‘Trump’s
America’: Comeback Victory Signals a Different Kind of Country
In the end,
Donald J. Trump is not the historical aberration some thought he was, but
instead a transformational force reshaping the modern United States in his own
image.
Peter Baker
By Peter
Baker
Peter Baker
has covered the past five presidents and with his wife wrote a book on Donald
J. Trump’s presidency.
Nov. 6, 2024
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/06/us/politics/trump-america-election-victory.html
In her
closing rally on the Ellipse last week, Kamala Harris scorned Donald J. Trump
as an outlier who did not represent America. “That is not who we are,” she
declared.
In fact, it
turns out, that may be exactly who we are. At least most of us.
The
assumption that Mr. Trump represented an anomaly who would at last be consigned
to the ash heap of history was washed away on Tuesday night by a red current
that swept through battleground states — and swept away the understanding of
America long nurtured by its ruling elite of both parties.
No longer
can the political establishment write off Mr. Trump as a temporary break from
the long march of progress, a fluke who somehow sneaked into the White House in
a quirky, one-off Electoral College win eight years ago. With his comeback
victory to reclaim the presidency, Mr. Trump has now established himself as a
transformational force reshaping the United States in his own image.
Populist
disenchantment with the nation’s direction and resentment against elites proved
to be deeper and more profound than many in both parties had recognized. Mr.
Trump’s testosterone-driven campaign capitalized on resistance to electing the
first woman president.
And while
tens of millions of voters still cast ballots against Mr. Trump, he once again
tapped into a sense among many others that the country they knew was slipping
away, under siege economically, culturally and demographically.
To counter
that, those voters ratified the return of a brash 78-year-old champion willing
to upend convention and take radical action even if it offends sensibilities or
violates old standards. Any misgivings about their chosen leader were shoved to
the side.
As a result,
for the first time in history, Americans have elected a convicted criminal as
president. They handed power back to a leader who tried to overturn a previous
election, called for the “termination” of the Constitution to reclaim his
office, aspired to be a dictator on Day 1 and vowed to exact “retribution”
against his adversaries.
“The real
America becomes Trump’s America,” said Timothy Naftali, a presidential
historian at Columbia University. “Frankly, the world will say if this man
wasn’t disqualified by Jan. 6, which was incredibly influential around the
world, then this is not the America that we knew.”
To Mr.
Trump’s allies, the election vindicates his argument that Washington has grown
out of touch, that America is a country weary of overseas wars, excessive
immigration and “woke” political correctness.
“The Trump
presidency speaks to the depth of the marginalization felt by those who believe
they have been in the cultural wilderness for too long and their faith in the
one person who has given voice to their frustration and his ability to center
them in American life,” said Melody C. Barnes, the executive director of the
Karsh Institute of Democracy at the University of Virginia and a former adviser
to President Barack Obama.
Rather than
be turned off by Mr. Trump’s flagrant, anger-based appeals along lines of race,
gender, religion, national origin and especially transgender identity, many
Americans found them bracing. Rather than be offended by his brazen lies and
wild conspiracy theories, many found him authentic. Rather than dismiss him as
a felon found by various courts to be a fraudster, cheater, sexual abuser and
defamer, many embraced his assertion that he has been the victim of
persecution.
“This
election was a CAT scan on the American people, and as difficult as it is to
say, as hard as it is to name, what it revealed, at least in part, is a
frightening affinity for a man of borderless corruption,” said Peter H. Wehner,
a former strategic adviser to President George W. Bush and vocal critic of Mr.
Trump. “Donald Trump is no longer an aberration; he is normative.”
The fact
that Mr. Trump was able to bounce back from so many legal and political defeats
over the past four years, any one of which would have been enough to wreck the
career of any other politician, was a testament to his remarkable resilience
and defiance. He is unbowed and, this time at least, undefeated.
It also owed
in part to failures of President Biden and Ms. Harris, his vice president. Mr.
Trump’s victory was a repudiation of an administration that passed sweeping
pandemic relief, social spending and climate change programs but was hobbled by
sky-high inflation and illegal immigration, both of which were brought under
control too late.
Moreover,
Mr. Biden and Ms. Harris never managed to heal the divisions of the Trump era
as promised, though it may never have been possible. They could not figure out
how to channel the anger that propels his movement or respond to the culture
wars he fosters.
Once she
took the torch from Mr. Biden, Ms. Harris initially emphasized a positive,
joy-filled mission to the future, consolidating excited Democrats behind her,
but it was not enough to win over uncommitted voters.
At that
point, she switched back to Mr. Biden’s approach of warning about the dangers
of Mr. Trump and the incipient fascism she said he represented. That was not
enough either.
“The
coalition that elected them wanted them to unite the country, and they failed
to do so,” said former Representative Carlos Curbelo, a Republican from
Florida. “Their failure has resulted in further disillusionment with our
country’s politics and empowered the Trump base to give him another narrow
victory after setbacks in three consecutive general elections.”
