2h ago
05.44 BST
What does
Nawrocki's win mean for domestic politics?
Jakub
Krupa
While the
role of the Polish president is largely ceremonial, it carries some influence
over foreign and defence policy and a critical power to veto new legislation.
This can only be overturned with a 60% majority in parliament, which the
current government, led by Donald Tusk, does not have.
At stake
is whether Tusk’s government will be able to make progress on its electoral
promises on the rule of law and social issues, including abortion and LGBTQ
rights, after 18 months of difficult cohabitation with the opposition
president, Andrzej Duda.
Nawrocki’s
win is expected to prolong the deadlock, making it difficult if not impossible
for the government to pass any big reforms before the 2027 parliamentary
election.
“Tusk
knows the stakes and that if Nawrocki wins, he’s got a lame-duck administration
for the next couple of years. And it will be worse than with Duda as Nawrocki
will come in fresh, with a new mandate from what effectively turned into a
referendum on the government,” Prof Aleks Szczerbiak, who teaches east and
central European politics at the University of Sussex, said prior to the
election.
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