domingo, 22 de fevereiro de 2026

Bitcoin is a Ponzi scheme

 


Bitcoin is a Ponzi scheme

Whether Bitcoin acts as a Ponzi scheme is highly debated, with critics arguing it functions similarly by relying on new investors to pay earlier ones, creating a speculative bubble, and lacking intrinsic cash flow. While not a traditional fraudulent Ponzi, many economists and experts view it as a high-risk, speculative asset with characteristics of a decentralized pump-and-dump scheme.

 

Key Arguments Supporting the Comparison:

Dependent on New Capital: Similar to Ponzi schemes, profits for early investors are primarily driven by new money entering the market rather than productive, underlying economic value.

Speculative Nature: It is considered a speculative gamble, often lacking, according to some analyses, the traditional, stable, or inherent value of investments like stocks or bonds.

Negative Sum Game: Critics, such as those cited in RePEc, suggest that because mining Bitcoin consumes significant electricity and computational power, it is a negative-sum game where costs exceed gains.

Losses for Late Investors: Studies indicate that, similar to pyramid schemes, a large portion of individual investors in the crypto space have experienced losses, with benefits concentrated at the top.

 

Arguments Against the Comparison:

Lack of Central Authority: Unlike a Ponzi scheme, which is run by a central operator promising guaranteed returns, Bitcoin is a decentralized, open-source protocol with no central authority to pay out investors or collapse.

Utility & Technology: Proponents argue that Bitcoin serves as a decentralized store of value or a medium of exchange, driven by technological adoption rather than fraudulent promises.

Crypto-related Frauds: While Bitcoin itself is decentralized, the ecosystem is rife with fraudulent platforms using crypto to run Ponzi schemes, as noted by the SEC.gov and FBI.

Exchange Failures: Many users have lost funds through centralized crypto exchanges and lenders that failed, mirroring fraudulent practices.

Ultimately, while Bitcoin does not fit the legal definition of a traditional Ponzi scheme, critics argue it operates with similar economic dynamics, making it a highly speculative, risky asset.

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