As Greece burns, we see the existential climate
crisis dragged into shoddy UK party politics. That can’t happen
John Harris
A terrible lesson is being taken from the Uxbridge
vote. Labour must stick to its green agenda, and decent Tories must raise a
voice
Sun 23 Jul
2023 14.43 BST
One news
story defines this summer: the fact that average global temperatures have
recently reached record-breaking levels. Baking European weather is now seared
into our consciousness in the form of those heat maps coloured red and orange;
as wildfires spread across the Greek island of Rhodes, thousands of people have
been evacuated. In the US, China and no end of countries besides, the idea of
planetary heating as a looming threat whose worst effects might yet be averted
feels like it is turning to ash.
In the UK,
unfortunately, the past 48 hours has seen a political story whose parochialist
absurdity is off the scale: Conservative voices undermining the fragile
cross-party consensus on reaching net zero by 2050 and calling for many of the
UK’s tilts at climate action to be either slowed or stopped. The reason? The
results of three parliamentary byelections – and, in particular, the views of
13,965 Conservative voters in the outer London suburbs.
According
to some Tories, Thursday’s defeats in North Yorkshire and Somerset highlight
the public’s exasperation with Rishi Sunak’s government, which is inseparable
from the impossible cost of living. But the Conservatives managed a wafer-thin
win in Uxbridge and South Ruislip by mobilising opposition to the expansion of
the capital’s ultra-low emissions zone (Ulez) and its levy on older cars – and
here, we are told, lies a route to the party’s revival: abandoning such Tory
policies as phasing out new petrol and diesel vehicles by 2030, and
relentlessly attacking Labour’s increasingly embattled range of green
proposals, centred on its £28bn-a-year climate investment pledge.
The former
business secretary Jacob Rees-Mogg says that “high-cost green policies are not
popular”. Taking aim at supposed climate-related “costs, charges [and] taxes”,
the chair of the Net Zero Scrutiny Group of Conservative MPs, Craig Mackinlay,
insists that “there’s a lot to learn from Uxbridge – that a way to create some
significant blue water between us and Labour is to rethink these charges and
the net zero pathway” (note the disingenuousness of these messages: the Tory
ban on onshore wind actually costs UK households £180 a year).
The biggest
intervention so far has come from the the levelling up secretary, Michael Gove,
who used an interview with the Sunday Telegraph – and its front-page splash –
to lay out his opinions, advising against “treating the cause of the
environment as a religious crusade”, warning of a backlash from the public and
suggesting what he calls a more “thoughtful environmentalism”.
Gove’s is a
mild, somewhat coded take. But among Tories on the hard right, hostility to
climate action is a big part of what they have imbibed from Donald Trump and
his populist fellow travellers in Europe. Rejecting big moves on carbon
emissions also speaks to a certain kind of Tory’s devout belief in
laissez-faire economics. Across the party, moreover, there is an increasingly
madcap drive to fold the climate crisis into a kind of school-play version of
the US’s culture war – something made plain last week when the overexcited
energy secretary, Grant Shapps, wrote to Keir Starmer demanding that Labour pay
for damage caused to his department’s building by climate activists, because it
is nothing less than “the political wing of Just Stop Oil”.
There are
two big reasons why all this is so dangerous. First, even if the Tories lose
power next year, there is a perfectly realistic chance of their return to
government circa 2029 – possibly under the leadership of Suella Braverman or
Kemi Badenoch, who have both expressed sceptical opinions about net zero. And
that possibility highlights a much bigger point, which applies not just to the
UK, but democracies across the world: the plain political fact that unless the
necessity of meaningful climate action is understood on both the right and
left, the sense of deepening disaster will only worsen. This is a lesson from
the 20th century that the polarised mindset of the 21st seems to have almost
completely sidelined, but it remains inescapable.
There are
at least modest flickers of hope. Tory supporters of climate action may tend to
put too much faith in the wonders of markets, but the way that they
counterbalance the anti-net zero crowd is undeniable. The membership of the
Conservative Environmental Network, which exists to support “net zero, nature
restoration and resource security”, includes 150 peers and MPs. The voguish
Tory thinktank Onward has launched a “getting to zero” programme, centred on
“developing practical and politically possible ways for the UK to meet its net
zero ambitions and lead the world in decarbonisation”.
Even if his
actions barely matched his words, the reason Boris Johnson made a lot of noise
about the climate was in keeping with his talent for self-promotion: here, he
well knew, lay the key to styling himself as a Tory leader in tune with
modernity. Such senior(ish) Conservatives as the former minister Chris Skidmore
and Alok Sharma, the chair of the Cop26 summit, share that belief, but have a
much more sincere and serious approach. Not that Tory MPs are known for taking
advice from Guardian columnists, but the gravity of the situation surely
demands that one of them stand in the next Tory leadership election, and make
their points loud and clear.
If they
don’t, their party’s tendency to ignore the imperatives of a burning planet and
oppose climate action for the most cynical reasons will only worsen, with
consequences for the entirety of politics. In the wake of the Uxbridge result,
for example, Starmer claimed that “in an election, policy matters. And we’re
doing something very wrong if policies put forward by the Labour party end up
on each and every Tory leaflet.” Beyond Ulez, there is a bigger context for
that quote: the fact that the Labour leadership has already postponed and
diluted its party’s green platform, and there are clearly people around Starmer
who want rid of any emphasis on climate action, for fear of the exact attacks
that Tories are now suggesting.
Therein
lies the increasing awfulness of the UK’s climate politics, but amid the
summer’s awful heat, any solution needs action from both sides – which means
that Conservatives with a conscience will have to find their voice, and fast.
John Harris
is a Guardian columnist
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