NEWS ANALYSIS
Netanyahu
Seeks Support in U.S. Visit, but Will Find a Nation Distracted
Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel is to meet President Biden and address
Congress this week, swapping one political maelstrom at home for another in
Washington.
Isabel
Kershner
By Isabel
Kershner
Reporting
from Jerusalem
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/23/world/middleeast/netanyahu-biden-congress.html
July 23,
2024
Updated 7:55
a.m. ET
With his
visit to Washington this week, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel will
step away from one political maelstrom and into another.
He is facing
anger at home over the prolonged war in Gaza and failure to bring home the
hostages held in the enclave. Washington is divided over Israel’s conduct of
the war and treatment of the Palestinians.
But now, the
U.S. government and the entire country is preoccupied by the political upheaval
surrounding President Biden’s withdrawal over the weekend from the presidential
race.
This was not
at all what Mr. Netanyahu had in mind when he planned his first visit to
Washington in almost four years. He is supposed to meet face to face with Mr.
Biden, though it is unclear when. He is also expected to meet Vice President
Kamala Harris, who looks set to become the Democratic Party’s nominee for
president. And the Israeli leader is set to address Congress on Wednesday,
hoping to shore up support in the face of increasing international censure over
the war in Gaza.
“I will seek
to anchor the bipartisan support that is so important for Israel,” Mr.
Netanyahu said shortly before departing Israel on Monday. “In this time of war
and uncertainty, it’s important that Israel’s enemies know that America and
Israel stand together today, tomorrow and always.”
The timing
may be complicated for the Israeli prime minister. But it is also critical that
he secure Mr. Biden’s support for the months remaining in the president’s term,
even as their relationship has grown testier recently as their goals in the
Middle East diverge somewhat.
Mr.
Netanyahu is also aiming to rehabilitate his image on the world stage — at
least for his audience back home, where he is in a constant battle for his
political survival. But some political analysts suggested that he was about the
only person still attaching any importance to his U.S. visit.
“Nobody is
focused on this,” said Mitchell Barak, an Israeli pollster and analyst who
worked as an aide to Mr. Netanyahu in the 1990s. “In less than 10 days, there’s
been an assassination attempt on one president and another dropping out of the
race,” he added of the turmoil in the United States.
“This is not
the right time — for America or for Israel.”
Former
President Donald J. Trump, who was wounded but survived a shooting on July 13,
was in office when Mr. Netanyahu last came to Washington, in September 2020.
Now, he is running again as the Republican candidate. Mr. Netanyahu and Mr.
Trump may also meet this week.
When Mr.
Netanyahu addresses a joint session of Congress on Wednesday, some of his
staunchest allies will be sitting alongside fierce critics.
The
invitation for the address was issued jointly by the top four congressional
leaders in a show of bipartisan unity that belied a tense debate
behind-the-scenes about receiving him. Chuck Schumer, Democrat of New York and
the Senate majority leader, has been sharply critical of Mr. Netanyahu and
called for him to step down this year. But in joining the leaders’ request for
the address to Congress, he said that America’s relationship with Israel
“transcends one person or prime minister.”
As a result,
this address is expected to be less contentious than Mr. Netanyahu’s last one,
in 2015, when the Republican House speaker at the time invited him without
informing the White House and infuriated President Barack Obama.
Mr.
Netanyahu then used the platform to rail against the Obama administration’s
negotiating of a nuclear pact between world powers and Iran, driving a partisan
wedge into the traditionally bipartisan support that Israel had long counted
on.
Mr.
Netanyahu’s speech on Wednesday is expected to be more conciliatory.
Still,
coming at a time when Ms. Harris has pledged to do everything in her power to
unite her party and the nation, Mr. Netanyahu’s visit may only serve to expose
more of the cracks and divisions as some Democrats could boycott or try to
disrupt his speech.
Ms. Harris
has been more critical of Israel than Mr. Biden at times since Israel began its
military offensive in Gaza in response to the Oct. 7 Hamas-led terrorist attack
on Israel.
