OPINION
THE
CONVERSATION
There’s No Escaping Trump
July 24,
2023
By Gail
Collins and Bret Stephens
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/24/opinion/biden-trump-ukraine-oppenheimer-strikes.html
Ms. Collins
and Mr. Stephens are Opinion columnists. They converse every week.
Bret
Stephens: Hi, Gail. We skipped our conversation last week because I was in
Ukraine. But even from there, it was hard to miss the news about Donald Trump’s
most recent pending indictment. Your thoughts?
Gail
Collins: Bret, I’m in awe of your Ukraine expedition but slightly depressed to
realize that Americans can’t escape Trump, even when they’re at a hospital in Irpin.
Bret: Trump
returning to the White House and pulling the plug on American support for Kyiv
is the second-biggest threat to Ukraine, after Vladimir Putin. And did you hear
Trump call the Chinese dictator Xi Jinping both “smart” and “brilliant”?
But back to
the latest potential indictment ….
Gail:
Criminal-justice wise, I think it’s very important to assure the country that
nobody, including a president, can just get away with urging an angry crowd to
attack the Capitol.
Bret:
Especially a president.
Gail: But
politically, I have a terrible suspicion that indictment will help him in the
Republican primaries. So sad the law-and-order party has apparently lost
interest in the law — or, for that matter, order — when it doesn’t suit their
purpose.
Bret: If
there were truth in advertising, Republicans would have to rename themselves
the Opposite Party. They were the party of law and order. Now they want to
abolish the F.B.I. They were the party that revered the symbols of the nation.
Now they think the Jan. 6 riots were like a “normal tourist visit.” They were
the party of moral character and virtue. Now they couldn’t care less that their
standard-bearer consorted with a porn star. They were the party of staring down
the Evil Empire. Now they’re Putin’s last best hope. They were the party of
free trade. Now they’re protectionists. They were the party that cheered the
Supreme Court’s 2010 Citizens United decision, which argued that corporations
had free speech. Now they are being sued by Disney because the company dared
express an opinion they dislike. They were the party that once believed that
“family values don’t stop at the Rio Grande,” as George W. Bush put it. Now
some of them want to invade Mexico.
Gail: Woof
…
Bret: So
that makes me want to ask you about your column last week. What’s not to like
about “No Labels”?
Gail: Bret,
gonna skip my normal diatribe on the evils of Joe Lieberman, the
spokesman-symbolic-head of No Labels, which is running around the country
trying to get a presidential line on ballots in a bunch of states.
Bret:
Lieberman may be our one irreconcilable difference. I love the guy.
Gail: My
bottom line is that third parties — even those led by people far better than
Mr. L. — are a danger to the American democratic system. You start a party that
makes a big deal out of …. helping hummingbirds. Tell voters who don’t love
either of the two regular candidates that they can Vote Hummer and feel good.
You won’t win the election, but you can throw everything into chaos. In some
states, that little shift could be enough to bestow victory somewhere you’d never
have wanted it to go. Say the Crow Coalition.
Bret: I’d
be opposed to No Labels if I were convinced that all they will do is take votes
from Joe Biden and throw the election to Trump. But that depends on who takes
the No Labels slot: If it’s a former Democrat, it probably hurts Biden. If it’s
a former Republican, it could hurt Trump even more.
Gail:
Maybe. I’d rather just make people pick between the two real possibilities —
each of them representing a broad coalition and certainly offering a stark choice.
I don’t like plotting to win by cluttering up the ballot.
Bret: But
the main thing, Gail, is that I need a party I can vote for. And I think the
feeling is shared by a growing fraction of voters who might be center-left or
center-right but are increasingly appalled by progressive Democrats and
reactionary Republicans. So any party that represents our views is good for
democracy, not a threat to it.
Gail: No,
no Bret. Even if you vote for a third party that perfectly represents your
views — or at least your view on a favorite issue — if it isn’t going to win,
you’re throwing away your vote. A vote for the Green Party, for instance, is a
vote that Biden would probably have gotten otherwise. Which means the Green
Party is helping Trump.
Bret: I
agree — mostly. I used to vote exclusively for Republicans, even though I
disagreed on a lot of social issues. Now I vote mostly for Democrats, even
though I disagree on a lot of economic issues. But I’ve never before felt such
a level of disaffection with both parties, which makes No Labels … intriguing.
We’ll see if it goes anywhere.
