António José Seguro will be the next President of Portugal.

 SIC indicates that Seguro will have between 67% and 71.4%, against Ventura's 28.6 to 33%

The CNN/TVI Projection indicates that António José Seguro has between 67% and 71.4%, with André Ventura standing at 28.6% to 33%.

Católica's projection for RTP indicates a range between 68 and 73% for Seguro, while Ventura appears with 27 to 32/AV - 27 - 32

Intercampus' projections for CMTV and Now give victory to António José Seguro with 66.8 to 71.8%, while André Ventura stays in the range 28.2%-33.2%

Based on voting projections and opinion polls in the lead-up to the February 8, 2026, runoff election, António José Seguro of the Socialist Party is strongly favored to win the presidency of Portugal.

 

Here are the key details based on reports from the election day, February 8, 2026:

Projected Landslide: Polls leading up to the second round indicated that Seguro would secure a substantial victory over his far-right rival, André Ventura of the Chega party, with surveys predicting Seguro would receive between 50% and 67% of the vote.

Runoff Context: Following the first round of voting on January 18, 2026—which saw a highly fragmented field—Seguro secured 31.1% against 23.5% for Ventura, making this only the second presidential runoff in Portugal’s 50-year democratic history.

Establishment Support: Seguro, a moderate and former Socialist leader, received backing from a broad spectrum of the political establishment, including conservatives who sought to block the rise of the far-right in the country.

Significance: While the role of the President of Portugal is largely ceremonial, it holds powers to dissolve Parliament and veto laws. The result is seen as a rejection of a more populist, "interventionist" presidency.