Experts
are warning that Europe's heavy reliance on Chinese green technology is
reaching a critical point, posing "serious" risks to both economic
stability and national security. A report co-authored by Michael Collins,
former deputy head of national security strategy at the UK Cabinet Office,
suggests Europe is "sleepwalking" into a dangerous dependency on
Chinese low-carbon technology.
Core
Risks Identified
The
primary concerns revolve around three key areas of vulnerability:
National
Security & Cyber Threats: Experts highlight the risk of
Chinese-manufactured components, particularly solar inverters, containing
"kill switches" or backdoors. These could allow remote access to
disable power capacity or trigger surges, potentially causing grid failures
like the April 2025 blackout in Spain.
Economic
Competitiveness: China currently supplies roughly 98% of the EU's solar panels.
This dominance has already contributed to the collapse of Europe's domestic
solar manufacturing base and now threatens its wind and electric vehicle (EV)
sectors.
Geopolitical
Coercion: Over-reliance creates "weaponised dependencies". China has
already used export restrictions on critical minerals like gallium and
germanium to frustrate Western supply chains. There is a concern that Europe
may eventually feel pressured to choose between its climate goals and its
ability to oppose Chinese geopolitical actions, such as those in the South
China Sea.
Sector-Specific
Impacts
Sector Level of Dependence/Risk
Solar
Energy Extremely high; China
accounts for 98% of EU imports.
Wind
Power Growing concern; Chinese
manufacturers are increasingly entering the European offshore market with
state-subsidized lower prices.
Green
Hydrogen Emerging risk; EU industry
leaders warn that without "Made in Europe" requirements, the nascent
hydrogen sector could follow the path of the solar industry.
Electric
Vehicles High; The sector reportedly lost
over 100,000 jobs in 2024–2025 due to Chinese competition.
European
Response
The EU
and individual member states are attempting to "de-risk" by:
Industrial
Policy: Proposing laws like the Industrial Accelerator Act (IAA) to impose
local-manufacturing requirements, though this has drawn threats of retaliation
from Beijing.
Public
Procurement: Calls are increasing for "Made in Europe" requirements
for critical energy infrastructure to exclude high-risk vendors.
Diversification:
Governments are being urged to source critical minerals and components from a
wider range of international partners to avoid being "tangled" in
potential trade wars between the US and China.
China has
criticized these warnings as "politicizing" cybersecurity issues and
has urged the EU to maintain open cooperation rather than viewing China as an
"imaginary enemy".
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