"The FRAGMENTATION Of The Right!" | Reform UK, Restore Britain And Advance UK Support Splitting Vote

"The FRAGMENTATION Of The Right!" | Reform UK, Restore Britain And Advance UK Support Splitting Vote

In early 2026, the UK's right-wing political landscape has fractured following the launch of Restore Britain as a full national political party on February 13. Led by independent MP and former Reform UK member Rupert Lowe, the party is positioning itself to the right of Reform UK, particularly on immigration and "traditional principles".

 

The Fragmentation: Key Players

Reform UK: Led by Nigel Farage, the party remains the dominant force on the right, polling between 25% and 31% and leading some major MRP projections.

Restore Britain: Launched by Lowe after his split from Reform, the party advocates for "full-scale restoration," including mass deportations, net-negative immigration, and reinstating the death penalty. Early polling by Find Out Now suggests it could draw about 6% of the vote.

Advance UK: Led by former Reform deputy leader Ben Habib, the party has expressed interest in a merger or alliance with Restore Britain to consolidate the hard-right vote.

Vote Splitting: Analysts warn that multiple hard-right parties could split the anti-establishment vote in marginal seats, potentially handing victories to Labour, the Liberal Democrats, or the Greens.

Tactical Voting: New polling indicates that anti-Reform tactical voting by progressive voters could cost Reform dozens of seats, even if they remain the largest party.

Ideological Divide: The fragmentation highlights a growing rift between "civic nationalists" (associated with Reform and some elements of Advance) and "ethnonationalists" who are rallying behind Restore Britain.

Despite the fragmentation, Reform UK continues to lead in most national voting intention polls as of February 21, 2026, often placing ahead of both the Conservatives and Labour. However, the rise of Restore Britain introduces a new variable that could erode this lead by attracting disillusioned voters who find Reform too "moderate".