if only there were a government in Berlin willing to
work with him.
That
strategy was on display earlier this month, when Putin used a Victory Day press
conference marking the Soviet defeat of Nazi Germany to underscore his
ostensible willingness to negotiate with the EU on Ukraine.
“Personally,
I would prefer former German Chancellor Gerhard Schröder,” Putin said when
asked who would make a good European envoy in negotiations. “Otherwise,
Europeans should choose a leader they trust, someone who has not badmouthed
Russia. We have never closed the door to negotiations. It was not Russia that
refused dialogue. It was our counterparts.”
Elevating
Schröder, the former Social Democratic Party (SPD) leader, was a calculated
attempt to divide Germans while casting Putin as a good-faith negotiating
partner. Schröder, after all, is considered a pariah among mainstream German
politicians for his dealings with Russian state-owned energy firms. By
championing the Nord Stream pipelines that brought Russian gas to Germany
before Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Schröder in may ways
personifies his country’s decades-long dependence on Russian energy — a
relationship Putin wants to restore.
“In my
view, it’s a tactically astute move to bring Gerhard Schröder — who, after all,
still enjoys considerable popularity in Germany — back into the picture, as if
to say, ‘If you want, we can negotiate,’” said Georg Maier, the SPD interior
minister of the eastern state of Thuringia. “It’s basically a lie, because if
you actually wanted to negotiate, you wouldn’t need Gerhard Schröder for that.
But of course, the impression meant to be created is that the [German]
government wants this war and wants to sell weapons, wants to expand NATO’s
influence — and this disinformation is working.”
The AfD
too says it’s ready to talk to Russia given what it portrays as Merz’s refusal
to do so. This week AfD leader Alice Weidel suggested Ukraine, not Russia,
poses a threat to Germany, and said her party was willing to talk peace with
Putin.
“We
consider Ukraine’s conduct of the war to be absolutely disastrous, posing an
immense security risk to Germany,” she said in Berlin. “A German government led
by the AfD will advocate for peace with Russia,” she added, “for reconciliation
and dialogue.”
‘Unrecoverable
economic collapse’
Kirill
Dmitriev — a close Putin ally and Kremlin envoy involved in talks with the
Trump administration over the war in Ukraine — has also cast an AfD-led
government in Germany as the cure for the country’s economic malaise, for the
simple reason that the party would restore energy imports from Russia
“Expect
much worse until German bureaucrats change course and atone for their wrong
decisions. Or AfD saves the day,” Dmitriev wrote earlier this month on X in
response to a news article about falling German industrial production. “Without
Russian gas, at the time of the worst energy crisis in history, Germany is not
just heading towards long-term stagnation but an immediate unrecoverable
economic collapse,” Dmitriev also posted in April.
This is a
message also frequently echoed by AfD politicians, who are calling for the
reactivation of the Nord Stream pipelines that supplied Russian natural gas to
Germany before 2022.
“Germany
has lost its cheapest and most reliable gas pipeline — Nord Stream,” AfD
lawmaker Markus Frohnmaier, one of the far-right politicians invited to Putin’s
economic forum in St. Petersburg, said this week in an online video post. “And
ever since then, we’ve been importing expensive liquefied natural gas from
overseas. That is exactly what makes us vulnerable today.”
Schulenburg,
the CDU politician from Saxony-Anhalt, said many voters in his state are drawn
to the simplicity of the narrative that a restoration of energy imports from
Moscow will revive Germany’s struggling economy. Older voters, he added, often
want to draw closer to Russia out of a sense of familiarity rooted in their
upbringing behind the Iron Curtain.
“It’s so
easy to say, ‘Okay, so now we’re best friends with Russia again, and so then
there will be low energy prices and the economy will do better again,’” he
said. “And there are just a lot of people who are receptive to this simple
solution because they don’t question things and don’t understand — or don’t
want to understand — the overall situation in the world.”


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