The vice
president has declined to preside over the joint session of Congress on
Wednesday. An aide cited a scheduling conflict, adding that her absence should
not be construed as a change in her commitment to Israel’s security, and that
she would meet Mr. Netanyahu this week in the White House.
The high
civilian toll from the war in Gaza, where more than 39,000 Palestinians have
been killed, according to local health authorities, has created animus in the
United States even among some of Israel’s traditionally ardent supporters.
In a severe
battering of his reputation abroad, Mr. Netanyahu is under threat of being
served an arrest warrant by the International Criminal Court in The Hague on
war crimes charges, along with his defense minister, Yoav Gallant, as well as
three Hamas leaders.
Israel is
also fighting a genocide case brought by South Africa in the International
Court of Justice, the world’s top court. Israel vehemently denies the
accusations.
Mr. Biden
has been pushing for a cease-fire deal with Hamas that would see hostages in
Gaza exchanged for Palestinian prisoners in Israel. But many Israelis accuse
Mr. Netanyahu of holding up such a deal out of fear that it would lead to the
collapse of his right-wing government. Far-right parties he relies on for his
governing coalition have threatened to pull out should he agree to terms that
they would consider a surrender.
Before
leaving for Washington, Mr. Netanyahu authorized Israel’s negotiating team to
travel to Qatar on Thursday to continue talks with mediators on a truce.
Israel’s
settlement activity in the occupied West Bank and the issue of support for an
independent Palestinian state are perennial points of contention between
Israeli governments and Democratic administrations.
Last week, a
majority of Israel’s Parliament voted to reject the establishment of a
Palestinian state. The far-right parties on whose support Mr. Netanyahu depends
want to annex the entire West Bank.
Mr.
Netanyahu’s visit to Washington has also riled many Israelis, who said he
should not be leaving the country as it is battles foes on multiple fronts and
before he has secured the release of the remaining hostages held in Gaza.
He has
articulated no clear vision for Gaza after the war. Tens of thousands of
Israelis evacuated from the northern and southern border areas are still
displaced from their homes, with little idea of when they can return.
“He has no
business going to Washington,” said Mr. Barak, the pollster, “because he has
unfinished business in Israel.”
While Israel
continues to fight Hamas in Gaza and is trading blows daily with Hezbollah over
its northern border, it also had to contend last week with a drone strike
claimed by the Houthi militia in Yemen that killed a man in the heart of Tel
Aviv. Israel retaliated with an airstrike against a Yemeni port controlled by
the Houthis.
For Mr.
Netanyahu, the most significant event will be his speech in Congress. His main
target audience will most likely be the one in Israel.
“This is a
Congress that authorized everything that Israel and the president asked for,
even if it took some time and had to overcome some legislative hurdles,” said
Alon Pinkas, Israel’s former consul general in New York. “So he’s going to
achieve what?” he added. “To thank them? You do that in a Zoom call.”
Mr. Pinkas
described the entire visit as a “vanity tour.”
He and other
analysts said that Mr. Netanyahu was most likely thinking that a powerful
speech might resuscitate his flagging base of Israeli supporters at home, who
have been impressed in the past by his oratory skills abroad.
But when it
comes to international stature, some analysts say Mr. Netanyahu has lost his
luster.
“The visit
is meant to illustrate to the home front that Netanyahu is a statesman, in
stark contrast to his political contenders,” said Shira Efron, a fellow with
the RAND Corporation and senior fellow at the Institute for National Security
Studies at Tel Aviv University.
Ms. Efron
said Mr. Netanyahu was likely “to emphasize the fact that he surpassed even
Winston Churchill, being the first foreign leader to address a joint session of
Congress four times,” and that he would most likely “count the number of
standing ovations.”
“From
Netanyahu’s perspective,” she said, “the importance of the visit is its mere
existence.”
Isabel Kershner, a Times correspondent in Jerusalem, has been reporting on Israeli and Palestinian affairs since 1990. More about Isabel Kershne
Sem comentários:
Enviar um comentário