Gail: OK,
I’ve ranted enough. Let’s talk about something important that no one ever wants
to talk about: Congress. The big defense budget is being bogged down by some
House Republicans who want to include right-wing social issues that everyone
knows the Senate will never accept. Even the normal military promotions are
stalled by one Republican Senator, Tommy Tuberville of Alabama, who wants to
eliminate travel aid to enlisted women seeking abortions.
These are all
supposed to be your guys — explain what we can do about all this.
Bret: Well,
this is just another way in which I’m totally appalled by so many of today’s
Republicans. They had no trouble effectively freezing and even reducing
military spending for the sake of their debt-ceiling antics, despite claiming
to be seriously concerned by the military threat from China (or Iran or
Russia). And now they’re committing the exact sin they routinely accuse
liberals of doing: injecting a partisan social agenda into questions of
national security.
But, Gail,
Congress is too depressing. Let’s talk about the … actors’ and writers’
strikes. Should we join them, at least morally speaking?
Gail: I see
two big things about the strikes. One is complicated and important — how do you
compensate the creative talent when movies and TV are available around the
clock via streaming?
The other
is more emotional and understandable: the creative talent is scrambling to get
adequate pay while the top guys — the producers and company executives — are
making a mountain of money from the current system.
In a word,
I’m on the writer-actor side. How about you?
Bret: Don’t
tell anyone this, but I am, too. I think the strike is about more than the
particulars of how the so-called creative class gets paid. It’s really about
whether or not there can be a creative class at all.
My working
assumption is that, within 20 years, if not much sooner, A.I. will be able to
write, direct and act (via computer-generated images that are indistinguishable
from real people) movies and TV shows. It will write credible novels and news
stories and opinion columns and compose film scores and pop music. That may not
really affect me, if only because I’ll be close to retirement. But it will mean
a growing number of creative endeavors will no longer easily find meaningful
vocational outlets. It will amount to a kind of material degradation to human
civilization that may prove irreversible.
Gail: Grab
a picket sign!
Bret: Never
thought I’d be a fan of any form of organized labor, but there it is. And it’s
also a good occasion to praise President Biden for trying to create some shared
ethical guidelines for the development of A.I.
Gail: I’m
the last one to make an informed prediction on anything relating to science and
technology, but you’re right, it’s good to know we’ve got some principled
leaders trying to figure things out.
Bret: Even
though the depressing reality is that humanity doesn’t have a particularly good
track record of controlling new technologies, particularly when they can make
some people richer or other people more powerful. The historian in me says the
same might have been said with every past transformative technology, from the
wheel to the printing press to nuclear energy. Maybe artificial intelligence
will follow the same path. But A.I. is also the first technology I can think of
that doesn’t supplement human creativity, but rather competes with it.
Gail: And
gee, Bret, we’ve agreed about almost everything this week — including organized
labor! Next week I swear we’ll talk about something that stirs up a fight.
Bret: I’m
sure I’ll have strong views about the Oppenheimer film once I’ve seen it. Have
I ever mentioned that I think Harry Truman was completely right to drop the
bombs?
Gail: We
can compare thoughts then. Hope you get a chance to see “Oppenheimer” soon —
although I should warn you it did feel as if three hours was a long time to
contemplate atomic warfare. In an old theater with squeaky seats.
I’m most
certainly not an expert on World War II, but I hate the idea of killing
something like 200,000 people to make a point about our nation’s breakthrough
in technological firepower.
Bret:
History is filled with counterfactuals. I wonder how many American fighting
men, including my grandfather — and, for that matter, how many Japanese
soldiers and civilians — would have been killed if we had invaded the Japanese
home islands the way we had to take Iwo Jima or Okinawa. I think the aggregate
number would have been far higher.
Gail: I can
see that our ongoing conversation about this is going to be hard and deep,
Bret. I’ll bring wine. And maybe we should also make it a point to see “Barbie”
before we chat again. We can talk about global destruction and mass market
capitalism at the same time.
.
Gail
Collins is an Opinion columnist, is a former member of the editorial board and
was the first woman to serve as the Times editorial page editor, from 2001 to
2007. @GailCollins • Facebook
Bret
Stephens has been an Opinion columnist with The Times since April 2017. He won
a Pulitzer Prize for commentary at The Wall Street Journal in 2013 and was
previously editor in chief of The Jerusalem Post. Facebook
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