07.00 BST
Polling
stations open in UK as country poised to eject Tories after 14 years of
government
Voting has
begun across the UK for a general election which polling suggests could bring
an end to 14 years of the Conservative party in government, and see Labour
opposition leader Keir Starmer installed in Downing Street as the new prime
minister.
Polling
stations will be open until 10pm, and for the first time in England, Scotland
and Wales general election voters will be required to provide photo
identification before voting in person. Northern Ireland introduced voter ID in
2002.
Prime
minister Rishi Sunak called the election six weeks ago in a rain-soaked speech
outside No 10 where he had to battle against the sounds of 1997 New Labour
anthem Things Can Only Get Better by D:Ream being blasted out by a protester,
and his campaign has been uphill ever since. The Conservatives have barely made
a dent into Labour’s polling lead, which has consistently shown Starmer’s party
to be about 20 points ahead, much higher than the swing needed to reverse the
party’s dismal 2019 general election result.
The
Conservative campaign has been bedevilled with scandal, as people close to the
PM and Tory candidates were accused of betting on the timing of the election,
leading to a police investigation. The last few days of the campaign have seen
the Tories seize desperately on the Labour leader saying he intends to carve
out some time with his family each week to claim he would “clock off” from
being PM at 6pm, and claim that people should vote Conservative to avoid Labour
winning a “supermajority” – a meaningless concept that has no formal existence
in the Westminster system. Sunak has repeatedly used a discredited line that
Labour policies will add more than £2,000 to tax bills.
Labour have
faced their own problems, with selection rows over Diane Abbott and Faiza
Shaheen overshadowing the early days of the campaign, and accusations that the
party is putting forward an uninspiring programme that has undone much of the
enthusiasm younger voters had developed for Labour during the years that Jeremy
Corbyn was leader. Corbyn is standing as an independent candidate for his old
seat in North Islington. Disquiet over the party’s approach to Israel’s
conflict in Gaza is also expected to cost the party votes, especially in urban
areas and areas with significant Muslim populations. Comments Starmer made in
recent days about Bangladeshi immigrants have landed badly with that community.
Liberal
Democrat leader Ed Davey has tried to use a stunt-laden campaign to attract
coverage of his party’s policies as it attempts to overtake the SNP and once
again become the third largest party in the House of Commons.
For their
part, the SNP with Westminster leader Stephen Flynn and recently installed
first minister of Scotland John Swinney have campaigned on a platform insisting
that however people feel about the government in Holyrood, this election is a
chance to send a strong Scottish voice to London. Labour are looking to reclaim
seats in Scotland’s central belt that had for many, many years been traditional
Labour heartlands. Polls have Labour and SNP closer than they have been for
years in Scotland.
In Wales,
Labour’s campaign has been hindered by controversy swirling around donations to
first minister Vaughan Gething’s leadership campaign, which Plaid Cymru will
hope they can exploit. In Northern Ireland, DUP interim leader Gavin Robinson
is defending a narrow majority in Belfast East. George Galloway is attempting
to hold the Rochdale seat he won in a February byelection for the Workers Party
of Britain. The Green Party of England and Wales have made four seats in
England their main target.
The early
surprise of the campaign was Nigel Farage’s decision to seize leadership of the
Reform UK party from Richard Tice. MRP polling models have suggested the party
might win as many as 18 seats, or indeed none at all. Predictions they would
surge in polling have during the campaign have broadly not been met, but Farage
has said his intention is to build a movement to oppose Labour that will put
him in a position to become prime minister in 2029.
It is Martin
Belam with you on the blog for the next few hours – do drop me a line at
martin.belam@theguardian.com if you like, especially if you spot errors,
mistakes, omissions, have questions, or just want to send me a picture of your
dog enjoying the election.
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