Ms. Harris
did preach unity in her closing days, but her “we are all in this together”
message of harmony fell short against Mr. Trump’s “fight, fight, fight” message
of belligerence. As much as anything, the election reinforced how polarized the
country has become, split down the middle. It is a tribal era, an
us-versus-them moment, when each side is so divorced from the other that they
find it hard to even comprehend each other.
Mr. Trump’s
political resurrection also highlighted an often underestimated aspect of the
248-year-old American democratic experiment.
For all of
its commitment to constitutionalism, the United States has seen moments before
when the public hungered for a strongman and exhibited a willingness to empower
such a figure with outsized authority. That has often come during times of war
or national peril, but Mr. Trump frames the current struggle for America as a
war of sorts.
“Trump has
been conditioning Americans throughout this campaign to see American democracy
as a failed experiment,” said Ruth Ben-Ghiat, a historian and author of
“Strongmen: Mussolini to the Present.” By praising dictators like President
Vladimir V. Putin of Russia and President Xi Jinping of China, she said, “he
has used his campaign to prepare Americans for autocracy.”
She cited
his adoption of language from Nazi and Soviet lexicons, such as branding
opponents as “vermin” and the “enemy from within” while accusing immigrants of
“poisoning the blood of our country,” and suggesting that he might use the
military to round up opponents. “A victory for Trump would mean that this
vision of America — and the recourse to violence as a means of solving
political problems — has triumphed,” Ms. Ben-Ghiat said.
Others
cautioned against assuming Mr. Trump would follow through on his most
outlandish threats. Marc Short, who was chief of staff to Vice President Mike
Pence and might have reasons to worry given Mr. Trump’s anger at him and his
former boss, said he was not concerned about a wave of retaliation.
“I don’t
believe in that,” he said. “I think there’s a lot of theater around that more
than there is real sort of retribution.”
But Mr.
Short predicted another four years of chaos and uncertainty. “I would
anticipate a lot of volatility — personnel but also significant boomerangs on
policy,” he said. “Not boomerang from Biden-Harris but boomerang from himself.
You’ll have one position one day and another the next.”
Mr. Trump’s
latest victory also adds ammunition to the argument that the country is not
ready for a woman in the Oval Office. Mr. Trump, a thrice-married admitted
adulterer accused of sexual misconduct by more than two dozen women, has for
the second time defeated a woman with more experience in public office than he
had. Each of them was flawed, just as male candidates are flawed, but the sense
of 2016 déjà vu on the left on Wednesday morning was palpable.
Mr. Trump
ran a campaign openly aimed at men, featuring Hulk Hogan ripping off his shirt
at the Republican National Convention, macho talk at his closing Madison Square
Garden rally and even the former president himself seeming to simulate a sex
act on a microphone in the final days of the race. On Election Day, Mr. Trump’s
adviser Stephen Miller posted a message on social media saying, “If you know
any men who haven’t voted, get them to the polls.”
According to
exit polls, a majority of Ms. Harris’s supporters were women while a majority
of Mr. Trump’s supporters were men. Yet even though most abortion rights
referendums were passing in various states on Tuesday, the issue did not
galvanize women in the first presidential race since Roe v. Wade was overturned
to the extent that Democrats had expected and Republicans feared.
In a sense,
Mr. Trump’s victory also brings the Jan. 6, 2021, ransacking of the Capitol by
a mob of his supporters full circle. The attack, aimed at stopping the
finalization of Mr. Biden’s 2020 victory, has now been recast from a deadly
assault on democracy that discredited Mr. Trump into a patriotic act that will
generate pardons promised by the newly re-elected president.
“In many
ways, this is the last chapter of the Jan. 6 drama,” said Mr. Naftali. “Many
Republicans thought they had managed to thread the needle, to avoid pissing off
their base while also jettisoning Trump. And it turned out they hadn’t. And now
they have him back. And if he wins the bet, and he’s returned to power, then
the final verdict of Jan. 6 is that in modern America, you can cheat and the
system isn’t strong enough to fight back.”
The defining
struggle going forward will be the war that Mr. Trump says he will now wage
against a system that he deems corrupt. If he follows his campaign promises, he
will seek to consolidate more power in the presidency, bring the “deep state”
to heel and go after “treasonous” political opponents in both parties and the
media.
As he does
that, he will have legitimacy and experience that he did not have the last time
around. He learned from his first term, not so much about policy, but about how
to pull the levers of power. And this time, he will have more latitude, a more
aligned set of advisers and possibly both houses of Congress as well as a party
that even more than eight years ago answers solely to him.
The Trump
era, it turns out, was not a four-year interregnum. Assuming he finishes his
new term, it now looks to be a 12-year era that puts him at the center of the
political stage as long as Franklin D. Roosevelt or Ronald Reagan were.
It is Mr.
Trump’s America after all.
Peter Baker
is the chief White House correspondent for The Times. He has covered the last
five presidents and sometimes writes analytical pieces that place presidents
and their administrations in a larger context and historical framework. More
about Peter Baker
Sem comentários:
Enviar um comentário